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New Research Finds Polar Bear Numbers Up 42% Since 2004 – Survival Rates Unaffected By Sea Ice Avail

Jack Hays

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Polar bears have been terrorizing a Russian town on the Barents Sea since December

Posted on February 9, 2019 | Comments Off

Since early December, a group of 52 polar bears have terrorized the Russian village of Belushaya Guba on southern Novaya Zemlya. The aggressiveness of some of the bears, their boldness in entering local buildings and fearlessness in the face of the usual deterrents has caused the local government to call a state of emergency to help the town residents. Global warming is blamed for the problem but as is so often the case, that claim does not stand up to scrutiny. . . .

UPDATE 11 February 2019: The international media have gone mad for this story and some photos are now available. Best series of photos and video is at The Daily Mail, UK (11 Feb 2019: State of emergency is declared after more than 50 polar bears invade Russian town and ‘chase terrified residents’). No new information is available on the story itself but plenty of hyperbole has been added. The photos show how fat and healthy these so-called ‘desperate’ bears are, which makes the claims that global warming is to blame for the crisis even more ludicrous (see the ice charts below). So far, the most over-the-top take on this goes to the Washington Post (11 Feb 2019: A ‘mass invasion’ of polar bears is terrorizing an island town. Climate change is to blame): they went to the most trouble to make the link to climate change and bring up the vilified ‘starving polar bear’ video that National Geographic was forced to apologize for last August and the debunked 2007 prediction that 2/3 of the world’s bears would be gone by 2050 (Crockford 2017). The Guardian‘s effort is weak by comparison, as is CNN‘s. The news outlet (not a blog) Daily Caller has some quotes from this page. Competition amongst bears for scarce natural resources in winter makes dump sites and stored food available around Arctic communities all the more attractive. When polar bear numbers are high, as they are now, this competition can get fierce. It’s no wonder the bears don’t want to leave. . . .
 

Jack Hays

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[h=2]Polar bears walking the streets on Novaya Zemlya are habituated garbage bears, not victims of climate change[/h]Posted on February 14, 2019 | Comments Offon Polar bears walking the streets on Novaya Zemlya are habituated garbage bears, not victims of climate change
What a bunch of sensationalist claptrap about the polar bears on Novaya Zemlya but I guess it sells papers and raises donations (WWFand PBI, I mean you).1

Seriously, if the bears were coming for us, people in Belushaya Guba would have died already, probably EATEN. These particular bears know there is stored food and refuse available that does not come packaged in human form and they know from experience that humans won’t hurt them. As I pointed out in my last post, these bears have known this since early December, when they chose to stay on land over the winter and ignored the sea ice when it arrived. . . .


 

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[h=2]Ringed and bearded seals, still listed as ‘threatened’, are still doing really well[/h]Posted on February 24, 2019 | Comments Offon Ringed and bearded seals, still listed as ‘threatened’, are still doing really well
This isn’t news but it’s good to hear it again, this time from the mouth of one of the biologists who collects the data: against all odds, the primary prey species of polar bears are doing spectacularly well.

According to leading seal biologist Lori Quakenbush of Alaska Department of Fish and Game, ringed and bearded seals in the Chukchi Sea are doing great (ADN, 11 February 2019, “Seals seem to be adapting to shrinking sea ice off Alaska”):
“We’re seeing fat seals,” said Lori Quakenbush, a wildlife biologist with the Alaska Department of Fish and Game’s Arctic Marine Mammal Program. “They are reproducing earlier than they have in the past, which says they are getting enough nutrition at this point to grow quickly and become reproductive at an earlier age.”
Ringed and bearded seals across the Arctic, including the Chukchi and Bering Seas, were listed as threatened in 2012 by the US, hot on the heals of polar bears given the same status in 2008 (USFWS 2008, 2012a, 2012b). But American biologists didn’t even pretend that the seals were currently suffering, they simply assumed they would sometime in the future (Cameron et al. 2010; Kelly et al. 2010).

Now, ten years worth of low sea ice of the kind expected to drive polar bears to the brink of extinction later, and ringed and bearded seals are doing better than they did in the late 1970s and early 1980s when there was more summer ice (Adam et al. 2019; Crawford and Quakenbush 2013; Crawford et al. 2015). Quakenbush now has data that extends the period of recent research to 2016, from 2013 previously. . . .


 

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Polar Bear Science

International Polar Bear Day: a time to admit the species is not threatened with extinction due to reduced sea ice habitat

February 26, 2019

Excerpt:

Times have changed: where once many scientists worried that polar bears could not survive an Arctic with 40% less ice, now the concern is that people of the Arctic might not be able to keep themselves safe from growing numbers of increasingly fearless bears.

International Polar Bear Day is tomorrow, 27 February. It’s a good time to reconsider polar bear conservation in light of current realities. Polar bears are not threatened with extinction by loss of sea ice habitat but continue to thrive in spite of it (Crockford 2017).


Tomorrow, the 2018 State of the Polar Bear Report will be released. But for now, see some of the failed claims below.

