superskippy
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superskippy said:After the Hizbollah attack that killed around 7 soldiers wounded many more and captured 2 others Olmert has declared this action an 'Act of War' and has deployed IDF armor and motorized troops and they have pushed into Lebanon. Reservists have been called up and thousands are moving to the border.
If Lebanon and it's forces no matter how disjointed decide to support Hizbollah in the fighting this could be the beginning of the 7th campaign of the IDF outside of the territories in our history(1948, 1956, 1967, 1970, 1973, 1982, and now possibly 2006?). I dont think I'll be called up I'm college with plans to travel abroad shortly and I just left active service a few months ago I doubt I'm in mind, though between Gaza and Lebanon and the West Bank one never knows.
This is very searous business I was extremely surprised there was no thread on this in the Breaking News section.
Here is a CNN link feel free to observe any other website for information. http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/07/12/mideast/index.html
Just wait. Israel will roll into Lebanon, the world press will be wringing its hands about the plight of the poor, innocent victims of Isaeli aggression, and from the standpoint of their position in the world, Israel will be worse of than before.
Joby said:When Israel invaded in the 1980s to get rid of Palestinian terror strongholds there, they had a very victorious entry then got bogged down for years. Lebanon geographically is like the "Switzerland of the Middle East", and could allow a guerilla movement to thrive.
Apparently, Hezbullah only controls the south, so Israel may not need to take Beirut. However, if Lebanon figts back-as a nation- and Israel does need to move in, it could get ugly.
Druze, Sunni, Shia, Maronites, Phalangalist, and a few Palestinians, all distrusting each other and hating Israel more. the Lebanese civil war lasted 20 years, and was extremely bloody. I just hope it doesn't revert back to that, cause even the US couldn't control a situation that crazy.
http://www.liberty05.com/civilwar/civil3.html
And you thought Iraq was a delicate ethnic makeup...
Israel's Army Chief of Staff Lieutenant - General Dan Halutz warned Beirut that Israel will attack Lebanon's infrastructure and "turn back the clock in Lebanon 20 years" if the two soldiers were not returned.
jujuman13 said:Quote:
Then again the Lebanese should have never elected Hezbollah into parliament.
Let me correct your misinterpretation.
Hezbollah have some representation in the Lebanese Parliament.
They are not the Lebanese Government.
The Lebanese government has been attempting to disarm Hezbollah ever since the last general election, albeit with Little success, with this incursion by the IDF they can kiss goodbye any chance of that succeeding.
Hamas was elected as the government of Palestine.
Now having got that straight what gives anyone the idea that America is able to control it's own government let alone any other country's government.
Iraq is a total mess on the brink of civil war.
Afghanistan is a total mess with the Taliban regrouping and having a greater appeal to the population than that of the deeply unpopular puppet government installed there by Bush & his crony's.
The USA is under the total financial control of Russia, China, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia.
We have indebted ourselves to these country's to such an extent that our external trade debt as well as government debt owed these nations cannot be repaid.
The USA is not merely sliding but more as though we are galloping into a financial state of affairs that if any one of these country's decided to pull the financial plug, our country will go into the deepest recession we have ever experienced.
And that will cause the entire planet to go the same way, perhaps that is all that is stopping someone like Chavez from pulling the plug on USA.
However what he is going to do, is to cease selling gas direct in his Venezuelan owned "Citgo" gas stations he will also in all probability sell off any refineries he has in the USA.
in an attempt to respond to some your points.jujuman13 said:Quote:
Then again the Lebanese should have never elected Hezbollah into parliament.
Let me correct your misinterpretation.
Hezbollah have some representation in the Lebanese Parliament.
They are not the Lebanese Government.
The Lebanese government has been attempting to disarm Hezbollah ever since the last general election, albeit with Little success, with this incursion by the IDF they can kiss goodbye any chance of that succeeding.
Hamas was elected as the government of Palestine.
Now having got that straight what gives anyone the idea that America is able to control it's own government let alone any other country's government.
Iraq is a total mess on the brink of civil war.
Afghanistan is a total mess with the Taliban regrouping and having a greater appeal to the population than that of the deeply unpopular puppet government installed there by Bush & his crony's.
The USA is under the total financial control of Russia, China, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia.
We have indebted ourselves to these country's to such an extent that our external trade debt as well as government debt owed these nations cannot be repaid.
The USA is not merely sliding but more as though we are galloping into a financial state of affairs that if any one of these country's decided to pull the financial plug, our country will go into the deepest recession we have ever experienced.
And that will cause the entire planet to go the same way, perhaps that is all that is stopping someone like Chavez from pulling the plug on USA.
However what he is going to do, is to cease selling gas direct in his Venezuelan owned "Citgo" gas stations he will also in all probability sell off any refineries he has in the USA.
Sir_Alec said:This pointless war continues? Has anyone even considered that Israel is starting to take out the ask questions later part of 'shoot first and ask questions later'. I'm getting sick of both sides being so ****ing self-rightous. Ok, first of all Isreal, stop acting like you didn't take this land from these people. Next, Isreal, stop oppressing the people your occupying. Next, terrorists and etc., stop making Isael mad because we know what happens when you make the beast mad. IT BITES!
Joby said:As for the Lebann question, Israel is doing an excellent job ******* anothe young generation off at themselves and the US. Maybe even more than Iraq is. bravo!
jujuman13 said:Quote:
Then again the Lebanese should have never elected Hezbollah into parliament.
