Expected profit is not theft because you are making a couple of assumptions.
First, you are assuming that people who downloaded your movie would have bought the movie had they not downloaded it.
Second, you dont know if it really was the downloading that hurt your sales because a total number of downloads doesn't tell you anything about what those files were used for or who downloaded them. These downloads could have been from China where your movie wasn't released and therefore you would have received no profit from that market anyways.
Third, you cant preemptively claim people's money as your own if they haven't even spent it yet. You can expect a certain amount of money to be spent, but you cant claim it as theft if some external source diverts that revenue away from you because that money was never yours to begin with.
This entire example is moot because both RIAA and MPAA people have admitted in court under oath that the downloading of media doesn't significantly impact their sales.
Oops: MPAA admits college piracy numbers grossly inflated
On top of that, we have a shift in our media consumption that is changing the way media is distributed. When estimating a sales loss, the RIAA and other groups do not differentiate between legitimate downloading (Amazon, iTunes) and file sharing services
and consider the download of one song to be equal to the loss of sale of one CD. CD sales and theater ticket sales are falling because these are out-dated and expensive forms of media consumption that can be rivaled or surpassed by other means so the slump in CD and ticket sales cannot be solely blamed on file sharing services.
Furthermore, this sort of scary rhetoric has been around since before any computer was ever fired up. People thought that sheet music would kill live performances, then they thought recorded music would kill live performances, then they said that people recording off the radio onto cassettes would kill the music industry, then they said the same thing about Betamax and VCRs. Every generation there's some new BS scare story about us NEVER HAVING ANY MORE MUSIC EVER AGAIN if the public somehow gets a hold of some new recording medium. It was bull**** then, it's bull**** now.
What we are seeing is a shift away from the corporate labels and into more independent music and film. The music and movie INDUSTRIES may die, but movies and music never will.
Its your choice as a sentient human being if you want to do something or not. I didnt hide anything from you or obfuscate. You asked a direct question, I answered.