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Very trueThe problem (for them) is that they believe their base is big enough. Unfortunately, in some places it is big enough. Luckily it likely isn't enough places in most states. Which could be very good for Dems in Senate races, but also could be an issue in House races.
I did say before the 2020 election Trump's base is not enough to get him to 270, and he lost indies. Pre election polls indicated so but his supporters claimed the polls where wrong.
In the end i was correct and they where wrong.