Marvan Buren
Member
- Joined
- Jan 16, 2016
- Messages
- 79
- Reaction score
- 31
- Location
- New Jersey
- Gender
- Undisclosed
- Political Leaning
- Slightly Liberal
The cluelessness of the political "experts" has been obvious for a while - and yet, they don't give up. For example, they look at the results in Virginia where Rubio lost to Trump by 3 points and they lament that if only Kasich had dropped out, the 9% of the vote he received would have been added to Rubio who would then have won this important state.
Does anyone reading this forum believe that? I certainly don't.
The experts insist on viewing the "highway" to the Republican nomination as a two lane road with Trump in one lane and everyone else in the other. Yes, the "Trump vs Anyone-but-Trump" highway is one of the roads, but, at our peril, we ignore the many other super and not-so-super highways leading to Cleveland. For example:
The Experienced Executive vs. the Inexperienced Senator Highway: Chris Christie's endorsement of Trump while mainly political, also backed up his rhetoric that executive experience matters. Christie judged that Trump is the one viable candidate remaining in the race who has actually been held accountable for decisions he's made. A key selling point for Kasich has been that he is also a successful chief executive. People voting for him for that reason, are more likely to go to Trump than to Rubio.
The Deal-Making vs. Stick-To-Your-Principles Highway Kasich argues that he can get things done because he is willing to work with Democrats. Trump, for all the bragging about how he will "win" every deal, is essentially saying the same thing. Rubio (and Cruz) on their first day in office promise to repeal every word of Obama Care and rip up the Iran deal. If the Kasich minivan pulls off this highway, then his passengers riding on this road will likely jump onto the sleek Trumpmobile.
The "Real American" highway This road clearly needs some reconstruction but it still matters. It is certainly true that Kasich would not waste a split-second before "disavowing" the support of racist groups but that doesn't mean that at least some of his supporters, perhaps without even knowing it themselves, aren't racists. American Presidents have generally had American parents and many are suspicious of those, like our current President, who have deep foreign connections. The children of Cuban immigrants - Rubio and Cruz - are far less likely to appeal to people on this highway than Mr. Trump.
Trump has yet to receive the magic 50% of the vote in any state but in Massachusetts he came within a point . It is beyond absurd to think that if Kasich dropped out, that none of the 18% he received would go to Trump. In fact, it is my contention that among the remaining Republican candidates, Trump is just as likely to pick up that support as anyone else. Thus, the clueless establishment should stop trying to push Kasich out.
Does anyone reading this forum believe that? I certainly don't.
The experts insist on viewing the "highway" to the Republican nomination as a two lane road with Trump in one lane and everyone else in the other. Yes, the "Trump vs Anyone-but-Trump" highway is one of the roads, but, at our peril, we ignore the many other super and not-so-super highways leading to Cleveland. For example:
The Experienced Executive vs. the Inexperienced Senator Highway: Chris Christie's endorsement of Trump while mainly political, also backed up his rhetoric that executive experience matters. Christie judged that Trump is the one viable candidate remaining in the race who has actually been held accountable for decisions he's made. A key selling point for Kasich has been that he is also a successful chief executive. People voting for him for that reason, are more likely to go to Trump than to Rubio.
The Deal-Making vs. Stick-To-Your-Principles Highway Kasich argues that he can get things done because he is willing to work with Democrats. Trump, for all the bragging about how he will "win" every deal, is essentially saying the same thing. Rubio (and Cruz) on their first day in office promise to repeal every word of Obama Care and rip up the Iran deal. If the Kasich minivan pulls off this highway, then his passengers riding on this road will likely jump onto the sleek Trumpmobile.
The "Real American" highway This road clearly needs some reconstruction but it still matters. It is certainly true that Kasich would not waste a split-second before "disavowing" the support of racist groups but that doesn't mean that at least some of his supporters, perhaps without even knowing it themselves, aren't racists. American Presidents have generally had American parents and many are suspicious of those, like our current President, who have deep foreign connections. The children of Cuban immigrants - Rubio and Cruz - are far less likely to appeal to people on this highway than Mr. Trump.
Trump has yet to receive the magic 50% of the vote in any state but in Massachusetts he came within a point . It is beyond absurd to think that if Kasich dropped out, that none of the 18% he received would go to Trump. In fact, it is my contention that among the remaining Republican candidates, Trump is just as likely to pick up that support as anyone else. Thus, the clueless establishment should stop trying to push Kasich out.