I would hate to see Scottish independence because I believe that between Scotland, the North of England and Wales, the UK retains some kind of social and political balance. Without Scotland the UK would become a much more conservative, xenophobic, jingoistic and insular nation. Someone mentioned that the North might begin agitating for greater devolution, but the North has no forum or institutions with which to promote or articulate such sentiments.
Andy,I understand what you mean by balance, but i think it goes much further. From the inception of devolution the various forms Scottish parliament, Welsh assembly, NI assembly have all sought, with varying degrees of success, to gain autonomy. I see that more as a desire for separation, than to provide some form of counter balance with Westminster. What i can see, and to an extent empathise with (considering I'm located in a peripheral region) is that feeling of disenfranchisement from the capital, the feeling of neglect in terms of infrastructure and government liquidity stopping at invisible regional barriers, the Watford gap springs to mind
I'm not 100% sure of the stats, but I believe that, without Scotland, an election such as the 1997 landslide would be needed to deliver any kind of Labour majority. I think that having Scotland in the Union is essential to maintain the social cohesion of the entire nation. I think Britain needs Scotland more than Scotland needs Britain. A Britain totally dominated by the Southeast, with a very different set of values and attitudes from the Midlands and North is a recipes for long-term unrest and possible disintegration.
I think IC made the pertinent point that for Cameron (the Conservatives) this is probably a no loose situation. The drubbing at the last general election highlights the level of how far out of touch Scotland feels, with the Conservatives, and would probably need campaigning of epic proportions with very little scope for reversing their fortunes to make any impact. So permanently wiping out the 30 or so Labour MP's may look very attractive.
On the other hand, I think that the Scots need, and perhaps won't need any encouragement, to ignore the consequences of independence for anyone except themselves. They certainly don't need Cameron telling them what's right or wrong in the pursuit of their own future.
I can see how that looks, but feel as we are a 'United Kingdom' being part of that comes some obligation to the other nations, that is not me suggesting Cameron needs to drive the process, but have a say all the same.
Paul