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Current House Race Status...Running Tally -- And Fetterman Won The PA Senate Race!!

Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 9 definite pickups (4 in FL, VA-2, NY-1, NY-3, NY-17, and WI-3). +4 overall

Republicans have slight leads in 8 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, AZ-6, CA-13, IA-3, NY-4, NY-19, NJ-7, and OR-5.

Republicans also have slight leads in 4 new/open districts: CA-3, TX-15, MI-10, and NY-22.

Democrats currently lead in WA-8, but the Republicans have a very good chance of picking up a seat there as well.


Democrats: 5 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, IL-13, OH-1, and MI-3).

Democrats have slight leads in 5 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CO-3, CO-8, NM-2, and WA-3.

There are also 2 additional Republican-held or open seats left that are considered up for grabs. The vote counting is still too early to determine the leader. --

CA-22 and CA-41
 
No prediction by Washington Post regarding MI-10, NJ-7, NY-4, NY-22, TX-15, WA-3 or CO-3. (CO-3 is Laura Boebert's district.)

Washington Post predicts that the Republicans will probably win AZ-1, AZ-2, AZ-6, CO-8, IA-3, OR-5, NY-19, and WA-8.

Washington Post predicts that the Democrats will probably win CA-13 and NM-2.
 
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btthegreat said:
And that's about the time Obama came out from behind his Professors ropes, and started his tour. Obama reminded the base and college students what was at stake if they got lazy, and Biden reminded the centrists, the older voters, and the blue collar workers. Notice that the Clintons kept a low profile. Roe was going to duplicate any possible good Hillary might accomplish among women, and Bill might as well have died already.
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Hilary was actually out doing some campaigning. That made me a bit nervous actually. Not because she's not brilliant, because she's such a lighting rod for hate.
 
TXNormalGOP said:
Hilary was actually out doing some campaigning. That made me a bit nervous actually. Not because she's not brilliant, because she's such a lighting rod for hate.
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Do you think she's a lighting rod for hate amongst any group of voters that don't already hate all democrats and were voting republican anyway? I don't know the answer- just asking.
 
3 races in CA that are still in the early stages:


No favorite declared yet in CA-23, which is also a Republican-controlled district. Trump won this district by 10 points.

CA-23 is not considered competitive, unlike the other two Republican-controlled districts CA-22 and CA-41 that are still up for grabs.



Biden won CA-22 by 13 points in 2020. The Republican is currently winning 54% - 46%. No favorite declared yet in CA-22.


CA-41 might be a newly drawn district, no data from the 2020 election is provided.

Rollins (D) is currently leading 56% - 44% in CA-41, with 31% of the vote counted. No favorite declared yet in CA-41.
 
The Washington Post predicts that Mark Kelly (D) will probably win the AZ Senate race.

They also predict that Cortez Masto (D) will probably win the NV Senate race, once all of the mail-in ballots are finally counted.

Unfortunately, the election-denier MAGA imbecile Kari Lake is currently predicted to win the AZ governor race. God help us.

No prediction on the NV governor race by the Washington Post. Lambardo (R) is also a hopeless MAGA election-denying idiot. He's doing slightly better than Laxalt (R), the Republican Senate candidate.

It looks like the nut job MAGA election-deniers running for Secretary of State in AZ in NV will most likely lose as well, since they are both underperforming the Republican Senate candidates in both states.
 
MAGA imbecile Boebert is losing by about 2,200 votes in CO-3, with 96% of votes counted. She is losing 151,606 to 149,405.

About 300,000 people have voted so far in her district. That means there are probably about 12,000 votes that haven't been counted yet. Making up 2,200 votes will be tough.
 
The Washington Post has just declared NY-19 for the Republicans.

They also declared NY-17 for the Republicans, but Maloney (D) already conceded that race several hours ago.
 
Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 10 definite pickups (4 in FL, 4 in NY, VA-2, and WI-3). +5 overall

Republicans have slight leads in 7 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, AZ-6, CA-13, IA-3, NY-4, NJ-7, and OR-5.

Republicans also have slight leads in 4 new/open districts: CA-3, TX-15, MI-10, and NY-22.

Democrats currently lead in WA-8, but the Republicans have a very good chance of picking up a seat there as well.


Democrats: 5 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, IL-13, OH-1, and MI-3).

Democrats have slight leads in 5 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CO-3, CO-8, NM-2, and WA-3.

There are also 2 additional Republican-held or open seats left that are considered up for grabs. The vote counting is still too early to determine the leader. --

CA-22 and CA-41
 
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phoenix2020 said:
Admittedly this is much closer than I expected. I expected the Democrats to receive a shellacking due to inflation. It's too bad the GOP went all-in on the whole MAGA fascist personality cult thing. If they'd remained, you know, normal rational fiscal conservatives, they'd have mopped up.
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I do sometimes wonder how much of the inflation worry is just a feedback loop of the news talking about how we're concerned about it.

OR for that matter any number of other issues.
 
No prediction by the Washington Post regarding the following 7 districts: MI-10, NJ-7, NY-4, NY-22, TX-15, WA-3 or CO-3. (CO-3 is Laura Boebert's district.)

Washington Post predicts that the Republicans will probably win the following 7 districts: AZ-1, AZ-2, AZ-6, CO-8, IA-3, OR-5, and WA-8. That would be 5 additional House seats for Republicans, if the predictions are correct.

Washington Post predicts that the Democrats will probably win the following 2 districts: CA-13 and NM-2. That would be one additional House seat pickup for Democrats (NM-2).

