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Would Britian have fallen without the US in WW2?

Higgins86

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Come up a lot on this forum so I thought I would throw it up for debate.

For me the battle of Britain was fought before land-lease came into effect and we stood alone against the axis, held our ground long enough for operation Sea Lion to be sidelined due part to our own bravery and Germanys stupidity of launching Operation Barbarossa. By the time America joined the war the tide had turned after victories over the skies of England, El Alamein and the Russian defensive lines. The war could not have been won in the west without the aid of the USA but threat of total invasion had passed.
 
I honestly believe it was Germany's arrogance with the two-front war (Russia/Western Europe) that caused it to lose the war. If it had focused everything on Britain I don't think even the U.S. would have been able to stop it. That's the problem with ideological fascism, it starts to ignore practical resource issues in favor of plodding on.
 
Britain would not have been invaded in 1942, 1943, or probably even 1944 without the U.S.

However, without the U.S., Russia would have fallen, and the Nazi's would have been back off your shores and threatening again in 1945. In this alternate history, then it is a very real option.
 
Come up a lot on this forum so I thought I would throw it up for debate.

For me the battle of Britain was fought before land-lease came into effect and we stood alone against the axis, held our ground long enough for operation Sea Lion to be sidelined due part to our own bravery and Germanys stupidity of launching Operation Barbarossa.

Well you would be wrong in my opinion. Lend-lease was not the crucial part, it was the fact that the UK was getting supplies from the US at all. Had the pro-Nazi congress people gotten their way, then the UK would have been cut off from these supplies and that would effectively have starved the UK long before lend-lease came along and helped defend the convoys. Yes the UK was loosing shipping left and right in the North Atlantic before lend-lease and the convoy system got into action, but food and fuel did reach the UK and lend-lease would not have mattered if the UK and Soviets had not received supplies in the early months and years from the US despite the massive losses in ships and men.. much to the frustration of the pro-Nazi isolationistic politicians.

By the time America joined the war the tide had turned after victories over the skies of England, El Alamein and the Russian defensive lines.

I agree fully.. especially Hitlers defeat at Stalingrad was the turning point since it put him on the defensive on the Eastern front and he lost a lot of his best troops. And it most importantly managed to delay Hitlers advance long enough so fresh troops and material could be put in place for the crushing blow.

The Battle of Britain, while important for the UK survival and British moral, it only really cost the Germans resources, where as the British almost lost everything.. remember the Germans were arguably days away from winning the battle of Britain according to historical documents.

El Alamein was important too in stopping the German advance in the rich oil areas of the middle east, but it was far more important for British moral as it was the first major battle of WW2 that they basically won.. but in truth it was a hollow victory since they had far larger forces and firepower and the Germans had over extended their supply lines (which is why their advance slowed down). Even the Americans could have been Rommel at this point! Yes that is a bit sarcastic! :)

The war could not have been won in the west without the aid of the USA but threat of total invasion had passed.

The US involvement on the "building stuff" was critical, especially from 39 to 42-3, where their industry kept the allies in the game. But the reality in the European theatre is that the US military forces never really had the impact that American's believe they had (the we came and saved your asses crowd) and certainly not as big an impact as they had in the Asian theatre of war.

For example the break-out from Normandy. The common view based on history lessons, that this was the brave American forces that forced their way out... not exactly. The Americans met very little resistance once of the beaches (lots on it though), and that was mostly because Hitler poured most of his troops into the Battle of Caen against the British and Canadians. The "spectacular" breakout was more like a "oh, we can move now since there is no one stopping us" moment.

We have for many years been spoonfed the US version of WW2, the bold and brave Americans coming to save us all, when the reality was much different.

For one, most people dont even realize how close to disaster D-Day came because of American incompetence and arrogance and that many of the American's who died on D-Day died because of this. For example, on the American beaches, the moronic American commanders choose to send in their floating tanks in rough waters, but also far to far out.. against the specific recommendations of the British makers, and that meant that many American tank crews drowned and that meant the landing troops did not have heavy armour to break out of the beaches.. which btw, were the wrong beaches in some areas because someone could not read a map.

