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Current House Race Status...Running Tally -- And Fetterman Won The PA Senate Race!!

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21 House races are still undecided.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 21 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 12 races

Republicans
currently leading or predicted to win -- 5 races

These 5 Republicans races are CA-3, CA-41, CA-45, CO-3, and NY-22.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County.


Based on the 17 races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 216 House seats
Democrats: 215 House seats



Races with no current prediction
(Washington Post is revising their prediction models) -- 4 races

These 4 races with no current Washington Post prediction will determine who gets to the 218 majority.

These 4 races are AZ-1, AZ-6, CO-8, and OR-5.

The Democrats are currently leading in AZ-1 and CO-8. The Republicans are currently leading in AZ-6 and OR-5.

The Republican candidate for CO-8 already conceded that race a couple of days ago. However, it's still extremely close, as I noted in post #124. The Washington Post has not awarded CO-8 to the Democrats yet.
 
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21 House races are still undecided.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 21 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 11 races

These 11 Democratic-lead races are AK-1, CA-6, CA-9, CA-13, CA-21, CA-22, CA-27, CA-47, CA-49, OR-6, and ME-2.

AK-1 and ME-2 are ranked-choice voting, so those two races are a little more unpredictable.


Republicans currently leading or predicted to win -- 4 races

These 4 Republican-lead races are CA-3, CA-41, CA-45, and CO-3.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County.


Based on the 15 House races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 215 House seats

Democrats: 214 House seats


Races with no current Washington Post prediction:
-- 6 races

These 6 races have no current Washington Post prediction. These 6 races will determine who gets to the 218 majority.

These 6 races are AZ-1, AZ-6, CO-8, OR-5, NM-2, and NY-22.

The Democrats are currently leading in AZ-1, CO-8, and NM-2. The Republicans are currently leading in AZ-6, OR-5, and NY-22.

The Republican candidate for CO-8 already conceded that race a few days ago. However, it's still extremely close, as I noted in post #124. The Washington Post has not awarded CO-8 to the Democrats yet.
 
The Democrats just won the NM-2 House race! This is a flip for the Democrats. NM-2 was a Republican-held district.

This lowers the Republican gains in the House to +8 overall.

The Democrats will need to lower the Republican gains to +4 overall in order to retain control of the House, which is the equivalent of winning 218 House seats.
 
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20 House races are still undecided.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 20 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 10 races

These 10 Democratic-lead races are AK-1, CA-6, CA-9, CA-13, CA-21, CA-22, CA-47, CA-49, OR-6, and ME-2.

AK-1 and ME-2 are ranked-choice voting, so those two races are a little more unpredictable.


Republicans currently leading or predicted to win -- 4 races

These 4 Republican-lead races are CA-3, CA-41, CA-45, and CO-3.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County.


Based on the 14 House races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 215 House seats

Democrats: 214 House seats


Races with no current Washington Post prediction:
-- 6 races

These 6 races have no current Washington Post prediction. These 6 races will determine who gets to the 218 majority.

These 6 races are AZ-1, AZ-6, CA-27, CO-8, OR-5, and NY-22.

The Democrats are currently leading in CO-8. The Republicans are currently leading in AZ-1, AZ-6, CA-27, OR-5, and NY-22.

The Republican candidate for CO-8 already conceded that race a few days ago. However, it's still extremely close, as I noted in post #124. The Washington Post has not awarded CO-8 to the Democrats yet.
 
The Republicans won the OR-5 race. OR-5 was a Democratic-held district, so that is a House flip for the Republicans.

The Republicans are now at +9 overall. The Democrats will need to low the Republican gains to +4 overall in order to retain the House majority, which is equivalent to 218 seats.
 
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19 House races are still undecided.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 19 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 10 races

These 10 Democratic-lead races are AK-1, CA-6, CA-9, CA-13, CA-21, CA-22, CA-47, CA-49, OR-6, and ME-2.

AK-1 and ME-2 are ranked-choice voting, so those two races are a little more unpredictable.


Republicans currently leading or predicted to win -- 4 races

These 4 Republican-lead races are CA-3, CA-41, CA-45, and CO-3.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County.


Based on the 14 House races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 216 House seats

Democrats: 214 House seats


Races with no current Washington Post prediction:
-- 5 races

These 5 races have no current Washington Post prediction. These 5 races will determine who gets to the 218 House seats majority.

