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COVID-19 Lethality Not Much Different Than Flu, Says New Study

PoS

PoS

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COVID-19 Lethality Not Much Different Than Flu, Says New Study – Reason.com

In the new study, the researchers sought residents through Facebook to whom they could administer the antibody tests. The results were an unadjusted prevalence of coronavirus antibodies of 1.5 percent. After making various statistical and demographic adjustments, researchers calculated the likely prevalence ranged from 2.49 to 4.16 percent. At the time that these tests were administered, there were about 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 32* deaths from the disease in Santa Clara County. The upshot is that "these prevalence estimates represent a range between 48,000 and 81,000 people infected in Santa Clara County by early April, 50- 85-fold more than the number of confirmed cases."


Using these data, the researchers calculated the infection fatality rate, that is, the percent of people infected with the disease who die: "A hundred deaths out of 48,000-81,000 infections corresponds to an infection fatality rate of 0.12-0.2%," they report.* That's about the same infection fatality rate the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimates for seasonal influenza.
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What do you think?
 
When both the NBA and NCAA closed up shop, I paid attention........I don’t want my lungs to emulsify....
 
Ikari said:
Not sure about that. The flu is about 0.1%. Currently, according to the John Hopkins map, we have 766,664 active cases and 40,931 fatalities. Which comes out to about 5.3%, over 50 times that of the flu. With those deaths, we'd need 40,931,000 cases to have a 0.1% mortality rate. It isn't likely we've undercounted by that amount.
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I stopped avidly following the math a couple weeks ago, but when I last checked in, .8% is what you could expect so long as the hospitals were at or below capacity. It can spike all the way up to 10% once the hospitals are overwhelmed.
 
PoS said:
COVID-19 Lethality Not Much Different Than Flu, Says New Study – Reason.com



What do you think?
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I think the impacts around the world point in a different direction. At some point COVID 19 might just be another coronavirus strain we count along with other seasonal viruses, but since it's a novel virus, the impact was always going to be bigger than existing viral strain people for which some people have immunity. I don't recall there ever being the need to hire refrigerated trucks to house the morgue overflow due to the flu.
 
Ikari said:
Not sure about that. The flu is about 0.1%. Currently, according to the John Hopkins map, we have 766,664 active cases and 40,931 fatalities. Which comes out to about 5.3%, over 50 times that of the flu. With those deaths, we'd need 40,931,000 cases to have a 0.1% mortality rate. It isn't likely we've undercounted by that amount.
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Uh-oh.....using science and arithmetic. The Cult is not going to be happy with that.
 
Well done by all so far.
Opps, except one that must have not read the rest.
Carry on....
 
AmNat said:
Clearly these scientists need to be re-educated. They are not towing the line, and are directly contradicting information which has been reported by party officials.
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Excellent work, cultist. Your Dear Dirtbag Leader will be pleased.
 
Feb called, wants meme back.
 
jamesbyoung said:
Those who minimalize the lethality of CV19 have sinister motives.
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The op presented findings from a study and then asked "What do you think?". Immediately the over reactors jump in and assume things that simply don't exist.

Born angry people! Just read and respond to the questions as presented.
 
digitusmedius said:
Excellent work, cultist. Your Dear Dirtbag Leader will be pleased.
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The only "cultist" around here are the people who constantly use the word "cultist". It's very creepy!
 
Mongidig said:
The only "cultist" around here are the people who constantly use the word "cultist". It's very creepy!
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Actually, I wonder if that's how people in weird end-days cults think: that everyone else is a cultist and they're the normal ones.
 
"Wearing a mask just doesn't really feel natural. You know what I mean? Not the same, really."



Don't listen, ladies.
 
Aberro said:
It’s what I thought all along, and I won’t wear a useless mask.
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Literally the one dark benefit of drunk drivers is that they're eventually a participant in the disaster they inevitably make. In their loved ones or strangers' deaths, they learn that drunk driving is bad. Unfortunately, people who walk around infecting others don't get such a vivid lesson, so they're unlikely to learn the lesson.
 
which flu epidemics killed this many people when everyone was on a stay at home order?
 
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