Or the fact that the American Mulbery harbour, a critical element in the plan.. an element that the US commanders never believed in (or any of the other gadgets that the British made for the landings... which is ironic since the US military uses them today), sank because the boneheaded American commander of the harbour did not read the freaking manual on how to assemble the harbour and hence did not secure the elements correctly. Thankfully the British did follow the instructions and that harbour survived (still parts of it at the same spot today) and managed to supply ALL the landing forces.
 
Britain would not have been invaded in 1942, 1943, or probably even 1944 without the U.S.

However, without the U.S., Russia would have fallen, and the Nazi's would have been back off your shores and threatening again in 1945. In this alternate history, then it is a very real option.
I do not believe Germany could have defeated the USSR.

In 12/1941&ff , before it received substantial aid, the USSR stopped the Germans cold
and forced them to retreat over 100 miles in several sectors. One way to obtain a sense
of proportion in this matter is to consider that from the start of the war in the East until
Pearl Harbor only 42 ships made the convoy trip from the UK to Murmansk, less than the
number of ships in the largest single convoys of 1944.

In 11/42-2/43, before aid levels were anywhere near their peak, The USSR repulsed the
1942 German offensive, regaining all the ground lost that year, and annihilating an entire
German army in the process. Thereafter the Germans were never to make any significant
advances in the East. And bear in mind that the 1941-1942 furthest lines of advance fell
far short of encompassing even the European part of the USSR, and nowhere near eliminating
the sledgehammer USSR advantage in manpower.

It is reasonable to conclude, from Germany's utter failure to defeat the USSR before the
supply routes were open full-throttle, that it was simply not capable of conquering the USSR.
 
I honestly believe it was Germany's arrogance with the two-front war (Russia/Western Europe) that caused it to lose the war. If it had focused everything on Britain I don't think even the U.S. would have been able to stop it. That's the problem with ideological fascism, it starts to ignore practical resource issues in favor of plodding on.
I agree and Germany would have rolled over England, a smaller nation, in no time if more resources had been applied and not waste in Russia.
And without the US intervention, it would have been a certianty.
 
I do not believe Germany could have defeated the USSR.

In 12/1941&ff , before it received substantial aid, the USSR stopped the Germans cold
and forced them to retreat over 100 miles in several sectors. One way to obtain a sense
of proportion in this matter is to consider that from the start of the war in the East until
Pearl Harbor only 42 ships made the convoy trip from the UK to Murmansk, less than the
number of ships in the largest single convoys of 1944.

In 11/42-2/43, before aid levels were anywhere near their peak, The USSR repulsed the
1942 German offensive, regaining all the ground lost that year, and annihilating an entire
German army in the process. Thereafter the Germans were never to make any significant
advances in the East. And bear in mind that the 1941-1942 furthest lines of advance fell
far short of encompassing even the European part of the USSR, and nowhere near eliminating
the sledgehammer USSR advantage in manpower.

It is reasonable to conclude, from Germany's utter failure to defeat the USSR before the
supply routes were open full-throttle, that it was simply not capable of conquering the USSR.
Had Germany started with Russia or not been already fighting a war to conquer europe. Russia would have fallen.
They were within 20 miles of the Kremlin when they were finally stopped.
Not that Russia didnt put out 110% effort to fight them, but Germany was the military super power of the day.
 
Lets just all be grateful we have the luxury of debating this topic.

Churchill was an inspiration and the RAF kicked ass. I doubt the Axis would have been defeated in total without the US involvement...but again...glad we can speculate.
 
Come up a lot on this forum so I thought I would throw it up for debate.

For me the battle of Britain was fought before land-lease came into effect and we stood alone against the axis, held our ground long enough for operation Sea Lion to be sidelined due part to our own bravery and Germanys stupidity of launching Operation Barbarossa. By the time America joined the war the tide had turned after victories over the skies of England, El Alamein and the Russian defensive lines. The war could not have been won in the west without the aid of the USA but threat of total invasion had passed.

