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would you favour the independence of Scotland? (1 Viewer)

would you?


  • Total voters
    18
That is a stupid question. Did you get that one from MSNBC?

I don't think it could possibly be stupider than claiming "they pretty much already are independent"

How could anyone make such an unbelievably stupid claim?

That seriously ranks as one of the silliest posts I've read on this place
 
The best argument in favour of it, which you didn't present to me, and which I was ignorant of up until now - because as I said, I haven't got all the facts (and that's why I asked - I'm not trying to appear a know-it-all here), is the independence referenda.

80.8% of the cast votes supported the Yes–Yes option, 10.1% the Yes–No, 4.5% the No option.

Ok, well in light of that, I have to agree, they should be given self-determination.

I'm still waiting for objective analysis to see if it would be better for them economically, but they have the right to do what they like.

Just as Britain had the right to stick its own head on a pike by going through the motions with Brexit..
One need take into account that the actual referendum of 2017 showed a voter turnout of around 43 pct. So even if a 100pct vote for secession had occurred (which it didn't, although it came close), the significance is zilch.

Of course one need also recognize that the authorities (both national as in from Madrid and "regional" as in from Barcelona) declared the whole referendum as illegal even before it was held, thus discouraging most potential voters (pro or con) from even participating.

That's not even counting massive police actions in many cases suppressing participation altogether, even where the illegality of the whole process was even determined by Catalonia's own laws.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Catalan_independence_referendum

As to Catalonia's chances of economic survival as an independent republic (had that actually succeeded), it would have been out of the EU immediately, with chances of (re-) entry due to take years.

But that's all moot now, the recent elections in Catalonia have shown an all out low for the total of independence parties
 
One need take into account that the actual referendum of 2017 showed a voter turnout of around 43 pct. So even if a 100pct vote for secession had occurred (which it didn't, although it came close), the significance is zilch.

So what is your point? The recent by elections in England had turnouts of:

A by-election took place on 29 February 2024 in the UK Parliament constituency of Rochdale .. The turnout was 39.7%, compared to a 60.1% turnout in the constituency at the last general election.[5]

..The turnout was 38%,[1] compared to a 64.3% turnout in the constituency at the last general election.

A by-election took place on 2 May 2024 in the UK Parliament constituency of Blackpool South, the same day as local elections in England and Wales.

..

The by-election was won by Chris Webb of the Labour Party with a 26% swing, on a turnout of 32.5%.[3]

Do you see anyone claiming they can try and overturn the result?

You see, a lot of Remainers have done this in England, like Jo Swinson, insisted that democracy is manipulable when the results don't agree with one's preconceptions.

I'm sorry but the referendum was binding.

The referendum was approved by the Catalan parliament in a session on 6 September 2017, boycotted by 52 anti-independence parliamentarians,[17] along with the Law of juridical transition and foundation of the Republic of Catalonia the following day 7 September, which stated that independence would be binding with a simple majority, without requiring a minimum turnout.[17][18]

No minimum turnout.

You can't, like Jo Swinson, or Trump, or countless others, simply attempt to overturn the result when you don't like it.
 
I fully support Scottish independence because it's better for Scotland.
Much like my position on Brexit, I don't see any argument for Scotland to be significantly better off or worse off as an independent nation, with much of the balance being down to random events. Also like Brexit though, there would be massive disruption, argument and costs in the process of transition, but multiplied many times given the much greater scale and scope.

I'm not a fan of the way the EU is being run at the moment with the caving in to right-wing extremists and their demands, but I also accept it's still the best thing in town, so Scotland could seek EU membership and likely have funds restored to them that were taken away both under Brexit - and under Labour governments too using the unfair Barnett Formula.
I don't see the EU being all that bothered either way about an independent Scotland joining, and some EU nations may well object to it for their own reasons. I certainly don't see them gaining any of the special benefits the UK had, they'd just be treated as another new and relatively small applicant. It would also create an entirely new land border between the EU and the (r)UK, potentially leading to a whole load of new issues there.

Also, the process of joining the EU, even if it was accelerated, would take many years and Scotland would likely need to be independent for many years before even starting the process to be able to establish and demonstrate the economic and political stability that is required. Again, not significantly better or worse off in the end but facing long transition years either way.

By the way, just so you all understand, the EU FORCED Devolved Parliaments on the UK against Tony Blair's wishes.
Where are you getting that from. The idea had been in the offing for decades before and was a Labour manifesto pledge in the previous election. I'm not sure Labour would have pushed for devolution if there wasn't significant call for it, but I'm aware of zero evidence of it being forced on anyone.

