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Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day

The ring leader of the Christian right in Iowa responsible for both the abortion ban and the over-budget school voucher program, which is just a taxpayer handout to prop up private and parochial schools, is the right wing governor, Covid Kim Reynolds. As long as she’s sitting in the governor’s chair, she’ll be running indignant cover for her henchmen in the Iowa House and Senate who do her dirty work without questions.
I have to admit ignorance to Iowa politics. Other than the DNC pulling out from there as first primary because it's unrepresentative, I'm pretty much ignorant.

I do understand, however, that it hasn't been that long since Iowa was blue.

In your opinion, could Iowa be coming back from a Trump populist surge?
 
Trump would never be ahead in CA. by 3 points.

I'm not that concerned about Iowa, who only has six electoral votes. I think some are over-hyping a poll that is well within the margin of error.
That is exactly the point you are responding to. If some poll or another put Trump ahead in California, you and I and everyone looking at the poll would KNOW, without the shadow of a doubt, that the poll was wrong. Only the most naive fool would believe it. This is the case here. Harris isn't ahead of Trump. At the very best, she closed the gab a little bit, but no other poll has indicated that to be true. The Selzer poll is faulty. In two days, the voters will confirm how faulty the poll was.
 
Just to refresh your memory:

“During a Harris campaign Zoom call Tuesday night, Biden said, "The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters ”


I agree with the President
So you think that women who vote for trump are garbage but not stupid? Plus Biden walked that comment back. So how about you just tell me what you thick of women who vote for Trump and quit playing games.
 
Trump would never be ahead in CA. by 3 points.

I'm not that concerned about Iowa, who only has six electoral votes. I think some are over-hyping a poll that is well within the margin of error.
You still don’t get it. There’s practically nobody in the country, let alone the people of red state Iowa, who would have ever thought that Harris would poll anywhere close to being even here. Harris would never be ahead in Iowa by 3 points. Yet here we are.

6 electoral votes are 6 electoral votes, no matter how much you downplay it. If each one wasn’t important, why were the Republicans trying to change the rules to winner-take-all in Nebraska to get that one, lone electoral vote?
 
Only because the Supreme MAGA Court nullified Roe which nullification denies the Constitutional right as established in Roe.

Expanding the SC can reestablish the Constitutional right to abortion. Harris would need a Congress that would enact this however.

So Harris can name successors to reestablish the Constitutional abortion right after the crotchety old men Thomas and Alito die of their broken dreams that are our fascist nightmares. Libertarians and Putin too are mortified by Harris. Libertarians love Trump because he's a "strong leader."
If she believes that, why isnt she running on it?
 
So you think that women who vote for trump are garbage but not stupid? Plus Biden walked that comment back. So how about you just tell me what you thick of women who vote for Trump and quit playing games.
I agree with the President-before he walked back on what he said.
Clear yet?
It pertains to both women and men.
 
If she believes that, why isnt she running on it?
My post contained my own writing and statements which means I speak for myself about Harris.

Harris speaks for herself. IF Harris is presumed not to be running on something then that's it eh.

Your confused post that is speculation is your own presumption about Harris and that in this instance does not apply.
 
Again, it doesn't matter how good you are. Pollsters use a 95% confidence level which means even if everything is done perfectly, you still have a 1 in 20 chance that your prediction is bad.

The only way around this is to spend a ton of extra money to survey a much greater sample to raise your confidence level.
You’re hoping it’s wrong, because if the poll is right and he loses in Iowa his goose is cooked
 
You’re hoping it’s wrong, because if the poll is right and he loses in Iowa his goose is cooked
To me it’s not so much that Harris is ahead- it’s the trend. Harris was down about 18 points (actually it was Biden at the time)and now she’s ahead. I don’t think Iowa is alone. That and the fact that the undecided are breaking 55% for Harris doesn’t bode well for the rapist.
If I was garbage and was a supporter of the felon I’d be very worried
 
I have to admit ignorance to Iowa politics. Other than the DNC pulling out from there as first primary because it's unrepresentative, I'm pretty much ignorant.

I do understand, however, that it hasn't been that long since Iowa was blue.

In your opinion, could Iowa be coming back from a Trump populist surge?
Nope, not ignorant at all. I just happen to live here, that’s all. I used to live in Roanoke, Va., too, in the wonderful Blue Ridge Mountains. Although I would definitely defer to you on the current political climate out in your region.

