- Joined
- May 7, 2010
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The Israeli government is either naive or deliberately misleading people to cool concern and increase outrage. During the war Israel proved it was not nearly as capable as it had led the world to believe. Israel wants people to think somehow that they will dominate/eradicate Hezbollah in a future war without batting an eye, but reality would quickly catch up with them once a war has begun.
I don't doubt at least some of the comment. Certainly Hezbollah had built itself up considerably in Israel, but as Mira noted no one can actually tell and that is the reason the organization was not put in any serious risk by the 2006 Lebanon War and why whether Israel wanted to kill Nasrallah or not would find it extremely difficult if not impossible.
Hezbollah is a highly capable and disciplined military organization. It is probably the most capable force Israel has fought in its 60 years of statehood. While the government will try to encourage the hapless citizenry that all is well and the government has everything under control reality will be entirely different and there is some sign of this as well.
Israeli plans for mass evacuation of Northern Israel suggests strongly that they seriously doubt their own abilities to harm Hezbollah in any significant way without a sustained and brutal offensive using every resource available to them.
Hezbollah should not be taken lightly.
I do not think this is the case. Hezbollah, Syria, Iran, and now even Hamas recognize the advantage of not acting first. All of them have shown deliberate efforts to prevent incidents that might lead to war. While allowing Israel the first move could be painful, it also gives them the moral high ground and means they can pursue much more ambitious military actions by arguing self-defense.
UNIFIL operates in the open areas Hezbollah originally used and they operate far less in the villages and towns. Hence for Hezbollah to operate in South Lebanon unimpeded by UNIFIL it has to set up in the cities and such.
I don't doubt at least some of the comment. Certainly Hezbollah had built itself up considerably in Israel, but as Mira noted no one can actually tell and that is the reason the organization was not put in any serious risk by the 2006 Lebanon War and why whether Israel wanted to kill Nasrallah or not would find it extremely difficult if not impossible.
Hezbollah is a highly capable and disciplined military organization. It is probably the most capable force Israel has fought in its 60 years of statehood. While the government will try to encourage the hapless citizenry that all is well and the government has everything under control reality will be entirely different and there is some sign of this as well.
Israeli plans for mass evacuation of Northern Israel suggests strongly that they seriously doubt their own abilities to harm Hezbollah in any significant way without a sustained and brutal offensive using every resource available to them.
Hezbollah should not be taken lightly.
All of those "defensive" statements from Hizballah are meant towards the Lebanese population, they seek further support and hence are trying to maintain a defensive position, but just like the 2006 war has started with Hezbollah aggression so will any future war.
I do not think this is the case. Hezbollah, Syria, Iran, and now even Hamas recognize the advantage of not acting first. All of them have shown deliberate efforts to prevent incidents that might lead to war. While allowing Israel the first move could be painful, it also gives them the moral high ground and means they can pursue much more ambitious military actions by arguing self-defense.
And yes Hizballah is covering big parts of Southern Lebanon, and the intel gathered by the IDF through the years point at an excessive rearming by Hizballah and the continued use of the Lebanese civilians of Southern Lebanon as political tools, storing arms next to hospitals and schools and positioning themselves amongst the civilian population.
UNIFIL operates in the open areas Hezbollah originally used and they operate far less in the villages and towns. Hence for Hezbollah to operate in South Lebanon unimpeded by UNIFIL it has to set up in the cities and such.