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Everyone keeps talking about this number like it is so huge, but there is no frame of reference. What is the number historically? What was it last year, 5 years ago, 10 years ago, et al? They have latched onto this number like it is the Holy Grail, but there is no way to really use it as a statistic unless we know more about it.
I assume you are talking about the "x% that pay nothing in fed income tax". I think that number did jump when the recession started. Obviously it didn't jump due to tax cuts as there were none that correlated with the start of the recession, so I would think that it could be attributed to unemployment. A family with two $35,000 incomes would pay federal income tax, but a family that lost one of those incomes for more than a few months would drop into the category of those who don't.
I do know that when income tax was first created, it only applied to the top few percent, most people paid nothing, and I beleve it stayed that way until WWII at which time everyones taxes went up substantially.
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