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L.A. Times has Trump and Clinton a point apart, in Trump's favor

Fletch said:
None. But Trump has been a joke yet he is still in striking distance and may very well win this.
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6 points in a 4 way race like this is a landslide, he's not in striking distance he's in danger of destroying the whole GOP ticket.
 
upsideguy said:
14,2 is 6 to 1.

6 to 1 means 1 chance in 7. 1/7=.14285
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I'm not a gambler, I was thinking more in the lines of 1/6 = 16.6%. Close though and pretty low.
 
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Reagan was running against an incumbent. This had consequences for the race as domestic and international issues/mistakes of the incumbent was front and centre in the campaign and that is what ultimately had Reagan win (and the fact that he made a deal with the Iranians).

The present race is very much different and so is America. As always, national polls means nothing.. what matters is the polls in the "swing states" and here Trump is behind. Hell he is actually looking to lose states that Romney won.. Georgia.. GEORGIA, in the cradle of red states.. is slipping out of Trumps hands, with Clinton beating him there.

Of course things can change as there is 3 or so months left, but still, Clinton does not have a "Iran hostage crisis" that is plastered on TV day and night during campaigning season.. plus unlike Trump, Reagan had an actual personality that did not disgust 70% of the population.
 
azgreg said:
I'm not a gambler, I was thinking more in the lines of 1/6 = 16.6%. Close though and pretty low.
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Odds are stated as chance against to chance for. hence 6 to 1 means 6 chances out of 7 you lose; one out of 1 out seven you win.
 
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