LINK
 

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Polar Bear Science

International Polar Bear Day: a time to admit the species is not threatened with extinction due to reduced sea ice habitat

February 26, 2019

Excerpt:

Times have changed: where once many scientists worried that polar bears could not survive an Arctic with 40% less ice, now the concern is that people of the Arctic might not be able to keep themselves safe from growing numbers of increasingly fearless bears.

International Polar Bear Day is tomorrow, 27 February. It’s a good time to reconsider polar bear conservation in light of current realities. Polar bears are not threatened with extinction by loss of sea ice habitat but continue to thrive in spite of it (Crockford 2017).


Tomorrow, the 2018 State of the Polar Bear Report will be released. But for now, see some of the failed claims below.

LINK
Crockford. LOL

Climate denier blogs ignore sea ice and polar bear science, study finds | CBC News
 

Jack Hays

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Jack Hays

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Cited on blogs.

Denier blogs.
To which the reply is: So what? She has been right, every time, and her critics have been wrong. That is why they have tried so hard to marginalize her by going outside the bounds of normal scientific exchange.
 

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To which the reply is: So what? She has been right, every time, and her critics have been wrong. That is why they have tried so hard to marginalize her by going outside the bounds of normal scientific exchange.
No. She’s a fake expert and has been called out in the published literature for that.
 

Jack Hays

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No. She’s a fake expert and has been called out in the published literature for that.
Nope. The "published literature" is the arena her always-wrong critics have chosen to try to salvage their reputations. They will continue to fail until they admit she was (and is) right and they were wrong.
 

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Nope. The "published literature" is the arena her always-wrong critics have chosen to try to salvage their reputations. They will continue to fail until they admit she was (and is) right and they were wrong.
There’s a reason she only writes and is referenced on denier blogs, and no polar bear population researcher considers her a peer.
 

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There’s a reason she only writes and is referenced on denier blogs, and no polar bear population researcher considers her a peer.
She's not their peer. She's their superior, as evidenced by her research results. To call her their peer would insult her.
 

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Jack Hays

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Here is the report warmists will denigrate with useless name calling and ad hominems:


State of the Polar Bear Report 2018


LINK
 

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Crockford is routinely cited because she has consistently been right and her critics have consistently been wrong. World polar bear population now estimated at nearly 30,000.
They keep ignoring the evidence that the Polar Bear Population growth still continues since 2005, and that a number of published science papers have showed good evidence of little to NO Summer ice in the arctic that lasted for centuries, also that today, the Summer sea ice cover is well above average for the Interglacial period.

Here is a short list of such papers:


LINK
 

Jack Hays

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They keep ignoring the evidence that the Polar Bear Population growth still continues since 2005, and that a number of published science papers have showed good evidence of little to NO Summer ice in the arctic that lasted for centuries, also that today, the Summer sea ice cover is well above average for the Interglacial period.

Here is a short list of such papers:


LINK
Thanks!
 

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Here comes the usual ad homs and dead on arrival replies.

Watts Up With That?

Inconvenient: Polar Bear Numbers May Have Quadrupled

Anthony Watts / 46 mins ago March 19, 2019

Excerpt:

Researcher says attempts to silence her have failed

Polar bear numbers could easily exceed 40,000, up from a low point of 10,000 or fewer in the 1960s.

In The Polar Bear Catastrophe that Never Happened, a book published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Dr Susan Crockford uses the latest data as well as revisiting some of the absurd values used in official estimates, and concludes that polar bears are actually thriving:

LINK
 

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Here comes the usual ad homs and dead on arrival replies.

Watts Up With That?

Inconvenient: Polar Bear Numbers May Have Quadrupled

Anthony Watts / 46 mins ago March 19, 2019

Excerpt:

Researcher says attempts to silence her have failed

Polar bear numbers could easily exceed 40,000, up from a low point of 10,000 or fewer in the 1960s.

In The Polar Bear Catastrophe that Never Happened, a book published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Dr Susan Crockford uses the latest data as well as revisiting some of the absurd values used in official estimates, and concludes that polar bears are actually thriving:

LINK
The usual crowd here doesn't much like Dr. Suzy C
 

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I keep waiting for the intelligent, rational rebuttal of Dr. Crockfords statements about Polar Bear population number changes, and its relation to sea ice cover, but continue to fall flat on their faces over their stupid education fallacy, stupid since she has a PHD in Zoology and over 30 years in the science.

From About Bioscience,

Excerpt:

Zoologists are life scientists who study animals, observing them in the laboratory and in their natural habitat. They study the origin and development of species as well as their habits, behaviors and interactions. Zoologists, who also research the development of animal diseases, sometimes known as animal scientists or animal biologists because zoology is the branch of biology that deals with the animal kingdom.

Since that is all they come up with these days, it is clear she is now one of the researchers who are at the FOREFRONT on Polar Bears history, habitat and population, eclipsing others who were once good researchers before they succumbed to the climate mania they have swallowed deeply. It is a sad testament when so many are unwilling to look at the data/evidence objectively.
 
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I keep waiting for the intelligent, rational rebuttal of Dr. Crockfords statements about Polar Bear population number changes, and its relation to sea ice cover, but continue to fall flat on their faces over their stupid education fallacy, stupid since she has a PHD in Zoology and over 30 years in the science.

