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[W:1607] ***2022 General Election Thread***

upsideguy said:
I could not believe how quickly the Bennet and Polis races were called here in Colorado. We were led to believe that while Bennet was favored, O'Dea had a shot
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While watching their debate, I was led to believe it would be a blowout.
 
Ethel2 said:
It’s going to be more of the same gridlock where the important issues get kicked down the road.
If the Democrats win the senate the republicans will filibuster anything important. If the republicans win the senate the democrats will either filibuster or Biden will make liberal use of the veto.
Nothing will change.
It would be really nice if our representatives would actually DO THEIR JOBS-lead and pull the country together.
No need to get overly optimistic or pessimistic about the results.
Unfortunately nothing will change.
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True for legislation. Not true for nomination of judges.
 
Cordelier said:
He's a fruitcake, sure... but I don't see a whole lot of merit in his opponent either.

Is it just me, or did both parties put up pretty weak players in all of these key Senate races? Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, and Ohio.... nobody from either party exactly blows me away.
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Pretty much. Each party appears to be allowing their least careful or coherent sections run the thing, the last few years.
 
Phys251 said:
I know you're talking about Georgia, but nationwide the NYT agrees with you. Currently they have the Senate as a tossup and the House as lean Rep. But not likely Rep, which surprises me.

And Walker's lead is down to a whisker. Safely under 50% for now.
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Yeah, I'm taken-back by the bolded. They must have a high bar for "Likely".
 
Chomsky said:
Yeah, I'm taken-back by the bolded. They must have a high bar for "Likely".
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Because only Florida's house seats are looking reliable flips. And there was some Desantian chicanery there.
 
Chomsky said:
Yeah, I'm taken-back by the bolded. They must have a high bar for "Likely".
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It's looking more and more likely that people who were looking forward to a red tsunami or a blue tsunami will both be disappointed. This election is going to be tight.
 
poweRob said:
Katie Hobbs is mudstomping Kari Lake with a little over half the votes counted.
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I deeply want the Trump wing expunged from the GOP, so, that would be great, but, "a little over half" doesn't do much for telling us one way or the other, unless they happen to be swing or red counties.
 
Chomsky said:
True. But Walker needs to cross 50%, and there's a Libertarian candidate involved.

I think run-off is more likely than not.
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Walker's lead has grown as the night progresses. He is approaching 50%, but if he does not get over the hump, he will win a runoff because the Libertarian candidate would not be in it. Certainly, this favors Walker.
 
cpwill said:
I deeply want the Trump wing expunged from the GOP, so, that would be great, but, "a little over half" doesn't do much for telling us one way or the other, unless they happen to be swing or red counties.
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Pima hasn't come in, last I looked.
 
reinaert said:
Frisch appears to have figured out that infrastructure matters more than the social stuff, at least in Co.
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She was an embarrassment of our state. We generally are pretty functional with serious candidates. Boebert slipped through the cracks.

www.denverpost.com

Lauren Boebert’s race against Adam Frisch too close to call from early results

U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert is running for reelection in Tuesday’s election, taking on challenger Adam Frisch in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District.
www.denverpost.com www.denverpost.com
 
upsideguy said:
He needs 50% plus or there is a run off. Right now, it appears to be a run-off. It would be nice if control of the Senate does not hinge on this.
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A run-off would potentially favor Walker, as the Libertarian candidate will be out.
 
Chomsky said:
I did forget Biden squeaked by in '20. But I haven't seen OH as a true bellwether since the Obama days. I see a slight Red lean.

However, I must admit Biden pulling it in '20 does support your argument.
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Ohio does have a slight Red lean, those percentages show it. After I work out the percentages, I draw the lines at <=33.33% is Blue, >=67.67% Red, everything in between Purple.
 
justoneman said:
Walker's lead has grown as the night progresses. He is approaching 50%, but if he does not get over the hump, he will win a runoff because the Libertarian candidate would not be in it. Certainly, this favors Walker.
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https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-georgia-us-senate.html (free login if you can't see it)

See those two big blue dots around Atlanta on the "Estimated votes remaining" map? Those are the deeply blue counties of Fulton and DeKalb.

Warnock is not out yet.
 
The Left's favorite target with slurs (Tim Scott) is talking on Fox News right now.
 
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