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Strange, I didn't see a decision come down from the court yet.
Uh, I hate to burst your bubble, but ALL pollsters use party weighting formulas.They use the same methodology, but it’s a bad methodology because they weight by Party ID, which is not a good polling practice. If they guess the partisan makeup correctly they can do “well” like in 2016. If not they can do very poorly like this year and 2014.
They measure the CURRENT population's opinion of the CURRENT President.Anagram said:And it doesn’t help to compare across years to Obama because they were modeling a different electorate back then. They change it frequently based on what they think the electorate of likely voters will be, which is what polling should be measuring rather than having their assumption built in
Trump could be convicted for any of his high crimes and still have a 40% approval rating.
in fact they could frog march him down the steps of the whitehouse into the waiting paddy wagon and he would still have 40% approval ratings.
his great economy could crash and burn and he would still have a 40% approval rating
one thing about his supporters they may be dumb asses, they may be racist they may be deplorable but they damn sure are loyal. And what is so funny about that is Trump would throw you under.the bus in a heartbeat. He really doesn't care about those people. He has done absolutely nothing to improve their lot in life. Quite the contrary in fact.
The best poll is the RCP averages of all the polls and they tell a different story
Uh, I hate to burst your bubble, but ALL pollsters use party weighting formulas.
Very few pollsters weight for party ID.
They measure the CURRENT population's opinion of the CURRENT President.
Sorry, a guardian article isn't definitive proof.Not true at all. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/sep/27/unskewing-polls-party-id-bunk It's bad polling methodology to do so.
Yes, but because Rasmussen weights their likely voters by their own party ID standard which is constantly changing, there are no apples to apples comparisons. The electorate Rasmussen was modeling on December 11, 2010 is much different than the one they are modeling today. And because they are making huge assumptions about Party ID, there's a very good chance that neither is actually reflective of the current pool of likely voters.
Sorry, a guardian article isn't definitive proof.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/09/are-polls-skewed-too-heavily-against-republicans/262834/The basic premise of the unskewers is wrong. Most pollsters don’t weight their results by party self-identification
"If a pollster weights by party ID, they are substituting their own judgment as to what the electorate is going to look like. It's not scientific," said Doug Schwartz, the director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, which doesn't weight its surveys by party identification.
Professional pollsters generally have defended the polls and a methodology that frequently “weights” the survey results to make sure they represent the voting population for several factors — such as race, income, gender and educational level — but not for party identification.
The main factors, in any POTUS election, are who else is running and how the economy is doing.
much higher than hillarys presidential ratings lol (laugh out loud).
sorry i know yall are still bitter
But what about Hillary?
But what about a pizza pie?
But what about my ass?
Damn, anything to shift the focus off Trump. This tactic has become old as dinosaur crap. LOL.
So, you don't mind that they are notoriously wrong? Go ask President Romney, that Rasmussen's poll said would win. They were also the worst poll for the midterms.One thing I like about Rasmussen is that they report historical numbers as well as the latest poll result. IMHO trends are more important than snapshot numbers. I also like that they overlay Obama's numbers; since they use the same methodology for him as they do with Trump we get an apples to apples comparison.
Actually, no, Rasmussen DIDN'T say Romney would win - Michael Barone "went out on a limb" and said so - he's a syndicated columnist who is published on several sites. As far as them being the worst on the midterms - that's CNN's spin on it not a statistical proof.So, you don't mind that they are notoriously wrong? Go ask President Romney, that Rasmussen's poll said would win. They were also the worst poll for the midterms.
more alt left trollin from the long haired chick dana
So ya all got tickets for Hillary's speaking tour? Here it's going to be HUGE!!!!
Oh really?Actually, no, Rasmussen DIDN'T say Romney would win - Michael Barone "went out on a limb" and said so - he's a syndicated columnist who is published on several sites. As far as them being the worst on the midterms - that's CNN's spin on it not a statistical proof.
Trump could be convicted for any of his high crimes and still have a 40% approval rating.
in fact they could frog march him down the steps of the whitehouse into the waiting paddy wagon and he would still have 40% approval ratings.
his great economy could crash and burn and he would still have a 40% approval rating
one thing about his supporters they may be dumb asses, they may be racist they may be deplorable but they damn sure are loyal. And what is so funny about that is Trump would throw you under.the bus in a heartbeat. He really doesn't care about those people. He has done absolutely nothing to improve their lot in life. Quite the contrary in fact.
Trump could be convicted for any of his high crimes and still have a 40% approval rating.
in fact they could frog march him down the steps of the whitehouse into the waiting paddy wagon and he would still have 40% approval ratings.
his great economy could crash and burn and he would still have a 40% approval rating
one thing about his supporters they may be dumb asses, they may be racist they may be deplorable but they damn sure are loyal. And what is so funny about that is Trump would throw you under.the bus in a heartbeat. He really doesn't care about those people. He has done absolutely nothing to improve their lot in life. Quite the contrary in fact.