- Joined
- Dec 16, 2011
- Messages
- 74,426
- Reaction score
- 32,652
- Location
- Florida
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Liberal
This is even less likely than the current round of IPCC alarm-ism.
At roughly 42% on the path to the first doubling of CO2, there are many who say we have passed peak oil.
I think we have passed peak easy/cheap oil, but there is a real question if we can ever actually
double the CO2 level. (we are running out of oil, and all that green stuff keeps growing faster and in more places.)
With an already too high ECS of 3 C for each doubling, it would take a CO2 level of 4480 ppm to get
a 12 C increase, there may not be that much hydrocarbon in the ground.
Then we have the fact that the Alberta tar sands contain as much fossil carbon as humans have released to date.
How Much Will Tar Sands Oil Add to Global Warming? - Scientific American