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2008 Election Polling Numbers Thread

Re: McCain takes lead!

You know what, I'm going to laugh at all of you after the election. In fact I'm laughing at you now. Polls don't mean ****. Just look at the poll numbers that Kernel Sanders posted - they're not even close. Obama has a lead anywhere from 15% to 3%??? I believe Obama will win, but I'm also smart enough to realize that the polls are worthless - just as recent history has validated. Anyone taking heart in a poll, multiple polls or handpicking which poll you post a link to is pushing dishonesty, that or a lack of knowledge.
 
Re: McCain takes lead!

Link

Released: 11-01-2008

UTICA, New York -- Republican John McCain made a small gain against Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error, now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1% to 44.1%, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.
Almost two days worth of the polling -- or about half of the current sample in the three-day rolling poll of likely voters nationwide, was conducted after Obama's 30-minute commercial aired Wednesday evening. There is no evidence it helped him, as he has dropped 1.1 points in the last two days, while McCain has gained 0.8 points during the same period.

Yea, McCain is confident that he is going to win. Well, Baghdad Bob was pretty confident too. Here he is:

YouTube - Baghdad Bob
 
Such a mass of people flocking to early voting likely changes the accuracy of polls and likely in Obama's favor given he has hundreds of millions of dollars from Wall Street (the CEOs given $150 billion in tax exemptions to) to literally drive people picked up on the street to the polls.

For an old man, McCain is still slugging it out. Wasn't he suppose to die of old age or something by now?

The polls on issue-topics also show that Americans are voting for a non-violent revolution against capitalism to return instead to the European caste system. In every speech Obama declares there is only one real evil in America - capitalists. The majority appear to agree. But in a Democracy people do pick and then live by the consequences. In a few days a new experiment is Democratic socialism likely begins. Maybe then Obama will also dictate the next lower social role women will be allowed.

You do hate men don't you.
 
trackpoll110108.jpg
 
Re: Zogby: Mccain Moves Into Lead 48-47 In One Day Polling

Yeah, who knows? The GOP and “repubs” might be able to get a democratic county wide majority to help them “cheat” the system in a historically democratically controlled county, again. Chuckle. At least until a consortium of over 60 national newspapers determines that the GOP/repubs did not in fact “get” the dems in charge on the dem controlled Palm Beach county, to “cheat” for them. In which case you could always ignore that little factoid for nearly a decade and come back here in 2016 and hang us a chad.

When you do, be sure to bring your “special” abacus with you. :roll:

Uh, okay. I don't know what all that was about. :shock:

..., would you like to pretend that I still need help and say something that might be of use to others perusing this thread?

So the answer is "no" ?


Never mind. Forget I said any of the above; I'm done engaging with you.

P/N said:
You know what, I'm going to laugh at all of you after the election. In fact I'm laughing at you now. Polls don't mean ****. Just look at the poll numbers that Kernel Sanders posted - they're not even close. Obama has a lead anywhere from 15% to 3%??? I believe Obama will win, but I'm also smart enough to realize that the polls are worthless - just as recent history has validated. Anyone taking heart in a poll, multiple polls or handpicking which poll you post a link to is pushing dishonesty, that or a lack of knowledge.

Taking heart in a single poll isn't very useful, sure, but with dozens of polls available, one can take an average or watch the trends of each to get a good idea of what the samples and thus what the true population are like.

I think it's interesting too how different all the polls are. Like you said, Barack Obama has anywhere between a +3 and a +15% lead depending on which poll you look at. Consider the fact that nearly every poll claims a +/- 3% margin of error & it makes you wonder if maybe the possible error is much larger if very few polls agree with one another.

I always assume that the difference in the poll numbers are due to the types of questions the pollsters ask and how they ask them.
 
Re: Zogby: Mccain Moves Into Lead 48-47 In One Day Polling

Uh, okay. I don't know what all that was about. :shock:

So the answer is "no" ?

Never mind. Forget I said any of the above; I'm done engaging with you.
It was a joke about Palm Beach county 2000, sorry you did not get it. Yes, the answer is no. Mostly because you were just joking around in the first place. So was I, only with you. ;)

But otherwise, OK. Carry on.............
 
Poll: Candidates in Dead Heat Among Automobile Owners
A recent poll of automobile owners finds the race for the White House much closer than most national polls indicate.

Monday, November 03, 2008

Most national polls find Barack Obama holding a solid -- yet narrowing -- lead over John McCain in the final push before the election.

But a recent poll of automobile owners shows a different reality.

McCain leads Obama 47 percent to 46 percent among vehicle owners -- well within the margin of error -- according to a report published by the automotive price guide Kelley Blue Book.

The report, which appeared Monday on the McClatchy-Tribune's Web site, found that McCain is favored among owners of domestic and luxury vehicles -- like Buick, Dodge, and Ford -- while Obama leads among import owners -- like Saab and Honda.

Fifty-two percent of Lexus, BMW, and Lincoln owners, for example, prefer McCain while 61 percent of Subaru owners favor Obama, according to the McClatchy-Tribune.

The report found that heavy sales of those vehicles correlate with states where a particular candidate dominates in the polls, Kelley Blue Book's senior vice president of marketing and analytics Rick Wainschel told the Hartford Courant.

Another poll showed pet owners prefer McCain over Obama.
 
In a final poll, it shows that dead people favor McCain over Obama, citing that they have more in common with him.
 
1103b_mainchart.png

That's a very slim chance for McCain to pull this out.
 
I'm not so sure about Obama leading the undecided voters 4% to 1.9%
 
Since we're posting pictures..

rcpfinalpoll.jpg
 
Last edited:
I'm not so sure about Obama leading the undecided voters 4% to 1.9%

If it help I'll spot you the undecided :D

There now its Obama by 3.2 points.

regardless its all about that electoral map, popular vote is moot.
 
Intrade has Obama at 93.7% and McCain at 7.7% now.
 
Intrade has Obama at 93.7% and McCain at 7.7% now.

I would so love to place a Vegas-style bet on McCain to win just at the slim chance of getting a windfall payout!
 
I would so love to place a Vegas-style bet on McCain to win just at the slim chance of getting a windfall payout!

24 hours before the New Hampshire primary, anyone could have placed a bet on Hillary winning at 100-1 odds.

God that would have been sweet.
 
Re: McCain takes lead!

You know what, I'm going to laugh at all of you after the election. In fact I'm laughing at you now. Polls don't mean ****. Just look at the poll numbers that Kernel Sanders posted - they're not even close. Obama has a lead anywhere from 15% to 3%??? I believe Obama will win, but I'm also smart enough to realize that the polls are worthless - just as recent history has validated. Anyone taking heart in a poll, multiple polls or handpicking which poll you post a link to is pushing dishonesty, that or a lack of knowledge.
Yet when all the polls are pointing in the same direction, yes it does bear some weight.
Also, after 2000 and 2004 the institutions that conduct polls have made adjustments of their sampling and methodology so as to correct for the mistakes they made then.
The 2006 election was very similar to the polling results. Since then the institutions have also made further refinements of their methodology and algorithms. So this year will be interesting to judge the accuracy of these polls.
 
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