Let me correct your misinterpretation.
Hezbollah have some representation in the Lebanese Parliament.
They are not the Lebanese Government.
.
jujuman13 said:However what he is going to do, is to cease selling gas direct in his Venezuelan owned "Citgo" gas stations he will also in all probability sell off any refineries he has in the USA.
Last Friday, Ahmadinejad warned that Israel's return to Gaza could lead to an "explosion" in the Islamic world that would target Israel and its supporters in the West. "They should not let things reach a point where an explosion occurs in the Islamic world," he said.
"If an explosion occurs, then it won't be limited to geographical boundaries. It will also burn all those who created [Israel] over the past 60 years," he said, implicitly referring to America and other Western nations who support Israel.
Israel is fighting two Iranian proxies on two fronts. It may, or may not, open a third front against a third Iranian proxy, Syria. It is from the Syrian capital that Khaled Meshaal, the exiled leader of Hamas, has been laying down Palestinian Arab negotiating conditions. Why listen to Mr. Meshaal? Because the Hamas troops are loyal to him, rather than to their erstwhile leader, Prime Minister Ismail Haniyah, let alone the increasingly (as if that were possible) hapless Palestinian Arab leader, Mahmoud Abbas.
Even more loyal to Tehran is the Hezbollah leader, Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, whose forces yesterday kidnapped two more Israeli soldiers, opening up the second front. Sheik Nasrallah is warning Israelis that they must not think Lebanon is unprotected as it was in 1981 and 1982 when Israeli forces came pouring across the border to silence Palestinian Arab guns. Sheik Nasrallah's men are the recipients of tens of thousands of rockets — longer range and presumably more deadly than their roughly engineered younger Kassam cousins — that put central Israel in their range.
Each one of these players — Hamas inside Gaza and in Damascus, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Assad dictatorship in Syria — are chess pieces on the Iranian board. The pawn moves, drawing in the Israeli bishop; the Lebanese rook challenges; the Syrian queen is in reserve.
1. Iran is a patron and has some level of control over Hamas.
2. Iran has a close patron relationship with Hezbollah.
3. Iran is a patron and supporter of the Taliban in Afghanistan.
4. Iran supports and/or controls some of the Shiite insurgents in Iraq.
5. North Korea is one of Iran's few friends and allies.
6. Hamas and Hezbollah know that Israel must militarily react to the recent kidnaps and attacks and that their actions will ignite, at a minimum, a low level military conflict/incursion by Israel into the Gaza and Lebanon.
7. Any military action by Israel will naturally to draw knee-jerk and harsh international criticism of Israel, regardless of the acts of the provoking parties.
8. In spite of its embarrassing missile fizzle, North Korea knows that its July 4th stunt is extremely provocative to the United States.
9. Higher gas prices (created in large part by the actions of Iran) have the American public and economy concerned.
10. Constant low level violence in Iraq, and the eager air play given such violence in the American MSM, have created an anti-war mood in the U.S.
11. Hezbollah's, Hamas's and North Korea's provocations have all occurred within a week of the date that the Iran situation is referred to the Security Council for what will likely be further endless hand wringing and inaction by that feckless organization.
So here is my observation/theory — Iran has orchestrated much (if not all) of the current unrest and violence in order to: (i) distract attention from its nuclear weapons program, (ii) tie down Israel militarily in order to reduce the chances that Israel could unilaterally (or in combination with the U.S.) launch a preemptive strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, (iii) scare the American public (and politicians) into rejecting any unilateral military option against Iran for fear of further inflaming the Mideast (e.g., "Geez, we've already got huge issues in North Korea, Gaza, Lebanon, Iraq and Afghanistan, we can't possibly afford any further foreign entanglements" or "We better not do anything to Iran, we might further inflame the Mideast, threaten our oil supply and the U.S. economy" (Lord knows we don't want to pay $%/gallon for our SUV's)), and (iv) create world furor against Israel (and indirectly the U.S.), to further raise the stakes and international opposition to any unilateral military strikes.
12. Only two countries have the military will (maybe) and capability (probably) to possibly stop Iran from moving forward with its nuclear program — Israel and the U.S.
Given their adversaries, what choice do they have?Sir_Alec said:This pointless war continues? Has anyone even considered that Israel is starting to take out the ask questions later part of 'shoot first and ask questions later'.
And yet, below, you only complain about Israel.I'm getting sick of both sides being so ****ing self-rightous.
What land was stolen, and from what people? Israel has been accused of stealing so much landm its hard to keep track of who means what.Ok, first of all Isreal, stop acting like you didn't take this land from these people.
OK - and who are they occupying? See above.Next, Isreal, stop oppressing the people your occupying.
The beast?Next, terrorists and etc., stop making Isael mad because we know what happens when you make the beast mad. IT BITES!
PeteEU said:And Isreal is not provoking anything and is a sweet little angel and the total innocent party in this conflict..
oldreliable67 said:Do we not see the guiding hand of Iran in the current ME imbrogio?
Can this be the beginning of the war on Iran?
David Twersky, writing in the New York Sun, made these obervations:
So here is the deal, summed up by a Powerline contributor:
Iran is getting very close to possessing nuclear weapons, and...
Its hard not to see the Iranian hand guiding all these pieces on the ME chessboard.
PeteEU said:And Isreal is not provoking anything and is a sweet little angel and the total innocent party in this conflict..
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