From About Bioscience,

Excerpt:
Literally, the woman has zero publications or research experience in polar bear populations or behavior, and has the lowest possible academic appointment ever- and adjunct professor at a minor college, meaning she might lecture on low level courses sometimes for about minimum wage.

She’s also been absolutely excoriated in the scientific literature about her fake ‘expertise’ on bears, and literally is paid to write denier stuff for think tanks paid by fossil fuel companies.

Anyone who thinks she’s an expert that deserves to be listened to is not just an idiot, but a blithering idiot.
 

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Literally, the woman has zero publications or research experience in polar bear populations or behavior, and has the lowest possible academic appointment ever- and adjunct professor at a minor college, meaning she might lecture on low level courses sometimes for about minimum wage.

She’s also been absolutely excoriated in the scientific literature about her fake ‘expertise’ on bears, and literally is paid to write denier stuff for think tanks paid by fossil fuel companies.

Anyone who thinks she’s an expert that deserves to be listened to is not just an idiot, but a blithering idiot.
As I posted earlier, "The usual crowd here doesn't much like Dr. Suzy C"
 

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Re: New Research Finds Polar Bear Numbers Up 42% Since 2004 – Survival Rates Unaffected By Sea Ice A

As I posted earlier, "The usual crowd here doesn't much like Dr. Suzy C"
His bias is so silly since he continues to ignore the description of what a ZOOLOGIST is:

Zoologists are life scientists who study animals, observing them in the laboratory and in their natural habitat. They study the origin and development of species as well as their habits, behaviors and interactions. Zoologists, who also research the development of animal diseases, sometimes known as animal scientists or animal biologists because zoology is the branch of biology that deals with the animal kingdom.
Zoology is a wide field offering many career opportunities for research, especially because there still is a great deal to learn about it. A career in zoology offers an opportunity to make a difference to the planet’s ecology through conservation work. Most zoologists are employed by colleges and universities, where they engage in research and teach students.
boldings mine

DR. Crockford, has been doing the following for over three decades now:

Teaching

I am currently an adjunct professor at the University of Victoria, British Columbia

Published papers and Presentations

**Crockford, S.J. 2017. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). PeerJ Preprints 2 March 2017. Doi: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v3 Open access. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) [PeerJ Preprints]

**Crockford, S. J. 2012a. A History of Polar Bears, Ringed Seals, and other Arctic and North Pacific Marine Mammals over the Last 200,000 Years. A report prepared for the State of Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development and The University of Alaska Fairbanks. Pacific Identifications Inc., Victoria, British Columbia.

**Crockford, S.J. 2012c. Directionality in polar bear hybridization. Comment (May 1) to Hailer et al. 2012. “Nuclear genomic sequences reveal that polar bears are an old and distinct bear lineage.” Science 336:344-347. Follow link and click on “# comments” under the title http://comments.sciencemag.org/content/10.1126/science.1216424

**Crockford, S.J. 2012d. Directionality in polar bear hybridization. Comment, with references (May 1) to Edwards et al. 2011. “Ancient hybridization and an Irish origin for the modern polar bear matriline.” Current Biology 21:1251-1258. to view comments, go through the host website, http://www.Cell.com and find the paper at the Current Biology website. http://www.cell.com/current-biology/abstract/S0960-9822(11)00645-2#Comments

*Crockford, S.J. 2012b. Archaeozoology of Adak Island: 6000 years of subsistence history in the central Aleutians. Pg. 109-145 in D. West, V. Hatfield, E. Wilmerding, L. Gualtieri and C. Lefevre (eds), The People Before: The Geology, Paleoecology and Archaeology of Adak Island, Alaska. British Archaeological Reports International Series, Oxford, pg 109-145. ISBN 978-4073-0905-7

More here

This is the paper that drives warmists crazy, but never post a counter to it, they instead with around 7 listed authors (including Dr. Mann who has ZERO educational background about Polar Bears) posted a smearing attack paper on her personally:

Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus)

LINK
 

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Re: New Research Finds Polar Bear Numbers Up 42% Since 2004 – Survival Rates Unaffected By Sea Ice

Another bogus Greenpeace claim, from Watts Up With That?

Bogus Greenpeace claim that lost Russian polar bear is evidence of climate change

Reposted from Polar Bear Science

Posted on April 18, 2019 | Comments Off on Bogus Greenpeace claim that lost Russian polar bear is evidence of climate change

Another day, another bogus starving polar bear claim from an environmental organization. Polar bear starvation is virtually never caused by climate change but apparently, Greenpeace thinks there are still some gullible folks out there who will believe anything they are told. A young male polar bear in poor condition found far south on the Russian coast of the Bering Sea a few days ago is an isolated incident: it is not evidence of anything except the sad fact that the life of a polar bear can sometimes be brutal. In contrast to these reports, Chukchi Sea polar bears are doing extremely well overall.

LINK

==============================================================================

Greenpeace lied about DR. Moore being a Founding member.

Greenpeace rakes in over $300 million a year.
 
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