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The data says that no sitting member of the House of Representatives has won the Presidency since...James Garfield in 1880. And if a sitting member of the House WAS going to win, there are about 400 more mainstream choices than Ron Paul. :roll:
But I'll tell you what. If you're convinced, you should head over to InTrade. Contracts on Ron Paul winning the presidency are currently trading at 1.0%. If you bet on him, you'll make a fortune when you prove us all wrong.
The data says that no sitting member of the House of Representatives has won the Presidency since...James Garfield in 1880. And if a sitting member of the House WAS going to win, there are about 400 more mainstream choices than Ron Paul. :roll:
But I'll tell you what. If you're convinced, you should head over to InTrade. Contracts on Ron Paul winning the presidency are currently trading at 1.0%. If you bet on him, you'll make a fortune when you prove us all wrong.
Even if I were a betting man I could not reasonably discount the possibility that some "lone wacko" will knock him off before he gets the chance.
I know the corporate propaganda complex we call the media is telling you it is absolutely impossible, but the very things they claim to look to in order to determine that are telling the exact opposite. The data is saying he is fully capable of winning the nomination and ultimately the Presidency.
This rise in the polls by Sarah Palin has a democrat like myself really worried. A few days ago I was convinced that no Republican could beat Obama in 2012 but now I see Palin has a movie coming out, has a national tour, and now is rapidly rising in the polls.
I sure hope the GOP does not nominate Sarah Palin for president. I am really scared of Sarah Palin as a nominee. Every person should do all they have to do to make sure she does not get the nomination because it would really hurt the Obama reelection chances.
was that convincing?
That is nonsense. As I said Ron Paul's approval ratings are far higher than his current share of the votes in these polls. In other words, he has plenty of room to grow.
I know the corporate propaganda complex we call the media is telling you it is absolutely impossible, but the very things they claim to look to in order to determine that are telling the exact opposite. The data is saying he is fully capable of winning the nomination and ultimately the Presidency.
IBOPE | Zogby IBOPE Zogby Poll: Cain Now Second to Christie As Top Choice Of GOP Primary VotersWhich of the following candidates would you never vote for?
Candidate GOP Voters
Donald Trump 50%
Newt Gingrich 36%
Sarah Palin 36%
Mike Huckabee 34%
Ron Paul 32%
Mitt Romney 27%
Michele Bachman 27%
Gary Johnson 26%
Rick Santorum 25%
Herman Cain 17%
Tim Pawlenty 16%
Because even though there are plenty of undecideds who might break for Mitt Romney or Tim Pawlenty or Jon Huntsman or (if she runs) Sarah Palin, they sure as hell aren't going to break for Ron Paul. That 10% support for Ron Paul is pretty close to his ceiling. Most Republican primary voters just flat-out disagree with him on the issues.
I may go the next step and search for it, but I seem to recall you claiming about 5 years ago that his ceiling was 3-5%.
If you were a betting man, you wouldn't worry about such a statistically unlikely scenario as him being "knocked off".
It'd be like holding pocket aces and folding because you are worried about someone pulling a flush with 7-2 off suit.
Hell, the dude's going to be 76 this August. It's a far more reasonable assumption that his ticker gives out before the primaries than to worry about assasination.
Today's polling numbers are meaningless. Given the time involved, the uncertainty is so great that even a candidate who is in the lead is not assured of actually winning the nomination.
His number is pretty high for the people who would never vote for him, though not as high as Palin's.
IBOPE | Zogby IBOPE Zogby Poll: Cain Now Second to Christie As Top Choice Of GOP Primary Voters
whoever the nominee is for the GOP, it doesn't matter because Obama will be the easiest person to run against. If anything, the GOP primaries will be harder. Palin has a good shot to win it and she would be a great president and certainly better than the president we have right now but at the end of the day, the nominee (if it's not another "mccain") can stream roll through Obama.
Ron Paul is not young, but he is in far better health than McCain.
If he drops from a heart attack than it probably wouldn't be a natural condition.
WTF does McCain have ot do with a bet on Ron paul winning the election?
So you know his cholesterol levels? His triglycerides?
You've said some erally stupid **** around here, but this is the dumbest thing you have ever said. I mean really and truly retarded. Sig-worthy in it's stupidity.
He's 76. If he dies of a heart attack, it's almost a certainty it was a natural condition.
Run Sarah Run......I've been saying for months that Palin is the only shot that the GOP has. The GOP would be foolish NOT to convince Palin to run and then to nominate her.
The only reason you want her to win the nomination is because it would guarantee Obama his second term.
You were talking about Ron Paul's age as a reason why he might drop dead before taking office. McCain's health is far worse yet it seems he would have been more than capable of surviving up to this point had he won.
You obviously do not know much about Ron Paul.
He is known for being avid about his health. I may not know his cholesterol levels, but I have little doubt he keeps it well within healthy parameters.
The idea of him dropping dead from a heart attack in the next few years is ridiculous.
Of people his age Paul is in the category that stands a very good chance of living to at least age 90 and possibly even older.
My opinion that it would not be a natural condition is based on the fact he has a very healthy lifestyle and no history of serious medical problems that I can recall. Were he to die of a heart attack before the election I do not believe it would be naturally-induced. There are many known ways to artificially induce a heart attack that are difficult or impossible to trace.
Like I said, your characterization of this as absurd is based on your naive and misguided belief that an assassination is out of the question.
Bachmann and Palin both stumping. I love it! The GOP is doing it's damndest not to push a serious candidate. How many more do we need to get "Bridesmaid's?"
I was talking about how the statstical probability of him dying of a heart attack is much greater than the chances of hm being assasinated with regards to making bets.
You obviously don't know much about statistics or medicine.
Translation: You make **** up and pretend it is fact.
two words: Jim Fixx
And on what made up information did you base this made up "probability"?
My opinion is that this is a totally retarded belief.
More idiotic statements from you, DoL.
I didn't say assasination is out of the question. That is just some idiotic nonsense you made up (your typical system of belief development, apparently).
I said that assasination is not likely and that using it as a reason to ***** out of making a real bet is just stupid. I then said a heart attack is more likely, but I didn't say it was likely.
The only reason you want her to win the nomination is because it would guarantee Obama his second term.
Someone as healthy as Ron Paul is someone I would sooner bet on getting assassinated before attaining the presidency as opposed to dying of a heart attack beforehand.
The only thing I have screaming out at me here is "They are here to protect us! They are here to protect us! They are here to protect us!" What are you doing here anyway? Isn't American Gladiators on?
You may not consider it likely, but I consider it to be very likely should he be at the verge of ascending to the Presidency.
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