Right now I'd say there's plenty of people fed up with Trump's childish antics and very unpresidential behavior that policy and the direction of the country is taking a back seat. Trump's obnoxious, uncouth personality is something I've been warning Trump supporters and Republicans ever since Trump first took the office of the president.
I spoke loudly of it prior to the 2018 midterms. But was met from Trumpers about how good the economy was and how the Republicans would actually pick up seats in the house. Oops, the blue wave happened. It's the same today without the great economy. Independents changed from Trump in 2016 to democrats in 2018 by a 54-42 margin. The GOP is still the smaller of the two major parties, so it is a must Trump and company win the independent vote or lose the election.
In 2016, independents didn't like either major party candidate, they just disliked Hillary more than Trump. right now you have 21% of independents who like Trump, 50% do not. The rest fall into the neither like nor dislike or undecided, not sure column. Biden does fair a bit better among independents 29% like, 34% dislike. The rest falling into the neither like nor dislike or undecided, not sure column.
There's the rub, in 2016 Trump was disliked by 57% of independents, Hillary by 70%. An advantage of 13 points for Trump which paid off by him winning the independent vote even though 12% of independents voted against both major party candidates. This time or at least as of now, the advantage goes to Biden 34% vs 50%, a 16 point advantage. This is important as history shows folks usually don't vote for someone they disliked.
for a good many independents, the presidential election is a beauty contest. their likes and dislikes, they're perceptions of the candidates takes front and center. For them, this election could and I should say, is turning into a personality contest. At least as of today.
I do agree that Biden who is viewed as a moderate is being pulled further and further left. That you're probably correct that he will become a stooge for the far left. If so, if Biden abandons his more moderate stances, I guarantee the Republican Party will regain control of the house in 2022. You can write that down. It's being seen as a moderate and as an adult that is Biden's biggest strengths among independents. You don't want to disappoint them. If Biden and company does, expect another 1994 and 2010 to happen in 2022. Like 2018, when there was no Hillary around to save Trump and the Republicans, in 2022 there will be no Trump to save Biden and the democrats. Especially if the Democrats take this as a mandate for their policies when in reality it is all about getting rid of Trump, the man-child. 60% of Independents still view the Democratic Party very unfavorably, while 62% view the Republican Party very unfavorable. Neither is liked.