The only clear benefit of Scottish independence I can see is that I'd be able to apply for dual nationality, but I'm not nearly arrogant enough to consider that worth the costs and risks. :cool:
 
So what is your point? The recent by elections in England had turnouts of:







Do you see anyone claiming they can try and overturn the result?

You see, a lot of Remainers have done this in England, like Jo Swinson, insisted that democracy is manipulable when the results don't agree with one's preconceptions.

I'm sorry but the referendum was binding.



No minimum turnout.

You can't, like Jo Swinson, or Trump, or countless others, simply attempt to overturn the result when you don't like it.
I'm not talking about either England, Scotland or the UK overall, I was (if you re-read) speaking of Spain in general and Catalonia in particular (seeing how YOU brought it up in the post I responded to).

The constitutional make-ups do not compare to (let alone equate with) the UK.
 
Much like my position on Brexit, I don't see any argument for Scotland to be significantly better off or worse off as an independent nation, with much of the balance being down to random events. Also like Brexit though, there would be massive disruption, argument and costs in the process of transition, but multiplied many times given the much greater scale and scope.

I don't see the EU being all that bothered either way about an independent Scotland joining, and some EU nations may well object to it for their own reasons. I certainly don't see them gaining any of the special benefits the UK had, they'd just be treated as another new and relatively small applicant. It would also create an entirely new land border between the EU and the (r)UK, potentially leading to a whole load of new issues there.

Also, the process of joining the EU, even if it was accelerated, would take many years and Scotland would likely need to be independent for many years before even starting the process to be able to establish and demonstrate the economic and political stability that is required. Again, not significantly better or worse off in the end but facing long transition years either way.

Where are you getting that from. The idea had been in the offing for decades before and was a Labour manifesto pledge in the previous election. I'm not sure Labour would have pushed for devolution if there wasn't significant call for it, but I'm aware of zero evidence of it being forced on anyone.

The only clear benefit of Scottish independence I can see is that I'd be able to apply for dual nationality, but I'm not nearly arrogant enough to consider that worth the costs and risks. :cool:

The benefits are being free from the Westminster parliament, if you really think being run by the incompetents there is not as bad as being run from Holyrood then I don't know what to suggest, even a C4 factcheck found they'd be better off economically i
independent anyway.

And Austria took only 5 years to join the EU.

The disruption caused by being run from the dysfunctional Westminster parliament by Tories or Labour (ie two cheeks on the same arse right now) would seem to outweigh the disruption of leaving the UK.
 
I'm not talking about either England, Scotland or the UK overall, I was (if you re-read) speaking of Spain in general and Catalonia in particular (seeing how YOU brought it up in the post I responded to).

The constitutional make-ups do not compare to (let alone equate with) the UK.

Who said you were talking about the UK overall?

I'm pointing out that the referendum was binding and had no minimum turnout specifically specified.

The Spanish govt then insist that it violates the Spanish constitution, letting a region split-off from Spain.

That would seem to run counter to ideas of democracy and self-determination.
 
Who said you were talking about the UK overall?

I'm pointing out that the referendum was binding and had no minimum turnout specifically specified.

The Spanish govt then insist that it violates the Spanish constitution, letting a region split-off from Spain.

That would seem to run counter to ideas of democracy and self-determination.
Harp on this as much as you like (regarding Spain), the referendums on Catalonian independence (both the 2014 self-declared non binding one and the 2017 one held in defiance of Spanish law) were illegal by the legal parameters of this here country.

If you want to pursue the Scottish issue, do so by all means, but quit conflating it with a country you're clearly not conversant upon.
 
.........and with that I'll disregard any further reference to Spain in a thread reserved for Scotland.
 
You basically stated exactly what I just said in my earlier post, in different words and then claim I'm 'harping on'.

I fully realize the referenda were technically considered illegal and I'm saying that runs counter to the ideas of democracy and self-determination.

Stating the obvious, which I also stated earlier myself, that I'm not familiar with the politics behind this does your argument no favours either.

Explain why if Catalonians want independence, they should be denied it? Whether it's technically unconstitutional or not?
 
Ok then you can explain why in Rumpel's "Catalonia" thread I presume.
 
Who said you were talking about the UK overall?

I'm pointing out that the referendum was binding and had no minimum turnout specifically specified.

The Spanish govt then insist that it violates the Spanish constitution, letting a region split-off from Spain.

