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U.S. scientists officially declare 2016 the hottest year on record.


If you can come up with some type of scientific data to show that the earth is prone to dramatic short term temperature pertubations that are greater than long term ones, I'd love to see it.

Because I havent seen anything that suggests that to be a fact at all.
 
Well that idiot PM in Canada bought into this whole climate change is going to be catastrophic garbage. They just instituted a carbon tax, and Canadians just love him for it.. Sarc/

That asshole is gone as soon as he can get gone!

Tim-
 
You were the one who said,
"Good thing we're not only using this single datapoint then, but rather an entire century or more, eh?"
How do you interpret your own words?

In a greater context.

You can whine about picking data during an el nino, but the truth is that's not the only data showing we're getting warmer.
 
Thats a good answer but your course of action is based on suspicious assumptions

In either case without an increase in global temps we would be facing global cooling which is much more stressful on humans

What "suspicious assumptions?"
 



Humans inhabit the earth everywhere from the arctic circle to the Sahara desert, and I promise you the variation in temperature between those areas is an order of magnitude greater than any worldwide change you will see in the next several millenia.



Besides, where are the most biologically rich and diverse areas of the earth right now? That's right, the tropics, where it's warm. Plants thrive with warmer temps and a higher CO2 level.



So we're not going to starve. Our primative ancestors survived much greater variations in global temperatures without the benefit of any of our technology, just animal skins and basic shelter.



The worst that will happen is that some areas may slowly over time become too arid for crops. But at the same time, other areas that are currently too cold will become quite fertile. Some coastal areas may be flooded. But people will move, just as they always have. These changes will take place over hundreds or even thousands of years.
 

Organisms adapt to their environment, but faster changes requires faster adaptation and it can be harmful if the organism is unable to do so.

Talking about this from a human body heat perspective is... um... missing the point.
 
Mass die offs due to out of control algae blooms in our oceans will not be good for you or your garden.
Wouldnt mass algae blooms lower the CO2 levels?

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Wouldnt mass algae blooms lower the CO2 levels?

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Yes, but they also kill everything else in the ocean. It's like red tide, but on a more massive scale. It's where middle eastern oil came from.
 
What "suspicious assumptions?"

That man-made-global-warming is primarily caused by humans and it will lead catastrophic harm to the earth
 
That man-made-global-warming is primarily caused by humans and it will lead catastrophic harm to the earth

I'm not worried about the earth being harmed. It'll keep spinning with or without us.
 

Not sure why that would even matter. Rapid changes have almost certainly occurred before, the planet has been around for a long time. But that doesn't preclude our influence, nor does it mean such changes are benign.
 
Well THATS a fake graph.

The projections 31 years ago (and previous to that) were that we would be warmer than ever recorded in 30 years.

Looks like they nailed it.

That dishonest Christy chart has been doing the rounds for a while on the internet. It's so flawed and dishonest it could never be published or found on legitimate science websites. Here it is again, shown with some of the tricks used to deceive:


Here's a more accurate chart from Berkeley Earth:



And an update of figure 10.1 in Ch10 in the IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 report

 
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In this case not much, Nature provided a big fat El Nino event that skewed the first 4 months of the year.
Of course counting the warming from a known weather event as part of a warming trend is disingenuous at best.

It's been 'disingenuous' at best for all the science deniers who kept claiming there was no warming while using one satellite tropospheric data set 'counting' from the 1997/98 extreme el Nino year.

Here's a breakdown of the el Nino contribution:



Note the different scales on the temperature color bars.
 
Are you pretending to so hilariously misunderstand my post or are you actually that wrong?

He's 'that wrong'. Just strings a couple of "sciency sounding" words together but makes no sense.
 

Here's another chart from Gavin Schmidt (NASA GISS):

 

For some perspective, try watching a short 24 minute presentation by Prof Richard Alley at the National Academy of Sciences 2015 Symposium on 4.6 billion years of earth's climate history


If you don't know who Prof Richard Alley is, here is his CV
http://www.geosc.psu.edu/sites/default/files/alley_vitalong_jan17.pdf
 
In a greater context.

You can whine about picking data during an el nino, but the truth is that's not the only data showing we're getting warmer.
No, it is not, however the rate of the temperature rise during an El Nino event is like 10 times faster than would be possible
from the other sources. The contamination of the data is such, that it takes at least 40 months to average the spike out.
 
Where did I say there was no warming?
It seems like this is what I said back in post#15.
Since it takes an mean of at least 40 months to average out the spike of an El Nino weather event.
We will not know for another 20 months if 2016 was anything special.
Also it is hypercritical to on the one hand say counting from 1997/98 extreme el Nino year is wrong,
while at the same time saying 2015/16 extreme el Nino year is some record breaking year.
Pretty graphics and estimates aside, it takes about 40 months to average out the spike from an El Nino.
Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs
 
The "change" people don't tell me what they want to change the climate to, or what year or decade they want to use as "normal" weather.

It really doesn't matter. Of course, you know what the solution is to global warming, right? Bigger government and higher taxes. More power for our politicians to force us to pour money into windmills. Then, temperatures will start dropping. After that, they will give us an ice age scare, that we need to do something about right now! Raise taxes again!
 

 
No, it is not, however the rate of the temperature rise during an El Nino event is like 10 times faster than would be possible
from the other sources. The contamination of the data is such, that it takes at least 40 months to average the spike out.

Great, so lets use 30 years.
 
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