No, but Britain would have found it exceedingly difficult to resist the inevitable Soviet sphere of influence that would have wrapped from the North Sea to the Bay of Biscay. Britain was briefly an island of democracy in the face of the Nazi menace, against Soviet domination it would have had to endure for years completely isolated. The power that the Soviets would have had would mushroom as political normalcy returned and Britain found that the gates of continental trade and commerce ran through Moscow. The UK would have become the Taiwan (strategically, not politically) of Europe.
 
Had Germany started with Russia or not been already fighting a war to conquer europe. Russia would have fallen.
Your scenario is impossible.

Prior to its conquest of western Poland Germany did not share a border with the USSR,
and no country which did border the USSR would have given Germany right of passage.
So Germany had to take part of Poland, which it intended to do along, but France and
the UK were not going to permit any more bloodless victories, so there was no possibility
of limiting the war to the East.



They were within 20 miles of the Kremlin when they were finally stopped.
Here is what happened: the Germans were running out of gas and could not have penetrated
the Moscow defenses under any circumstances; then, just as the Germans were reaching the
end of their tether the USSR counterattacked over much of the front, most heavily in the
Moscow sector where it deployed about a million fresh troops. The USSR came close to breaking
the German front wide open, and it was only after weeks of desperate fighting that the Germans
were able to stabilize the line, in some places 100 miles from where they had been before the
counterattack. So it was not as if the USSR was almost beaten, it was not close to beaten.



Not that Russia didnt put out 110% effort to fight them, but Germany was the military super power of the day.
Germany was not strong enough to conquer even the European part the USSR.
 
Come up a lot on this forum so I thought I would throw it up for debate.

For me the battle of Britain was fought before land-lease came into effect and we stood alone against the axis, held our ground long enough for operation Sea Lion to be sidelined due part to our own bravery and Germanys stupidity of launching Operation Barbarossa. By the time America joined the war the tide had turned after victories over the skies of England, El Alamein and the Russian defensive lines. The war could not have been won in the west without the aid of the USA but threat of total invasion had passed.

Honestly, this shouldn't be a debate. The United States shoule not have been involved in EITHER World War, with the exception of the suppression of Japan after its attack on Pearl Harbor.
 
Your scenario is impossible.

Prior to its conquest of western Poland Germany did not share a border with the USSR,
and no country which did border the USSR would have given Germany right of passage.
So Germany had to take part of Poland, which it intended to do along, but France and
the UK were not going to permit any more bloodless victories, so there was no possibility
of limiting the war to the East.




Here is what happened: the Germans were running out of gas and could not have penetrated
the Moscow defenses under any circumstances; then, just as the Germans were reaching the
end of their tether the USSR counterattacked over much of the front, most heavily in the
Moscow sector where it deployed about a million fresh troops. The USSR came close to breaking
the German front wide open, and it was only after weeks of desperate fighting that the Germans
were able to stabilize the line, in some places 100 miles from where they had been before the
counterattack. So it was not as if the USSR was almost beaten, it was not close to beaten.




Germany was not strong enough to conquer even the European part the USSR.
My assertation is viewing as Poland had already fallen. France was a pushover.
 
My assertation is viewing as Poland had already fallen. France was a pushover.
Yes, but the UK was not a pushover. Also, the speedy defeat of France brought Italy
in on Germany's side, and Italy's later misadventures in Greece and North Africa made
Germany feel compelled to widen the war so as not to allow the victorious UK to obtain
a position of dangerous strength in the Mediterranean and SE Europe. Elsewhere,
occupation of Norway was necessary to secure supply of Swedish iron ore which Germany
could not do without, and an attack on Norway would have been difficult to impossible
without obtaining a stepping-stone in Denmark.

In short, given the 9/39 initial opposition of France and the UK there was no way the
war could be localized and dispersal of German forces avoided.
 
Yes, but the UK was not a pushover. Also, the speedy defeat of France brought Italy
in on Germany's side, and Italy's later misadventures in Greece and North Africa made
Germany feel compelled to widen the war so as not to allow the victorious UK to obtain
a position of dangerous strength in the Mediterranean and SE Europe. Elsewhere,
occupation of Norway was necessary to secure supply of Swedish iron ore which Germany
could not do without, and an attack on Norway would have been difficult to impossible
without obtaining a stepping-stone in Denmark.

