Again, it doesn't matter how good you are. Pollsters use a 95% confidence level which means even if everything is done perfectly, you still have a 1 in 20 chance that your prediction is bad.
IMO... yes.That’s right. The much revered Des Moines Register of the deep red state of Iowa places Harris ahead of Traitor Trump.
- Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
- A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.
- The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.
- Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.
Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how
The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”www.desmoinesregister.com
A sign of what we’ll see on Tuesday?
debatepolitics.com
Why on earth would any woman give their precious vote for a PIG who once bragged that “if you’re famous you can do anything you want” including grabbing a woman by her genitalia then, in effect, RAPING a woman??
The Des Moines Register poll has a +/- 3.4 percentage point margin of error, and has accurately predicted the state’s winner 4 out of the 5 last presidential races.
Theoretically, it wouldn’t make any difference.
I posted earlier that Harris is up 3 in Michigan and 2 in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as well so as ahead 5 nationally according to a recent Marist poll.
Harris hasn’t bothered to campaign for at-risk House members out your way.
In 16 many who were polled, stated they were voting D, yet were voting for TrumpThat’s right. The much revered Des Moines Register of the deep red state of Iowa places Harris ahead of Traitor Trump.
- Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
- A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.
- The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.
- Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.
Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how
The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”www.desmoinesregister.com
A sign of what we’ll see on Tuesday?
An attempted coup
Highly regarded and reliable
And nobody will be laughing harder than me. Except maybe Kamala and Tim.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
This will be one of my sources for voting totals.ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
But it doesn't because ann has been touted as the gold standard for the past 8 years at least.
I'll be cackling.
The "difference it would make" is in having a prediction that you feel more confident is correct. In all likelihood, this is an outlier poll, but we won't know until the results are in.
Two points;
To be clear, I'm not attacking The Des Moines Register as a source. It just doesn't look good when you consider that poll as one data point. Likewise I'm not saying the Emerson poll is better, just recent enough that we could also expect it to show some kind of shift in Harris's favor. The fact that the Emerson poll actually shows Trump gaining ground since Harris entered the race isn't a good sign. Granted, there haven't been a whole lot of polls in Iowa, but I would like some kind of confirmation for something so unexpected.Thanks. What’s Emerson’s track record in Iowa?
The Des Moines Register has gotten 4 of the last 5 presidential elections right.
How do past Iowa Poll results compare with presidential election results in Iowa?
When an Iowa Poll is released, readers often wonder how close polls track to election results. Compare the past 20 years of presidential results.www.desmoinesregister.com
Yeah, I remember Bruce Braley. He couldn’t stop offending people with his big mouth. And old farmer Chuck, the lackey who the congressional governmental overthrow artists were going to use in place of Pence, is still around
You don't know that. Mathematically, you can't possibly know that. I've explained this ad nauseam.
Finally down to the last few days.
there are some MAGA women on this very site that would allow trump to "grab" them in their parts.
