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Qatari Negotiations Between US and Iran Collapse

Tigerace117

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Indirect talks between Iran and the U.S. have ended in Doha, Qatar, with no sign of a breakthrough in efforts to revive a 2015 nuclear deal, raising the risk of a potential confrontation with Tehran in coming months.”

“The 2015 nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, was designed to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. Former President Donald Trump pulled the U.S. out of the JCPOA in 2018, and the Biden administration has been trying to revive it.”


But with the prospects for salvaging the agreement looking increasingly bleak, the Biden administration is coming under growing pressure in Washington and from Middle Eastern allies to consider other options to counter Iran’s nuclear program, former officials, congressional aides and analysts said.

At the request of senators two weeks ago, the Biden administration provided a closed-door classified briefing on Iran, laying out possible “Plan B” options if diplomacy fails to rescue the 2015 nuclear deal, lawmakers said. Biden is due to visit Israel and Saudi Arabia next month, and Iran’s nuclear program is expected to be at the top of the agenda.”


Well….so much for that idea. The obvious problem is that there’s no reason to believe the next Republican administration, whenever that happens, will abide by any diplomatic agreement we make now, and therefore no real reason for Iran to negotiate with us. Fool me once, after all…..

Likewise, the simple fact of the matter is that our strategy hasn’t worked. Decades of sanctions haven’t slowed Iranian determination to get nukes, which they see as essential to protect themselves from us.

So really, there’s only a few options left.

A) We stay the course, hope that their program is delayed or they change their minds and give up on getting nukes;

B) We invade, plunging headlong into a bloody quagmire which very well might break the back of the US military, at a time when we’ve been funneling vast amounts of weaponry overseas;

Or the preferable option, C) We come up with a concrete, ironclad deal which can’t just be overturned by the next admin and which addresses their security concerns.
 
Yep, my thoughts exactly. Trump did decades worth of damage in four years. Some, perhaps irreparable.
 

Indirect talks between Iran and the U.S. have ended in Doha, Qatar, with no sign of a breakthrough in efforts to revive a 2015 nuclear deal, raising the risk of a potential confrontation with Tehran in coming months.”

“The 2015 nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, was designed to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. Former President Donald Trump pulled the U.S. out of the JCPOA in 2018, and the Biden administration has been trying to revive it.”


But with the prospects for salvaging the agreement looking increasingly bleak, the Biden administration is coming under growing pressure in Washington and from Middle Eastern allies to consider other options to counter Iran’s nuclear program, former officials, congressional aides and analysts said.

At the request of senators two weeks ago, the Biden administration provided a closed-door classified briefing on Iran, laying out possible “Plan B” options if diplomacy fails to rescue the 2015 nuclear deal, lawmakers said. Biden is due to visit Israel and Saudi Arabia next month, and Iran’s nuclear program is expected to be at the top of the agenda.”


Well….so much for that idea. The obvious problem is that there’s no reason to believe the next Republican administration, whenever that happens, will abide by any diplomatic agreement we make now, and therefore no real reason for Iran to negotiate with us. Fool me once, after all…..

Likewise, the simple fact of the matter is that our strategy hasn’t worked. Decades of sanctions haven’t slowed Iranian determination to get nukes, which they see as essential to protect themselves from us.

So really, there’s only a few options left.

A) We stay the course, hope that their program is delayed or they change their minds and give up on getting nukes;

B) We invade, plunging headlong into a bloody quagmire which very well might break the back of the US military, at a time when we’ve been funneling vast amounts of weaponry overseas;

Or the preferable option, C) We come up with a concrete, ironclad deal which can’t just be overturned by the next admin and which addresses their security concerns.
There is an option D. Iran becomes a nuclear weapons state, and thusly will never be invaded again, by anyone, no matter what GOP administration is in charge.

If you’re Iran in 2022, which option would you choose? Me, I would choose option D. If I am Iran, option C is not credible because it would be offered by a nation whose word is no longer any good, thanks to The Donald.
 
There is an option D. Iran becomes a nuclear weapons state, and thusly will never be invaded again, by anyone, no matter what GOP administration is in charge.

If you’re Iran in 2022, which option would you choose? Me, I would choose option D. If I am Iran, option C is not credible because it would be offered by a nation whose word is no longer any good, thanks to The Donald.

Option E is to have the US and/or NATO help let Israel and/or other ME nations remove Iran’s nuclear capabilities.
 
Option E is to have the US and/or NATO help let Israel and/or other ME nations remove Iran’s nuclear capabilities.
That would have been wonderful in an era where Iran was not establishing defense treaties with India and China. When it comes to Iran, NATO is increasingly as toothless about acting within Iran’s borders as it is taking on Russia on Russian soil.

Trump should have not pulled out of the agreement that was working. He pulled out, started threatening Iran, and sent them straight into the orbit of other great powers that don’t lose any sleep over NATO. I think this was probably the single most boneheaded decision in a long list of many. At this point the most likely scenario is that Iran becomes a nuclear weapons state with rich ties to China and India, and the United States has to figure out how to live with that.

Actions have consequences.
 
Option E is to have the US and/or NATO help let Israel and/or other ME nations remove Iran’s nuclear capabilities.

In other words, let Israel drag us into waging war against another country? Pass. Especially since there’s no guarantee that such an attempt would even remotely come close to succeeding given how much we’ve saber rattled about it over the years. The Iranians aren’t as dumb as Saddam.
 
Option E is to have the US and/or NATO help let Israel and/or other ME nations remove Iran’s nuclear capabilities.

Has anyone seen the TV series "Tehran"? It's about how Israeli spies infiltrate Iranian government to undermine their nuclear plans. Talk about edge of your seat suspense! It's a great show. Here's to hoping there's some truth to it.

 
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