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If Trump's approval goes to 45% and the Dems have less than a six point lead, the GOP will probably keep both chambers by a slim margin.
....Mueller should have a couple of rounds of indictments before the election, some of them will be closer to, if not IN, the West Wing. Trump, of course, will go bonkers and the "No collusion" line will start to break down.
The stock market and the economy are each rolling through one of the the longest periods of growth ever.
The recovery from the Great Recession is now the second-longest ever
We are overdue for correction (alhtough some of that is happening) and recession. If Trump's tariffs actually go into effect, this has a high probability of happening in Aug or Sept.
I think Trump will be very lucky to keep Trump's approval numbers above 40 and the Dems will likely have an 8-10 point lead going into elections.
Yes, its possible the Cons can con their way into another house majority (a good economy and Korea could be pluses, but if he rips up the Iran deal, that could offset gains in Korea). Nonetheless, with the investigation(s) getting closer, Trump being more and more rattled (and then unhinged), a cabinet stock piled with controversy, an economy that may be operating on vapor, the forecast is for Stormy weather and rough seas ahead. ...
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