These 5 races are AZ-1, AZ-6, CA-27, CO-8, OR-5, and NY-22.

The Democrats are currently leading in CO-8. The Republicans are currently leading in AZ-1, AZ-6, CA-27, and NY-22.

The Republican candidate for CO-8 already conceded that race a few days ago. However, it's still extremely close, as I noted in post #124. The Washington Post has not awarded CO-8 to the Democrats yet.
 
The Republicans have won AZ-1 and NY-22. The Democrats have won OR-6.

None of these victories are flips, so it remains at +9 overall for the Republicans.
 
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16 House races are still undecided.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 16 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 9 races

These 10 Democratic-lead races are AK-1, CA-6, CA-9, CA-13, CA-21, CA-22, CA-47, CA-49, and ME-2.

AK-1 and ME-2 are ranked-choice voting, so those two races are a little more unpredictable.


Republicans currently leading or predicted to win -- 4 races

These 4 Republican-lead races are CA-3, CA-41, CA-45, and CO-3.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County. CA-41 and CA-45 are really close, too.


Based on the 14 House races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 218 House seats

Democrats: 214 House seats


Races with no current Washington Post prediction:
-- 3 races

These 3 races have no current Washington Post prediction.

These 3 races are AZ-6, CA-27, and CO-8.

The Democrats are currently leading in CO-8. The Republicans are currently leading in AZ-6 and CA-27.

The Republican candidate for CO-8 already conceded that race a few days ago. However, it's still extremely close, as I noted in post #124. The Washington Post has not awarded CO-8 to the Democrats yet.
 
Quite a bit has happened in the past 24 hours, mostly bad for the Democrats.

The Republicans won the very close races in AZ-6 and CA-45. The CO-8 race was officially called for the Democrats.
 
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13 House races are still undecided.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 13 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 9 races

These 9 Democratic-lead races are AK-1, CA-6, CA-9, CA-13, CA-21, CA-22, CA-47, CA-49, and ME-2.

AK-1 and ME-2 are ranked-choice voting, so those two races are a little more unpredictable.


Republicans currently leading or predicted to win -- 3 races

These 3 Republican-lead races are CA-3, CA-41, and CO-3.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County. CA-41 is really close, too.


Based on the 13 House races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 219 House seats

Democrats: 215 House seats


Races with no current Washington Post prediction:
-- 1 race

This race is CA-27 and currently has no Washington Post prediction.
 
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The Democrats have won CA-6, CA-9, and CA-21. The Republicans have won CA-41.

These are holds for both parties, no seats were flipped.
 
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9 House races are still undecided. The Republicans need 1 more victory to gain control of the House.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 9 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 6 races

These 9 Democratic-lead races are AK-1, CA-13, CA-22, CA-47, CA-49, and ME-2.

AK-1 and ME-2 are ranked-choice voting, so those two races are a little more unpredictable.


Republicans currently leading or predicted to win -- 2 races

These 2 Republican-lead races are CA-3 and CO-3.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County. CA-41 is really close, too.


Based on the 9 House races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 219 House seats

Democrats: 215 House seats


Races with no current Washington Post prediction:
-- 1 race

This race is CA-27 and currently has no Washington Post prediction.
 
Garcia wins in California to give the Republicans the majority in the House. Que Nancy Pelosi to announce her retirement and don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out.
 
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9 House races are still undecided. The Republicans need 1 more victory to gain control of the House.


Current Washington Post predictions for these 9 races:

Democrats
currently leading or predicted to win -- 6 races

These 9 Democratic-lead races are AK-1, CA-13, CA-22, CA-47, CA-49, and ME-2.

AK-1 and ME-2 are ranked-choice voting, so those two races are a little more unpredictable.


Republicans currently leading or predicted to win -- 2 races

These 2 Republican-lead races are CA-3 and CO-3.

Lauren Boebert's race is CO-3 and she might still lose, depending on how many votes there are still left to count in Pueblo County. CA-41 is really close, too.


Based on the 9 House races noted above, this is the current prediction:

Republicans: 219 House seats

Democrats: 215 House seats


Races with no current Washington Post prediction:
-- 1 race

This race is CA-27 and currently has no Washington Post prediction.
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