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Top Climate Skeptic Reverses Course, Now Urges Bold Action

If you read closely, it doesn't appear that he's changing his mind about climate science so much as he is changing his mind about the feasibility of a move toward cleaner energy that wouldn't have overwhelming negative economic implications.
 
Your 100% Correct
 
If you read closely, it doesn't appear that he's changing his mind about climate science so much as he is changing his mind about the feasibility of a move toward cleaner energy that wouldn't have overwhelming negative economic implications.

So we're all supposed to stand up and pay attention because someone sort of changed their view on GW? Whoa. Shocker.



Thanks for the clarification NYC. After reading the article, I didn't quite agree with the OP and then read your post. You said it better than I could have.
 
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http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/11/world/asia/11coal.html

China says moving to enforce greenhouse gas goals | Reuters

CDM answer to greenhouse gas emissions, expert says

At least China is doing something. But I have always found this argument curious because on the one hand you are virtually acknowledging there IS a problem - because if there is not why complain about China? On the other hand it smacks of "But Billy doesn't have to clean HIS bedrooms so why should I clean mine?"

Whatever China is or is not doing is immaterial to the facts

A) CO2 levels are rising in the atmosphere (can you dispute that?)
b) we know man has a significant role in the rate of rise (please try and dispute that)

c) That Co2 is a greenhouse gas (ague that and you are into basic physics)
d) that there is definitive measurement that the long wave radiation patterns emitted from Earth have changed - especially over the last 40 years

Want me to go on?

BTW J been doing well - been on a different bigger board and learning lots and lots more about climate change
 
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I don't know anything about any "ACORN" list (Which appears to be a North American phenomena) but it purely cannot be any more fraudulent than the "Oregon Petition" which so many keep waving as "proof" that "there is no consensus"

Me personally? I go with the 37 National academies of science that have issued statements supporting climate change, the 187 governments that have signed Kyoto, and the multiple independent reviews of the overall body of scientific knowledge


Oh! You mean the "Wished for falsification that never materialised into anything?

Errr No, that is not how all scientists operate - many are in tenured positions that are there regardless of stance on global warming. Also we are talking about tens of thousands of scientists world wide. Do you think EVERY university in EVERY country across the world has the same internal politics? (mutters to self - when will Americans learn to think outside of America?) And PLEASE PLEASE tell me how this purported choking of funds would spill over into disciplines like geology or industrial chemists or any of the allied disciplines upon whose research the whole body of science is also dependent?


And now we come down to the real underlying reason for rejection of the science p it is more about rejection of the perceived "intellectualism" and "superiority"
 

Likewise every time someone has changed sides from supporting to denying. Personally I have seen the SAME name branded about as a "supporter who became a denier" about 60 times - each one claiming it was "yet another scientist leaving the flock" - but it was always the same person they were talking about
 

Bjorn Lomborg was never really a "climate skeptic" as it's commonly defined. He's always believed in global warming; he just thought that there were better, more effective uses for the amount of money that it would cost to prevent global warming...like fighting HIV and malaria, or providing clean water. And for what it's worth, I agree with his original position.

I'm not opposed to more research into geoengineering techniques or government subsides for alternative energy (in fact, I think that solar energy will eventually free us from an oil-based economy around 2025ish)...but I am opposed to heavy-handed approaches like cap-and-trade. If we're going to do something heavy-handed, let's just stick with a simple gas tax, or else not do it at all.
 
Blah blah blah statist, conspiracy, funding. Skeptics will use anything and everything to confuse the issue... except actual science. It's a position that leans almost entirely on ad hominem or outright lies. Appealing to the lowest common denominator isn't going to win a scientific argument. Sorry, you might call it arrogant, but the guy who has been researching climate for a decade has a more important opinion on climate than a metallurgist or journalist.

I mean, you wouldn't take your car to be repaired by personal trainer or skydive instructor, would you? Why would you listen to people who aren't scientists and don't work in any climate-related field?

97% of active climatologists agree that human activity is causing global warming : Deltoid

97% of active climatologists support the theory. Saying there's some disagreement is fine, just don't try to inflate your numbers with freaking undergrads.
 
The Title to this article is FALSE. If you read their own PDF article only 5% of the scientists were climatologists. The others were in other fields. The article Proves "Nothing"

>>>>>> 97% of active climatologists agree that human activity is causing global warming : Deltoid <<<<<<<<

Many of those Scientists were being asked for their opinion. There is nothing to indicate that any of them had reviewed the Data for Scientific analysis, methodology or other. Nothing is indicated what "all" of them did as far as research. If you add up those that might be related - you come up to about 40%. 40% of 3,146 = a little over 1,200 Scientists.

10,257 Scientists were asked to participate. Only 3,146 responded to the survey. The Petition you dissed has almost ten times as many Scientists who agree otherwise.
Your blowing Smoke!
http://tigger.uic.edu/~pdoran/012009_Doran_final.pdf
 

What, and that "31000 scientist" petition had some selective criteria?

Again, why should i care what 3000 electrical engineers think?
 
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I don’t know much about scientific proof of global warming but in addition to hundreds of square miles of ice falling into the ocean and these little critters, which I see as far north as Nebraska now….to me it looks pretty suspicious. Whether it’s man-made??? Who knows but something happening.
 
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Well, that's fairly anecdotal but it does lead to the point that nature itself does show thousands of signs of a warming planet. There's a subset of the skeptic crowd who thinks the earth isn't actually getting warmer. I guess the birds and plants are in on the conspiracy, then. Anyone who thinks the earth is the same temperature as it was 100 years ago is just plain ignorant. Thinking it's "natural" is one thing, but thinking it isn't happening is beyond crazy.
 

