- Joined
- Jul 13, 2009
- Messages
- 18,351
- Reaction score
- 12,752
- Location
- State of Jefferson
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Moderate
Misterveritis, et al,
Yes, I've heard something similar to this time over objectivity as a basis for not challenging the decision.
Whether the US intervenes or not, all governments over time evolve. Objectively, who is to say that, given time, Iraq would not have changed on its own?
To me, the biggest problem in Iraq, as well as big parts of Africa, Europe, and other regions of the world can be described very simply with one word,
Tribalism.
This is something that sadly affects far to much of the planet to this day. The habit of far to many people to seperate people into groups of "us" and "them", and that anything can be done to "them" simply because they are not "us".
This is something that is pretty natural to humans. In more "advanced" nations, this tends to be connnection to a nation. But it can also be connection to an ideology, be it political or social. American, Germany, Soviet Union, these all can be considered tribal on an international level. And far to often, people will look at the other and see they are "bad", just because they are not us.
And the same also happens all to often with politics. Democrats, Republicans, Fascists, Tories, Socialists, Communists, we see this on an almost daily basis. People that so identify with an ideology that it in effect becomes their tribe. And they will attack anybody that they think threatens it.
In Iraq and great areas of the Middle East, that is still the standard. You can tell a lot about what a person believes and where they come from just by looking at their turban, taqiyah, or keffiyeh and agal. These are almost universal headware, but each group uses different forms of wraps, colors, patterns, and designs. And when times are troubled, you will normally see tribes and other family groups banding together. This can be good, but sadly in places like Iraq, they are also often times useing this to try and solve ancient tribal hatreds.
And this is not just limited to the Middle East and Africa. The US around 150 years ago had the same problems. People prior to the Civil War had very little connection to the nation. To them, they were united States, and their devotion was to their particular home state much more then to the nation as an entity. But after the Civil War, this mostly turned to Nationalism, where the connection was to the country more then the region they came from.
In Iraq, they have never really formed a nation. From 1968-2003, power was held by members of the Al-Bu Nasir tribe. And to most other tribes, they had a reputation of being fierce and warlike, cunning and secretive, but also decietful and not to be trusted. This is the group that really held power during the Ba'athist regeime, and a lot of the highest members in the government and military come from this tribe and related tribes.
And a lot of the fiercest tribal fighting in the country has been around Tikrit, where the Al-Bu Nasir Tribe is based. And like most groups in the region they used to add "al-Tikriti" to their names to show this connection. But there were so many "al-Tikriti" in the Saddam government that in 1977 he outlawed the use of place names in a persons name to help hide the fact that most of the highest members of the government were tied to him by tribal connections.
So to answer the question after all that build-up, I do not think things would have really changed short of revolution or overthrow. The Iraq government was not just a government, it was a family and tribal business as much as any of the Royal Families of Europe at the start of the 20th century. The government was run along tribal structures, and that would not have changed any time in the near future.