The reason for the change in Iowa’s first in the nation Democratic Caucuses wasn’t that it was unrepresentative. I mean, like compared to New Hampshire? That was the narrative put out by the people in other states who wanted to get their own shot at being the first in the nation.

The economic impact in having such a focus on Iowa was huge. Think of all the candidates not in the incumbent party who visit regularly with their teams and the media coverage. We’re talking millions of dollars for hotels and restaurants, and that’s just in Des Moines.

The Iowa Democratic Party in 2020 screwed up royally. They used a faulty system to report caucus results around the state, and it turned into a three-day cluster before the final delegate count was made. That was unforgivable, because the entire nation was watching.

Also, the drumbeat was getting powder to strip the first in the nation designation from Iowa. If I recall, the Bernie bros weren’t too happy when Buttigieg won, with Bernie in 2nd, and Elizabeth Warren in 3rd. I’ll give you two guesses who finished in 4th place, a dismal showing here, and turned into one of the biggest proponents to take away Iowa’s first in the nation standing- yeah, Joe Biden. The guy was a sad, sorry loser here. And he helped pave the way to bad mouth Iowa. Don’t get me wrong- it was Iowa’s fault, and I personally disliked all of the political attention and ass-kissing every few years. But he and his campaign sucked for being a sore loser in Iowa.

Back to your questions. Iowa has had some several governors in my lifetime including Democrat Harold Hughes, Republican Robert Ray, Republican Terry Branstad, Democrat Chet Culver, Branstad again, then when he was named Ambassador to China, his Republican Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds. Two longtime senators in Democrat Tom Harkin and Republican Chuck Grassley. When Harkin retired, Republican Joni Ernst was elected.

Iowa is capable of becoming a purple state again, but the right has had a stranglehold on the state House and Senate, which steamrolls right wing initiatives through without much resistance. That’s got to change first.
 
And in a normal universe the Democrat would not be ahead in Iowa by 3 points, and yet here we are.

That poll is an outlier. Trump is ahead with Emerson by 9 or even more in Iowa. He's not going to lose IA., and I don't see where it's a sign of what you think is coming.
 
You can’t possibly be happy that the convicted sex offender and felon that you said you wouldn’t support before you said you would support is now behind in Iowa, a very conservative state-even if it’s barely within the margin of error. Right?
Do you agree it’s not good news for the MAGAT mob?

He should be 2/1 there, like he is other red states. Iowa isn’t usually in play.
 
That poll is an outlier. Trump is ahead with Emerson by 9 or even more in Iowa. He's not going to lose IA., and I don't see where it's a sign of what you think is coming.

Link to Emerson poll? Edit: never mind, found it.

If you want to dismiss the Selzer poll then you are perfectly free to do so.
 
Barely
I think I read Harris is up 3 points and the MOE is 3.4 points.
For me it’s the trend that is so encouraging. I don’t think Iowa is alone. Harris is finishing strong, delivering her message a sprinting to the finish line while the felon is still whining about an unfair election and that the justice department is just out to get him.
Awwwww…..😩

Don’t forget fellating a microphone. What the actual ****? She’s getting stronger, and he’s performing oral sex on a microphone and struggling to open a door to a garbage truck.
 
Don’t forget fellating a microphone. What the actual ****? She’s getting stronger, and he’s performing oral sex on a microphone and struggling to open a door to a garbage truck.
It’s pretty clear that Harris is finishing strong and has momentum. The felon continues to flail about seething at anything that upsets him.
Will she win? I think she will but it’s way too close. The felon should be in jail, not on the campaign trail.
 
It’s pretty clear that Harris is finishing strong and has momentum. The felon continues to flail about seething at anything that upsets him.
Will she win? I think she will but it’s way too close. The felon should be in jail, not on the campaign trail.

I’m not going to say who will win because I’m just not sure. But he is definitely struggling and I am here for it.
 
That poll is an outlier. Trump is ahead with Emerson by 9 or even more in Iowa. He's not going to lose IA., and I don't see where it's a sign of what you think is coming.
Cherry picking.

I bet if we went back to 2016 you would be citing her poll because at the time she had Trump up by 7.
 
Those who don’t like the Iowa poll results simply deny its existence. Unfortunately for them, it’s out there for everyone to see.
Made the scumbag seethe again, this time because it was released.
See the edit
Its a partisan hack job and nothing else
 
Cherry picking.

I bet if we went back to 2016 you would be citing her poll because at the time she had Trump up by 7.

You bet that? Go ahead and go back to 2016, find all my posts that prove the above.
 
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