I’m not here to argue whether its man made or not, as I haven’t made up my mind on that… .yet. The ones that don’t think that we have global warming must surely by the same ones that think the earth is flat.
 
I’m not here to argue whether its man made or not, as I haven’t made up my mind on that… .yet. The ones that don’t think that we have global warming must surely by the same ones that think the earth is flat.

Or, maybe it isn't as simple as "all for" or "all against," and there are many "middle grounds"? :roll
 
Or, maybe it isn't as simple as "all for" or "all against," and there are many "middle grounds"? :roll

I don’t claim that I am an “all for”, if I were an “all for” I would be arguing that it is manmade. My contention is that someone would have to be blind not to see that something is going on with the weather.

These armadillos have been on the march for the last five years that I know of. I used to see them mostly in Texas, and Oklahoma now its southern Nebraska that they have been spotted. I head of them in Colorado but that might just have been one the jarred loose from a truck tandem. That’s not unheard of; the things are like a damn rock.:2wave:
 

Ok... so, the sun goes out tomorrow... how much CO2 do we have to produce to offset the sun?

The funny thing was that all the BIG DAMNING studies that came out from the 1997-2005 area have ALL been shown to be completely overblown... in example :
- Polar bears can swim
- Forests are regrowing
- crustaceans are compensating with thicker shells
- plants convert CO2->O2 more efficiently at about double our current atmospheric CO2 levels (also, reaches toxicity at about a thousand times atmosphere levels currently)


Also, if the "environmentalists" TRULY cared about the environment they would be FREAKING OUT at all the open air GMO food and animal testing that's going on... they would care about LEGITIMATE toxins that were are spewing into the atmosphere that cause REAL environmental damage that is verifiable, etc...

In other words, if environmentalists ACTUALLY CARED they would present a holistic argument, ways to deal with these sub-issues individually and gather lobby groups targeting each sub-issue.

Instead, we are focused on concepts like 'cap and trade' and 'carbon taxes' that are absolutely worthless, are distributed to private, for profit businesses and promise to go to 'offsets' like maybe someone will plant a tree in some third world country with the BILLIONS UPON BILLIONS that the "ever increasing" taxes would represent (everytime carbon taxes are presented it's always sold as an ever increasing tax on breathing).
 

You only are passing by the whole concept of science aren't you? Ever heard of a meta-study?

And I also note that you are only re-iterating what some one else has once said because you have failed to link to any of those "studies" (Which I am betting are for the most part someone's opinion on a blog somewhere)
 

And what is the total number of scientists in the USA alone - don't let me tell you because I didn't believe the labour statistics when I first saw them.

But what does it matter? You own link states


http://tigger.uic.edu/~pdoran/012009_Doran_final.pdf

As for your claim that there was a poor response - mailed surveys ALWAYS have a poor response rate
 
The Earth in the past has gone through large weather cyclical changes. Co2 from Man had NOTHING to do with it. They are growing about 2500 acres of crops in Greenland as the present time.

In the estimated years of 950 - 1250 Crops were also grown in Greenland by Vikings.

That was followed in 1500 - 1700 by the "Little Ice Age"

About 300 years separate the periods.

Up until 1980 these same Scientists were predicting an ICE AGE.

Perhaps some of you forgot that Europe had some of the Coldest Winters in over a hundred years 2-3 years ago.

There is data that suggests we could plunge in an ICE AGE similar to the one 10,000 years ago.

With the additional increase in rainfall - according to some Scientists all it would take to pricipetate it woud be a large Volcanic eruption that blew enough ash into the air to take a year to all clear out. That would be enough of a trigger for Snow - ten feet in Texas and more North of that.

If I was looking for a culprit - for CO2 I would look at deforestation as the Cause. Plants clean the CO2 out of the air.

AFrica and South America have had about half of the land deforested for crops and lumber.
Just think about how much area that one tree has with 50,000 leaves working to clean the air of CO2. Cut a a couple of million miles of trees down and you eliminate a lot of CO2 removal.

Again the Stats on mans contribution for CO2 is 3% not 10% - 90%.

I have never said and will agree we have had some exceptional weather. I just don't believe it is caused by man.

As far as high temperatures - today we have the ability to report every minor change in temperature and snowfall. We had hot periods 50 years ago. I lived in Chicago and we had 102 and 103 temperatures - higher than any recorded in the last 20 years.

LOOK AT THIS WEBSITE for Historical High temperatures - We are not nor have we been even close on most of them!

Record Highest Temperatures by State — Infoplease.com
 
Global warming aside... renewable resources ARE the way of the future. Unless America invests more resources into this industry we will be quickly passed up by foreign countries. To not jump on this bandwagon would be a poor choice.
 
Also, if the "environmentalists" TRULY cared about the environment they would be FREAKING OUT at all the open air GMO food

Let me just stop you right there. There is absolutely NO scientific evidence that genetically modified foods are bad for either the environment or unhealthy for us as individuals.

Now, back to the subject at hand...
 

They sound so horrible! It takes a really terrible human being to try to stop the Earth from being destroyed. Have they no shame?
 
We all know where this debate is going.

Generations from now will curse us for not acting on this problem.

But GW Deniers ravaging this thread in 5... 4... 3...

You should start pumping fresh air into tanks so you'll have some when we run out.
 
They sound so horrible! It takes a really terrible human being to try to stop the Earth from being destroyed. Have they no shame?

Many of those things don't do **** to help the environment.
 
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