In short, given the 9/39 initial opposition of France and the UK there was no way the
war could be localized and dispersal of German forces avoided.
Theory. But I see nothing that would have stopped Germany in its tracks if they had expanded in a more prudent manner. But crazy leaders do crazy things.
 
I honestly believe it was Germany's arrogance with the two-front war (Russia/Western Europe) that caused it to lose the war. If it had focused everything on Britain I don't think even the U.S. would have been able to stop it. That's the problem with ideological fascism, it starts to ignore practical resource issues in favor of plodding on.

I agree.

Hitler believed he could work a deal with the UK, why the UK troops were not totally obliterated at Dunkirk. Without the USA the UK would have lost nor would the UK have long repealed an invasion. If one studies the Eastern front, it also is clear how greatly the arrival of USA materials assisted the Russians. Whether UKers had food and fuel was entirely dependent on the USA.

Churchill reflected that his great fear was NOT losing the "Battle of Britain" (the air war). It was the German U-Boat threat cutting off American materials. The massive quantity of food, fuel, and armaments coming for the USA is easily forgotten. The UK island can't feed itself and certainly not fuel itself. Without imports, the UK starves. While being an island nation offered some defense, it also make the UK for it's size entirely dependent upon imports of materials.

The Japanese had obliterated the UK in the East.
 
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Come up a lot on this forum so I thought I would throw it up for debate.

For me the battle of Britain was fought before land-lease came into effect and we stood alone against the axis, held our ground long enough for operation Sea Lion to be sidelined due part to our own bravery and Germanys stupidity of launching Operation Barbarossa. By the time America joined the war the tide had turned after victories over the skies of England, El Alamein and the Russian defensive lines. The war could not have been won in the west without the aid of the USA but threat of total invasion had passed.

I think Britain was safe from invasion by Germany for at least a couple of years to come if not more. It did seem Hitler decided to leave Britain alone while he headed east. But there are so many if's. even without Hitler's invasion of Russia, it would have taken time for Germany to come up with the ships to land on Britain's shore.
 
Come up a lot on this forum so I thought I would throw it up for debate.

For me the battle of Britain was fought before land-lease came into effect and we stood alone against the axis, held our ground long enough for operation Sea Lion to be sidelined due part to our own bravery and Germanys stupidity of launching Operation Barbarossa. By the time America joined the war the tide had turned after victories over the skies of England, El Alamein and the Russian defensive lines. The war could not have been won in the west without the aid of the USA but threat of total invasion had passed.

Since Germany was struggling and Hitler's own officers were plotting against him, I doubt Germany could have gone on much longer. BTW, I love that War Time Farm series BBC did that mixes in all the cloak and dagger stuff everybody was involved in. Really interesting what you folks were up to.
 
Factual. I describe events which took place, and the reasons they took place were given by the actors themselves.



But I see nothing that would have stopped Germany in its tracks if they had expanded in a more prudent manner.
The USSR aside, when was Germany's expansion imprudent and where was it imprudent? Be specific.



But crazy leaders do crazy things.
Platitude, and no opposition to expansion was voiced by the German brass.
 
I do not believe Germany could have defeated the USSR.

In 12/1941&ff , before it received substantial aid, the USSR stopped the Germans cold
and forced them to retreat over 100 miles in several sectors. One way to obtain a sense
of proportion in this matter is to consider that from the start of the war in the East until
Pearl Harbor only 42 ships made the convoy trip from the UK to Murmansk, less than the
number of ships in the largest single convoys of 1944.

In 11/42-2/43, before aid levels were anywhere near their peak, The USSR repulsed the
1942 German offensive, regaining all the ground lost that year, and annihilating an entire
German army in the process. Thereafter the Germans were never to make any significant
advances in the East. And bear in mind that the 1941-1942 furthest lines of advance fell
far short of encompassing even the European part of the USSR, and nowhere near eliminating
the sledgehammer USSR advantage in manpower.

It is reasonable to conclude, from Germany's utter failure to defeat the USSR before the
supply routes were open full-throttle, that it was simply not capable of conquering the USSR.