That would seem to run counter to ideas of democracy and self-determination.
So i see it, too
 
The benefits are being free from the Westminster parliament, if you really think being run by the incompetents there is not as bad as being run from Holyrood then I don't know what to suggest
You could suggest why it would necessarily be better. Note that the national government of an independent Scotland is an entirely different prospect to the current devolved administration (for good or bad). We don't know what form a new Scottish government would take or who would end up in the key decision making roles, so I'm not sure how you can make definitive statements either way.

even a C4 factcheck found they'd be better off economically independent anyway.
Which one? I only found one from back in 2014 which pointed out how dishonest and misleading the statements from the strong proponents on both sides of the debate can be, and concluded that there are too many unknowns to say for certain (https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-independent-scotland-worse).

Now, a lot has happened in the decade since, but two things that remain unchanged are the willingness of partisan politicians to lie and the uncertainty of most long-term economic predictions.

And Austria took only 5 years to join the EU.
From the point of application yes (and you missed out on countries with slightly shorter processes), but I pointed out, an newly independent Scotland wouldn't be able to apply straight away. I'm not saying it couldn't happen, I'm just pointing out that it wouldn't be anything like as quick or easy as the proponents would like us to believe.
 
From your own link:

If we give Scotland a “geographical share” of oil revenue – working on the most likely assumption that hydrocarbons in the Scottish part of the North Sea would become Scottish assets after independence – Scotland has paid in a bit more than it takes out in recent years.

Today’s Treasury paper glosses over this fact by saying:

factfiction_108x60“Including a geographic share of oil revenues, Scotland’s overall fiscal position has on average been broadly the same as the UK’s since devolution.”

That may be “broadly” true but it doesn’t tell the whole story. In four out of the last five years, if you include oil, Scotland has paid in more to the Treasury than it has taken out as a percentage.
 
Read the McCrone report, Labour covered that sh1te up for years.

They don't value you mate. Take it from an Anglish Southerner (with 0.00000000000000000147% Borders blood from a failed clan that were run out of the Highlands..), the English don't value you and Westminster treats Scotland like crap.

I can't imagine why you, as a Scot, would even think about wanting to remain part of the union.

Come on man. How can you want Westminster to rule over your country like that?
 
You basically stated exactly what I just said in my earlier post, in different words and then claim I'm 'harping on'.

I fully realize the referenda were technically considered illegal and I'm saying that runs counter to the ideas of democracy and self-determination.

Stating the obvious, which I also stated earlier myself, that I'm not familiar with the politics behind this does your argument no favours either.

Explain why if Catalonians want independence, they should be denied it? Whether it's technically unconstitutional or not?
very well said!
 
Not being an expert on Scotland (though my maternal ancestry in the majority comes from there) I guess I would say if it is what the vast majority of Scots want...then...sure. Its not my business either way.

But I also understand there are certain fiscal benefits that they would absolutely lose if they stepped away from the UK. So...think hard.
 
Not being an expert on Scotland (though my maternal ancestry in the majority comes from there) I guess I would say if it is what the vast majority of Scots want...then...sure. Its not my business either way.

But I also understand there are certain fiscal benefits that they would absolutely lose if they stepped away from the UK. So...think hard.
Scotland is more Europa.friendly than England!
 
Scotland is more Europa.friendly than England!
True...but I doubt the EU subsidizes their economy in anywhere near similar a manner.
 
True...but I doubt the EU subsidizes their economy in anywhere near similar a manner.
Hahaha, ever since Brexit, Scotland has been missing out.

London has not fully replaced EU subsidies that went to Scotland when it was still in the EU.
 
Hahaha, ever since Brexit, Scotland has been missing out.

London has not fully replaced EU subsidies that went to Scotland when it was still in the EU.
To be clear...I do not care either way what Scotland does.

That being said, annually, Scotland receives about 41 billion pound from the UK plus other economic expenditures and guarantees. SO...if they choose the route of independence...good on them. They just need to figure out what works best for them financially. Considering most of the EU countries are in massive debt...that is probably something they should consider REALLY carefully.
 
To be clear...I do not care either way what Scotland does.

That being said, annually, Scotland receives about 41 billion pound from the UK plus other economic expenditures and guarantees. SO...if they choose the route of independence...good on them. They just need to figure out what works best for them financially. Considering most of the EU countries are in massive debt...that is probably something they should consider REALLY carefully.
Well, you were speaking in the present tense and, of course, the EU isn't currently subsidizing Scotland at all.

I OTH was pointing out the past where Scotland, of course via the UK, received plenty EU subsidies which it subsequently lost and which "London" has since been far from replacing.

What any future might bring would require a well-functioning crystal ball, I'd readily agree.
 

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