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The wind shear did knock it down...?
They knew it would strengthen 4 days ago...?
opposite on both
The wind shear did knock it down...?
They knew it would strengthen 4 days ago...?
Wrong. I read the forecasts. They said the shear and patterns would knock it down after landfall.opposite on both
look , you are stating a windspeed that is not officially recorded, or if it is, you have not cited it.Which says absolutely nothing. You think casting irrational doubt somehow lends support to any claim you make. This is the sort of mental handicap I was talking about.
Wrong. I read the forecasts. They said the shear and patterns would knock it down after landfall.
I first heard 4 or 5 days ago it would slow down and strengthen.
And your attempt to cast doubt is an irrational attempt to further a narrative for which you have zero evidence or good argument. I don't feel as though any more work is required of me. But all the work of propping up your narrative still lies ahead of you. Good luck.look , you are stating a windspeed that is not officially recorded, or if it is, you have not cited it.
Wrong again. Tantrums will not help you.Your post is full of shit.
I cannot help that you cannot support what you are claiming, while I can show the NOAA official weather station for what I am claiming.And your attempt to cast doubt is an irrational attempt to further a narrative for which you have zero evidence or good argument. I don't feel as though any more work is required of me. But all the work of propping up your bullshit narrative still lies ahead of you. Good luck.
Wrong again. Tantrums will not help you.
4 days ago:
Tropical Storm Ian forecast to rapidly intensify into hurricane today, significant threat eyes Florida
Ian is expected to become a hurricane Sunday night or early Monday, then reach major-hurricane strength by Monday night.www.fox6now.com
I think what happened is that there are three types of measurementsThen get knocked down to a one. Good ****in grief. Are you even serious?
Your post is full of shit.
I was right. People are obviously overreacting because Ian went through the south side of Orlando and totally missed Gainesville. Schools and trash pickup were canceled for nothing.
Psychological projection BIGTIME!!!!! !!!!
opposite on both
Geez, how long are you going to whine about “blown forecast”. Get over it.
What is your compulsion to defend the blown forecast?
Seems like psychological projection to me.
What is your compulsion to focus on a very minor situation when thousands of people are now without homes? That is the real question.
For the longest time, I thought he was a robot, but then I thoughtYour posts are clownish.
Climate Change Rapidly Intensified Hurricane Ian Before Landfall
Here's what the IPCC says:
IPCC AR5 Chapter 14 Page 1220
Cyclones
Based on process understanding and agreement in 21st century projections,
it is likely that the global frequency of occurrence of tropical cyclones will either
decrease or remain essentially unchanged, concurrent with a likely increase in
both global mean tropical cyclone maximum wind speed and precipitation rates.
The future influence of climate change on tropical cyclones is likely to vary by
region, but the specific characteristics of the changes are not yet well quantified
and there is low confidence in region-specific projections of frequency and intensity.
_______________________________________________________________________________________
[T]he specific characteristics of the changes are not yet well quantified and there
is low confidence in region-specific projections of frequency and intensity.
The IPCC assessment reports are like the Bible, you can find what you want
support your argument.
Me? I'd say after reading through the Tropical Cyclone sections of Chapter 14
and IPCC AR5 Chapter 2 2.6.3 Tropical Storms the IPCC simply doesn't know,
and neither do you.
The story has been updated. It no longer says this: "While I don't have confirmed numbers, I definitely know the fatalities are in the hundreds," Lee County Sheriff Carmine Marceno said"Not for the
Not for the hundreds mentioned!
Here is what your cited story said,
Landfall was difficult to forecast because it came in at an oblique angle. A shift in track would also give the shear more or less time to decrease the intensity. Turns out it was less.It landed south and instead of experiencing the wind sheer which was forecast to knock it down to a Cat 1, it ballooned to just short of a Cat 5.
Windspeed could be reduced by interaction with buildings and trees. Ft Myers is not on the coast. That weather station is up a river from the coast.look , you are stating a windspeed that is not officially recorded, or if it is, you have not cited it.
I am stating that the wind speed wind speed measured at a NOAA official station, at Fort Myers, neve got above 80 knots.
mine is not some hypothetical speed, but an actual measured speed recorded.
Fort Myers, FL - Station ID: 8725520
View attachment 67415574
That station is inland. Interaction with the land will reduce windspeed. An observer on the actual coast would see greater wind speeds. Fort Myers Beach got it worse than Fort Myers.I think what happened is that there are three types of measurements
Drop sensors, doppler radar, and ground based weather stations.
The drop sensors record the wind speed and pressure as the fall to the ocean.
The doppler looks into the clouds from a distance and measures how fast the raindrops are moving,
and lastly the ground station is an anemometer.
It is entirely possible that the high level winds hundreds if not thousands of feet from the ground measured much higher wind speeds.
but we have the actual anemometer reading from the NOAA station in Fort Myers, and it never got above 80 knots.
It might cut the wind down by 10% but not reduce the speed from 150 mph to below 80 mph, there is simply too much an energy difference.That station is inland. Interaction with the land will reduce windspeed. An observer on the actual coast would see greater wind speeds. Fort Myers Beach got it worse than Fort Myers.