“From a purely military/tactical standpoint, Russia has the manpower and firepower to take Kyiv. No question,” said an American source familiar with the intelligence. “And no matter how much resistance the Ukrainians put up.”
And at the end of the day, officials tracking the campaign say, the ugly truth remains that Ukraine is massively outgunned and outmanned
“While the Ukrainians are putting on a stiff defense, and a much better one than I think the Russians anticipated, there will be a time where they will run out of ammunition. There will come a time where they run out of fuel and they can’t move,” this person said. “We are mindful of that and they are mindful of that.”
That's small comfort for the cost to Ukraine, world order, and democracy.It will fall but I think the fact that Putin has seen much more resistance both by Ukraine as well as the rest of the world that he may keep his aggression in check for a while.
That is defeatism. Yes it may happen but speculating about it is not useful.We've had a lot of feel-good surprises, the huge heroism of Ukraine's resistance, Russian blunders and lack of success, the world's political unity against Putin - but unfortunately, none of it changes the likelihood that Putin can defeat Kyiv.
We're likely to see the news become just more and more filled with tragedy, barring some unexpected change in course by Putin.
US officials fear the worst is yet to come for Kyiv
Ukrainian forces have so far managed to stave off Russian ground forces massed less than 20 miles north of the embattled capital Kyiv -- but though they've defied US intelligence predictions that the city would likely fall within one to four days of a full-scale Russian assault, US officials...www.cnn.com
^^ This.Taken, but hell to hold.
It's not pleasant, it's not fun, it is useful.That is defeatism. Yes it may happen but speculating about it is not useful.
Agreed. It's not clear what his longer term plan is or if he has one. But likely not impossible to hold. The world is filled with governments against the will of the people.Taken, but hell to hold.
The battle has barely begun and so many are already writing Ukraine off.That is defeatism. Yes it may happen but speculating about it is not useful.
I do not think that anything is going any differently than Putin planed.
Not now. What happens over the next few days will determine the map of Europe and our politics.It's not pleasant, it's not fun, it is useful.
Disagree. The future of Ukraine, and Europe as a whole, will not be decided in the next few days.Not now. What happens over the next few days will determine the map of Europe and our politics.
I think you are being naive. I think the meeting with Xi was to establish back door trade plans. China needs raw materials and Russia needs the cash.The battle has barely begun and so many are already writing Ukraine off.
That’s some weak shit.
If those nations that have already spoken up maintain solidarity with Ukraine, keeping sanctions in place, and increasing pressure wherever possible, Putin will be forced to withdraw.
You must be very excited.
How?It's not pleasant, it's not fun, it is useful.
I’m certain you’re being ignorant.I think you are being naive. I think the meeting with Xi was to establish back door trade plans. China needs raw materials and Russia needs the cash.
You qualified with "as a whole". Why"Disagree. The future of Ukraine, and Europe as a whole, will not be decided in the next few days.
I honestly think that Putin’s reputation has suffered irreparable damage at this stage of the war. Not sure at all where he goes and how hard he goes.
can we not have a civil discussion? These are important things and need to be discussed.I’m certain you’re being ignorant.
He doesn’t look physically well, I know he is only 69, the world leadership needs some younger blood, Zelensky (sp?) seems to be up to the task……I predict that he will not be alive in 2023. He will be killed or off himself. The latter, the evil coward that he has proven himself to be will most likely come to fruition.
Having an accurate understanding is a good thing because of that.Not now. What happens over the next few days will determine the map of Europe and our politics.
I do not think that anything is going any differently than Putin planed. I will preface this with saying first that I am shocked what has happened. Now that the invasion has started, I have revisited the situation. Here is what I think will happen. Putin takes Kiev and most of the country except for most of the west. I do not think he plans on taking the west. Too much trouble. So, he takes the capital installs his puppet government. This is why he has not gone all out with his elite troops and equipment. He does not want to destroy Ukraine. He plans on slowly reducing the anger of the people. He does not expect acceptance by the people. He does not care frankly. His puppet government will recognize Crimea as being part of Russia. The Donbass will vote to be part of Russia and Russia will annex it. People in the west will riot and rebel but Putin will not care. He gets more territory, and the rest of Ukraine will be in chaos which will be just fine with Putin.
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