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They may begrudgingly accept Cruz (for the reasons you mentioned), but Trump is toast. They don't like him, they don't want him, he's not going to win 1237 - and that's all she wrote!It's either Trump, Cruz, or suicide.
We'll see if Trump has got the message to be more presidential. If not, it will be Cruz.
If the RNC snatches the leaders and "disposes" of them by some lawyerly rules, the RNC is done and a new party will have to emerge even if they have to field a compromise candidate and win by default in 2016 because Hillary crashes and burns.
They won't have the support in 2020 unless they fulfill the promises of both Cruz and Trump.
It's either Trump, Cruz, or suicide.
We'll see if Trump has got the message to be more presidential. If not, it will be Cruz.
If the RNC snatches the leaders and "disposes" of them by some lawyerly rules, the RNC is done and a new party will have to emerge even if the RNC has to field a compromise candidate and win by default in 2016 because Hillary crashes and burns.
They won't have the support in 2020 unless they fulfill the promises of both Cruz and Trump.
Im gonna bet my money now on Paul Ryan.....
This whole process is such a cluster ****
I'm with you on Cruz, I think.I selected "other", simply because I don't know who the GOP Elite will pick if Trump doesn't get the 1237 delegates...except that I know it won't be Cruz, who most definitely won't get 1237 delegates.
I'm with you on Cruz, I think.
1] - Trump will not get to 1237 - they hate him, so out he goes.
2] - Cruz is hated 2nd only to Trump, so bye bye.
3] - Ryan gets drafted, and accepts!
Actually though, I'm not sure they'll have the guts to dump Cruz and lose any last vestiges of the pretext that they respect their voters; so Cruz just might squeak by. But Trump is already history as of yesterday, and for the GOP it's not a second too early!
Pop the popcorn and chill the beer, the 2016 Republican nomination just got far more entertaining. With Trump clearly thumped in Wisconsin, his ability to secure the 1237 delegates necessary for the nomination seems a tad bit out of reach. With the campaign now turning northeast, Cruz' win in Wisconsin is but a mirage as his brand of Republican don't sell well in Philadelphia, New York, Boston, Hartford or Providence.
Cleveland is likely to be a contested convention. At a contested convention, the delegates are bound in the 1st round. In the 2nd round of balloting, its up to the rules of the delegates. Will the delegates affirm the rules of 2012 and require an 8 state victory threshold? If so, it would be Cruz v. Trump, with one of them the likely victor. Will Trump outdeal Cruz or will Cruz out politic Trump?
If it goes beyond, its any man's game. The convention will likely focus on an outsider... Romney? Ryan? Gingrich? Who?
Who will leave Cleveland with the Republican nomination?
1) Trump?
2) Cruz?
3) Kasich?
4) Rubio?
5) Ryan?
6) Romney?
7) Gingrich?
8) Clinton?
9) Other?
Don't tell us who you want, tell us who you think it will be. Discuss...
Pop the popcorn and chill the beer, the 2016 Republican nomination just got far more entertaining. With Trump clearly thumped in Wisconsin, his ability to secure the 1237 delegates necessary for the nomination seems a tad bit out of reach. With the campaign now turning northeast, Cruz' win in Wisconsin is but a mirage as his brand of Republican don't sell well in Philadelphia, New York, Boston, Hartford or Providence.
Cleveland is likely to be a contested convention. At a contested convention, the delegates are bound in the 1st round. In the 2nd round of balloting, its up to the rules of the delegates. Will the delegates affirm the rules of 2012 and require an 8 state victory threshold? If so, it would be Cruz v. Trump, with one of them the likely victor. Will Trump outdeal Cruz or will Cruz out politic Trump?
If it goes beyond, its any man's game. The convention will likely focus on an outsider... Romney? Ryan? Gingrich? Who?
Who will leave Cleveland with the Republican nomination?
1) Trump?
2) Cruz?
3) Kasich?
4) Rubio?
5) Ryan?
6) Romney?
7) Gingrich?
8) Clinton?
9) Other?
Don't tell us who you want, tell us who you think it will be. Discuss...
I see them pushing for Kasich. He's been in the race the whole time (as in technically participating, but never had a chance to win it), he has some crossover/independent appeal, and polls well in hypotheticals. They know they might as well throw in the towel if Cruz or Trump end up with the nomination. Ryan .... I mean I know they can pick him, but I just remember him as Romney's sidekick and being a "christian first american second" type. Santorum-lite maybe. As much as a portion of the base wants that type of candidate, its poison in the general. I think they're smart enough to know that and will go with Kasich, who doesn't have that issue at all. They may see Ryan as having some appeal to millenials, who are already miffed at Shillary. I'd still call that a bad move though, no ones getting excited about Ryan, and if Bernie loses most millenials won't bother to vote.
I'll say Ryan.
Cruz is way too far to the right to carry any of the purple states. And the GOP knows this. So they'll push for Ryan. Because of the Electoral votes any GOP nom needs to carry a few purple states. Cruz is just too conservative and quite frankly too slimy to get enough moderates and Indy's to vote for him.
Kasich is the guy to win Purple states. Ryan has issues. He may not win Ohio. Kasich will for sure. He probably wins Florida too.
Yeah, but Ryan is more well known. He was Romney's VP choice. He's Speaker of the House.
And quite frankly in the current condition of the GOP, Kasich might be seen as too moderate. Even without a Trump to screw up this years campaign, because of the current mess in the GOP, they have quite a balancing act on their hands. They need someone conservative enough to keep the very vocal far right base happy, but someone moderate enough to not piss off the moderate and Indy voters.
I doubt Kasich will make the far right, that 30% or so of the GOP base happy. Nominating Kasich might be enough for that 30% to split from the GOP. On the other hand Ryan might, MIGHT be conservative enough to keep that 30% happy, or at least semi-happy. And mod enough to get some moderate votes.
Of course all of this depends on if Ryan would run.
Kasich is a Leftist but, doesn't know it. Of course he has cross-over appeal.
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