The idea did not originate with me. I read an interview with a former Israeli Chief of Staff. I think the article was in the WSJ.
Actually, it makes sense. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has said Israel is a one bomb country...meaning that it would take only one nuclear warhead to destroy the country. Most of Israel's strategic assets are on the coastal plain. One bomb could wipe out the State of Israel without touching the Muslim holy sites.
So move those assets around a site the Iranians won't attack. There is doubt that Iran can be deterred from attacking Israel with nuclear weapons based on the MAD Doctrine. But there is reasonable certainty that Iran will not destroy the Dome of the Rock and Al Aqsa mosque. In other words, Israel can protect itself by taking Muslim holy sites hostage.
I'm not approving of the strategy. I'm just explaining the complete logic of using Muslim holy sites to defend Israel. To me this is an intellectual exercise. In my version of America, Israel and Palestine don't matter. I'm a neo-isolationist.
I was sending an e-mail to state it was not your idea when I noticed yours. I back up what you say. I did read it coming from him and for that matter other non Israeli "security" experts as well.
Me personally, I am a bit skeptical about it. I can understand Leila's reaction. Whenone reads these scenarios on nuclear warfare they sound so surealistic but again I believe the Chief of Staff was engaging in an intellectual exercise and was not intending to be taken literally. There was more context to it. It was I believe stated in a way to show the absurdity of where the dialogue could go. The IDF and I think I am saying most Israelis and Palestinians are well aware there is no effective way to plan for survival against an incoming nuclear attack from Iran.
This is why most IDF scenarios are pro-active and I believe the IDF Chief of Staff was really presenting justification as to why it would make more sense to engage in preventative pro active scenarios first.
The reality is not just Israel, but the Gulf Arab States, Egypt, the Palestinian Authority, Jordan, Lebanon and Saudi Arabia all share Israel's same concern over a nuclear attack. They all have security concerns over such an attack.
I speculate Israel's real concern is Iran exporting its nuclear weapons capacity to terror cells all across the Middle East that want Israel wiped off the map and who view the killing of millions of Muslims to achieve this goal a minor collateral inconvenience and one that will simply have all such Muslims sent to heaven as martyrs anyways.
I think the US's concern is the havoc such an attack would cause on world oil prices. I think Saudi Arabia, Egypt and the Gulf Arab states fear Iran would topple them next. I believe in the case of Lebanon and Jordan its a purely physical problem of having most of its citizens wiped out from radioactive fall out. For that matter a bomb if sent into Israel would probably be aimed at Tel Aviv not Jerusalem and the fall out from Tel Aviv would spread as well into Saudi Arabia and Syria.
I think the European Union and Japan fret over what could happen to world oil prices and I believe China has the most to lose as Iran is a cheap source for its oil and gas supplies and retaliation against Iran could seriously cripple China's economic engine desperately addicted to these cheap resources.
Huge oil finds off the coast of Brazil are now going to see Brazil become a major oil player and therefore ally of Iran and Brazil's oil clout will offer China and India alternative oil supplies.
If I was Israel, the U.S. and Europe, I would be spending much more time developing non oil energy sources and water technology. That is the wave of the future. Building state of the art fighter jets to prop oil puppet states is very short sighted and stale dated.
The three largest needs of the future are water, then non oil energy sources, then food production capacity.