As mentioned in post #55, the Democrats might be able to pickup 2 Republican House seats in CA-22 and CA-41 as well.
 
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Buckeyes85 said:
Do you think she's a lighting rod for hate amongst any group of voters that don't already hate all democrats and were voting republican anyway? I don't know the answer- just asking.
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I know I wasn't asked but she, isn't going to change any minds that needed changing or do a better job at getting turn-out than others do, so all she accomplishes is to remind people of her husband and his scandals.
 
RIP U.S. Democracy said:
See post #57 for a more recent update. Boebert is barely hanging on.

But that definitely doesn't look good if she is counting on Garfield County to save her.
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THANKS! I also went back through my link to the counties - Pueblo was the one at 75% counted and I think that leans DEM, but I'm not sure being from Ohio LOL Everything else I saw was 95% or higher, so there aren't a lot of areas she can pick up votes from

1668030684805.webp
 
Man0in3Black said:
THANKS! I also went back through my link to the counties - Pueblo was the one at 75% counted and I think that leans DEM, but I'm not sure being from Ohio LOL Everything else I saw was 95% or higher, so there aren't a lot of areas she can pick up votes from

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Pueblo is definitely a Democratic area, heavily Hispanic.

Yeah, Boebert is in serious trouble.
 
Republicans picked-up NJ-7 and IA-3 from the Democrats.
 
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Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 12 definite pickups (4 in FL, 4 in NY, VA-2, WI-3, IA-3 and NJ-7). +7 overall

Republicans have slight leads in 5 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, AZ-6, CA-13, NY-4, and OR-5.

Republicans also have slight leads in 4 new/open districts: CA-3, TX-15, MI-10, and NY-22.

Democrats currently lead in WA-8, but the Republicans have a very good chance of picking up a seat there as well.


Democrats: 5 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, IL-13, OH-1, and MI-3).

Democrats have slight leads in 5 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CO-3, CO-8, NM-2, and WA-3.

There are also 2 additional Republican-held or open seats left that are considered up for grabs. The vote counting is still too early to determine the leader. --

CA-22 and CA-41
 
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No prediction by the Washington Post regarding the following 6 districts: MI-10, NY-4, NY-22, TX-15, WA-3 or CO-3. (CO-3 is Laura Boebert's district.)

Washington Post predicts that the Republicans will probably win the following 6 districts: AZ-1, AZ-2, AZ-6, CO-8, OR-5, and WA-8. That would be 4 additional House seats for Republicans, if the predictions are correct.

Washington Post predicts that the Democrats will probably win the following 2 districts: CA-13 and NM-2. That would be one additional House seat pickup for Democrats (NM-2).

As mentioned in post #55, the Democrats might be able to pickup 2 Republican House seats in CA-22 and CA-41 as well.
 
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Washington Post called TX-15 for Republicans. That is another pickup.
 
Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 13 definite pickups (4 in FL, 4 in NY, VA-2, WI-3, IA-3, NJ-7, and TX-15). +8 overall

Republicans have slight leads in 5 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, AZ-6, CA-13, NY-4, and OR-5.

Republicans also have slight leads in 3 new/open districts: CA-3, MI-10, and NY-22.

Democrats currently lead in WA-8, but the Republicans have a very good chance of picking up a seat there as well.


Democrats: 5 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, IL-13, OH-1, and MI-3).

Democrats have slight leads in 5 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CO-3, CO-8, NM-2, and WA-3.

There are also 2 additional Republican-held or open seats left that are considered up for grabs. The vote counting is still too early to determine the leader. --

CA-22 and CA-41
 
Democrats are now favored to win OR-5, according to the Washington Post. At first, they were predicting the Republicans to win. That was a projected House gain for Republicans.

OR-4 and OR-6 are also very close, but Democrats are favored to win those two races as well. However, none of these 3 OR races would be a gain for Democrats.
 
Update on close CA races (2 - 3 possible House pickups for Democrats):

The Washington Post believes that the Democrats will probably pickup a seat in CA-22. However, the incumbent Valadao (R) is currently in the lead.

The Washington Post also believes that the Democrats will probably pickup a seat in CA-27. However, the incumbent Garcia (R) is currently in the lead.

Democrats are currently winning in Republican-held CA-41. However, it's predicted that the incumbent Calvert (R) will eventually prevail.

Katie Porter (D) is barely winning in CA-47. However, it's predicted that she will hold onto her seat.

Mark Levin (D) is barely winning in CA-49. However, it's predicted that he will hold onto his seat.
 
Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 13 definite pickups (4 in FL, 4 in NY, VA-2, WI-3, IA-3, NJ-7, and TX-15). +8 overall

Republicans have slight leads/projected to win in 4 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, AZ-6, CO-8, and NY-4.

Republicans also have slight leads in 3 new/open districts: CA-3, MI-10, and NY-22.


Democrats: 5 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, IL-13, OH-1, and MI-3).

Democrats have slight leads/projected to win in 5 races in Republican-held districts: CO-3, NM-2, WA-3, CA-22, and CA-27.

The Democrats are also currently winning in AZ-1, CO-8, and CA-41, but the Washington Post currently predicts that the Republicans will barely win these 3 races.
 
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Made slight correction above...Democrats are now expected to hold onto WA-8, according to Washington Post.

WA-8 is no longer a projected gain for Republicans. OR-5 is no longer a projected gain for Republicans either, as previously noted.
 
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