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Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day

Juggernaut74 said:
I would be so proud of my fellow Iowans to see us in the blue column again.
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Tell the folks here about the three congressional races, and Iowans rebelling against Reynolds.
We’ll be out over Thanksgiving, but won’t be talking politics with my farmer in-laws.
 
Todays polling is all over the place. They used to be conducted the same and except for Fox the results were pretty much the same. This is no longer true. Do some research. With the disappearance of land lines things have changed. They all have different ways of doing their research now. The results show this and they can vary widely.
 
Harris being ahead anywhere would be good news were it not for what the *rump camp will do with that news -- dead people voting, ballot stuffing, votes for *rump being counted for Harris, election corruption, stolen election, fake ballots, alien lasers brainwashing voters -- It's all so soul sucking tiresome.
 
I’m not thinking that administering a snarlin to a microphone will help things………🤷
 
A poll that takes a snapshot in time (that’s what polls do) and gets a 49/43 result and at the end of an election the results are 45/47 is not necessarily wrong.

What almost all polls are predicting is a close race with Harris having very slight popular vote lead and the electoral college prediction a virtual tie.
 
Mike1950 said:
Todays polling is all over the place. They used to be conducted the same and except for Fox the results were pretty much the same. This is no longer true. Do some research. With the disappearance of land lines things have changed. They all have different ways of doing their research now. The results show this and they can vary widely.
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Iowa used to be 1/3 D, 1/3 R, and 1/3 I as long as I’ve been going there since 1984.
After Obama won it twice, Branstad came back for a 2nd 8-year governorship.
That is what flipped Iowa to Trump, who promised Branstad the ambassadorship to China.
 
RaleBulgarian said:
The Des Moines Register poll was conducted between 10/28 and 10/31.

What more recent poll showing Traitor Trump with a 9 point lead in Iowa are you referring to?

Post link.
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You can see it here, the Emerson College poll from Nov 1/2
 
Gatsby said:
That is very surprising, and a relief. Kamala Harris is unlikely to win Iowa, but if the poll is anywhere close to accurate then Kamala Harris should win Wisconsin and Michigan by a decent margin.

I'd warn against over-emphasizing a single poll...but if there is any single poll that changes my perception of the race, it's Ann Selzer's Iowa poll. She is one of the best pollsters and she's unafraid to go against the consensus.
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There's another poll that has Trump with a 10+ lead in Iowa. I'm afraid this is hopium and a false positive. But maybe Iowa shocks the world on election day 😃
 
RaleBulgarian said:
That’s right. The much revered Des Moines Register of the deep red state of Iowa places Harris ahead of Traitor Trump.
  • Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
  • A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.
  • The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.
  • Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.
www.desmoinesregister.com

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”
www.desmoinesregister.com

A sign of what we’ll see on Tuesday?
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I'm hoping this is true and we can be rid of the orange degenerate for good.
 
RaleBulgarian said:
You’re missing the point.

It is a statewide poll of Iowans by the Des Moines Register

It is no “outlier”.
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It doesn't matter if it's statewide or who conducted it. There's always a risk of an outlier.
 
RaleBulgarian said:
That’s right. The much revered Des Moines Register of the deep red state of Iowa places Harris ahead of Traitor Trump.
  • Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
  • A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.
  • The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.
  • Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.
www.desmoinesregister.com

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”
www.desmoinesregister.com

A sign of what we’ll see on Tuesday?
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This is especially interesting that from what I hear there wasn't a lot of money put into Iowa by the democrats.
 
Mike1950 said:
Todays polling is all over the place. They used to be conducted the same and except for Fox the results were pretty much the same. This is no longer true. Do some research. With the disappearance of land lines things have changed. They all have different ways of doing their research now. The results show this and they can vary widely.
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I wouldn't trust a poll as far as I could throw a house. I predict it will be a landslide for Harris.
 
EnigmaO01 said:
This is especially interesting that from what I hear there wasn't a lot of money put into Iowa by the democrats.
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Neither side has done anything there since the primaries.
 
RaleBulgarian said:
And why would they, right? 🤷‍♂️
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It might have been a good thing for D money to stay away, with three at-risk GOP Reps.
Iowa farmers and related small businesses haven’t forgotten how badly they were hurt by Trump’s tariffs.
Let GOP Gov. Reynolds sink with women with her support of DeSantis and the 6-week abortion ban.
 
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