Whatever you question of me from my “choosing” a quote from AR4 vs AR5 is a false presumption.
Your
"global runoff" and
"amplified feedback" is more
"longview" distraction and mislead.
In the Tech Summary of the AR5:
(See page 91, last sent):
Regional to global-scale projected decreases in soil moisture and increased risk of agricultural drought are likely in presently dry regions and are projected with medium confidence by the end of this century
under the RCP8.5 scenario.
RCP8.5 is all but impossible
In the Synthesis Report of the AR5:
(See pg 6, 2nd to last sent):
Assessment of many studies covering a wide range of regions and crops shows that
negative impacts of climate change on crop yields have been more common than positive impacts (high confidence).
Crop yields are up almost globally
(See pg 8, 2nd para):
There are likely more land regions where the number of heavy precipitation events has increased than where it has decreased. Recent detection of increasing trends in extreme precipitation and discharge in some catchments implies greater risks of flooding at regional scale (medium confidence). It is likely that extreme sea levels (for example, as experienced in storm surges) have increased since 1970, being mainly a result of rising mean sea level. T
he sea level was rising since before the CO2 level was increasing and will continue to rise, until it starts to fall, Human actions will not have much effect on sea level.
(See pg 8, 3rd para):
Impacts from recent climate-related extremes, such as heat waves, droughts, floods, cyclones and wildfires, reveal significant vulnerability and exposure of some ecosystems and many human systems to current climate variability (very high confidence). {1.4}
Climate extremes always effect people, if we have more people, then more people are affected.
(See pg 13, last para):
Global temperature increases of
~4°C or more13 above late 20th century levels, combined with increasing food demand, would pose large risks to food security globally (high confidence). Climate change is projected to reduce renewable surface water and groundwater resources in most dry subtropical regions (robust evidence, high agreement), intensifying competition for water among sectors (limited evidence, medium agreement).
WOW! who is predicting 4°C above late 20th century levels?, and did you read the footnote 13?
" Projected warming averaged over land is larger than global average warming for all RCP scenarios for the period 2081–2100 relative to 1986–2005. For regional projections "
AR5 Synthesis Report - Climate Change 2014 (ipcc.ch)
What you continually fail to understand is that the IMPACT of various areas of drying, incl drought, affects global food supply. It’s the EFFECT of climate change that is the concern. That includes extreme weather events from both wetting and drying patterns brought on by anthropogenic drivers on climate change.
You keep bringing up ankle-biter points that do not change the fact that due to anthropogenic climate change, the planet is getting warmer, ice mass is melting, sea level is rising, and there are more extreme weather events that impact our daily lives and sustainability. You have yet to refute the IPCC position of anthropogenic climate change and it’s impact on the planet and effect on human life. I take the IPCC position, as I always have. You falsely imply that what I say is not the IPCC position. You’re a waste of time.