When the US began aid in 1942, the estimates were that the Soviet Union government was about 6-12 weeks from collapse. It takes very little force to push a large object over if it is already balancing on the edge of a knife. The 43/44 Russian repulse was then done in American-made tanks and supplied by American-made trucks. :shrug: it's all a counterfactual, but I think a pretty respectable argument can be made for a USSR fall absent US aid.
 
When the US began aid in 1942, the estimates were that the Soviet Union government was about 6-12 weeks from collapse. It takes very little force to push a large object over if it is already balancing on the edge of a knife. The 43/44 Russian repulse was then done in American-made tanks and supplied by American-made trucks. :shrug: it's all a counterfactual, but I think a pretty respectable argument can be made for a USSR fall absent US aid.

"Without American production the United Nations [the Allies] could never have won the war" --Joseph Stalin
 
When the US began aid in 1942, the estimates were that the Soviet Union government was about 6-12 weeks from collapse. It takes very little force to push a large object over if it is already balancing on the edge of a knife.
Earlier in the campaign maybe, but I do not believe an imminent USSR collapse was envisaged
by competent authority after the winter counteroffensive began ca. 12/5/41, and such a prediction,
if made, was totally incorrect. It was Germany which spent the most of December 1941 and the
first 2-3 months of 1942 hanging on for dear life.




The 43/44 Russian repulse was then done in American-made tanks and supplied by American-made trucks. :shrug:
The USSR produced far more tanks for its own use than the US did, and the Soviet T-34 was a
much better tank than the Sherman.

Trucks I'll give you, but they were not needed to avert defeat.



it's all a counterfactual, but I think a pretty respectable argument can be made for a USSR fall absent US aid.
You have failed to make any case, and there is no case to be made.
 
"Without American production the United Nations [the Allies] could never have won the war" --Joseph Stalin
Although that is an accurate quote it does not follow that Germany could have conquered the USSR
without US production, and it is a matter of historical fact that the USSR had halted the German advance
and was driving the Germans back before the US entered the war (12/11/41).
 
Although that is an accurate quote it does not follow that Germany could have conquered the USSR
without US production, and it is a matter of historical fact that the USSR had halted the German advance
and was driving the Germans back before the US entered the war (12/11/41).

So what do you make of this:

"...Red Army had decisively defeated German forces in the more favourable summer weather of 1943 did the tide really turn."

"...Without Lend-Lease aid, however, from the United States and Britain, both of whom supplied a high proportion of food and raw materials for the Soviet war effort, the high output of weapons would still not have been possible...."

BBC - History - World Wars: The Soviet-German War 1941 - 1945
 
So what do you make of this:

"...Red Army had decisively defeated German forces in the more favourable summer weather of 1943 did the tide really turn."


Ridiculous. What do you expect from some reporters writing 70 years after the fact which they must never have studied in school.

The tide really did turn in the winter of 1941-42, and then again in the winter of 1942-43. It went permanently against Germany after the repulse at Kursk, but any possibility of conquering the USSR was gone before 1941 was out.



"...Without Lend-Lease aid, however, from the United States and Britain, both of whom supplied a high proportion of food and raw materials for the Soviet war effort, the high output of weapons would still not have been possible...."

BBC - History - World Wars: The Soviet-German War 1941 - 1945
The side argument is whether or not the USSR would "have fallen" absent foreign aid. See my reply #5 to this thread.
 
Ridiculous. What do you expect from some reporters writing 70 years after the fact which they must never have studied in school.

The tide really did turn in the winter of 1941-42, and then again in the winter of 1942-43. It went permanently against Germany after the repulse at Kursk, but any possibility of conquering the USSR was gone before 1941 was out.

I was under the impression that was from a good source, it was written by Richard Overy. "Richard Overy is professor of history at the University of Exeter. His publications include Russia's War (1998) , The Battle (2000) and Interrogations: The Nazi Elite in Allied Hands (2001). For a lifetime's contribution to military history, Professor Overy was awarded the Samuel Eliot Morison Prize by the Society for Military History in 2001."

And here is some more on him: Richard Overy - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
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