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my question, is simple will Putin attack Belarus, and what his buddy D Trump is gonna do in case of the new Putin´s aggression ?
"Putin has a choice: Does he repeat his 2014 maneuver — letting Lukashenko flee while gobbling up Belarus, risking a backlash from the West — or does he allow the situation to play out and modulate his interference? The fate of Belarus depends on what he decides.
Putin is in a strange spot, with protests on at least two sides: To the west, the people of Belarus — a former Soviet republic ...— have taken to the streets. The protests have spread, from the country’s intelligentsia to its miners, public transportation workers and even soldiers and police, who’ve begun balking at their role in keeping fellow Belarusians at bay. To the east, Khabarovsk — a major city near Russia’s Pacific coast and seven time zones from Moscow — has been in revolt for weeks after Putin removed a popularly elected governor and replaced him with a hand-selected loyalist.
If he hasn’t made it abundantly clear by now, Putin hates protests. Ever since he was a KGB officer based in Dresden, in East Germany, and watched as protests eroded the Soviet empire, he has viewed popular protests as harbingers of instability, violence and, worse, the collapse of the state. It was the reason that, in 2005, Putin called the collapse of the Soviet Union “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe.” Two years ago, he reprised the sentiment, saying he would undo the dismantling of the U.S.S.R. if he could."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/08/15/putin-lukashenko-belarus-russia/
my question, is simple will Putin attack Belarus, and what his buddy D Trump is gonna do in case of the new Putin´s aggression ?
"Putin has a choice: Does he repeat his 2014 maneuver — letting Lukashenko flee while gobbling up Belarus, risking a backlash from the West — or does he allow the situation to play out and modulate his interference? The fate of Belarus depends on what he decides.
Putin is in a strange spot, with protests on at least two sides: To the west, the people of Belarus — a former Soviet republic ...— have taken to the streets. The protests have spread, from the country’s intelligentsia to its miners, public transportation workers and even soldiers and police, who’ve begun balking at their role in keeping fellow Belarusians at bay. To the east, Khabarovsk — a major city near Russia’s Pacific coast and seven time zones from Moscow — has been in revolt for weeks after Putin removed a popularly elected governor and replaced him with a hand-selected loyalist.
If he hasn’t made it abundantly clear by now, Putin hates protests. Ever since he was a KGB officer based in Dresden, in East Germany, and watched as protests eroded the Soviet empire, he has viewed popular protests as harbingers of instability, violence and, worse, the collapse of the state. It was the reason that, in 2005, Putin called the collapse of the Soviet Union “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe.” Two years ago, he reprised the sentiment, saying he would undo the dismantling of the U.S.S.R. if he could."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/08/15/putin-lukashenko-belarus-russia/
i am not surprised that YOU support Muscovite barbaric hordes ,
View attachment 67291694
so typical for all old Marxists on Moscow´s payroll
the most pathetic people today are still alive "Marxists " , but as long as babushkas pay we are gonna see you guys agroundI’m not surprised you continue to peddle the same old garbage.
You not being able to handle the real world doesn’t change it.
i am not surprised that YOU support Muscovite barbaric hordes ,
View attachment 67291694
so typical for all old Marxists on Moscow´s payroll
the most pathetic people today are still alive "Marxists " , but as long as babushkas pay we are gonna see you guys aground
what do you think about Zyuga ? "sex relocation of a Marxist - Leninist leader Zyuga ... LOL
https://icdn.lenta.ru/images/0000/0150/000001501695/pic_1358645869.jpg
Russia has taken an interest and will continue to take an interest in every one of its former limitrophes.
are you happy that you have those photos saved on your computer?
are you sure?
the most pathetic people today are still alive "Marxists " , but as long as babushkas pay we are gonna see you guys aground
what do you think about Zyuga ? "sex relocation of a Marxist - Leninist leader Zyuga ... LOL
https://icdn.lenta.ru/images/0000/0150/000001501695/pic_1358645869.jpg
Oh look, more meaningless drivel.
Yawn
you are badly overate 1 % of the world economy
what do you think about Zyuga ?
my question, is simple will Putin attack Belarus, and what his buddy D Trump is gonna do in case of the new Putin´s aggression ?
my question, is simple will Putin attack Belarus, and what his buddy D Trump is gonna do in case of the new Putin´s aggression ?
"Putin has a choice: Does he repeat his 2014 maneuver — letting Lukashenko flee while gobbling up Belarus, risking a backlash from the West — or does he allow the situation to play out and modulate his interference? The fate of Belarus depends on what he decides.
Putin is in a strange spot, with protests on at least two sides: To the west, the people of Belarus — a former Soviet republic ...— have taken to the streets. The protests have spread, from the country’s intelligentsia to its miners, public transportation workers and even soldiers and police, who’ve begun balking at their role in keeping fellow Belarusians at bay. To the east, Khabarovsk — a major city near Russia’s Pacific coast and seven time zones from Moscow — has been in revolt for weeks after Putin removed a popularly elected governor and replaced him with a hand-selected loyalist.
If he hasn’t made it abundantly clear by now, Putin hates protests. Ever since he was a KGB officer based in Dresden, in East Germany, and watched as protests eroded the Soviet empire, he has viewed popular protests as harbingers of instability, violence and, worse, the collapse of the state. It was the reason that, in 2005, Putin called the collapse of the Soviet Union “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe.” Two years ago, he reprised the sentiment, saying he would undo the dismantling of the U.S.S.R. if he could."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/08/15/putin-lukashenko-belarus-russia/
I'm guessing Putin is doing everything he can--and that's a lot--to keep Belarus in the Russian orbit. I bet there are hoards of Russians infiltrated into the streets with the full support of Lukashenko.
I feel for the people protesting in the streets, but I'm sure that there is also a lot of citizens who support Lukashenko and want to remain in the Russian orbit rather than looking to the west.
I don't think this protest will be successful, alas.
well. old czar Putin has to think twice after his failed adventure in Ukraine
Yes, Ukraine didn't turn out as he liked, but with the assistance of Russian sympathizers in eastern Ukraine he seized a sizeable portion of it.
my question, is simple will Putin attack Belarus, and what his buddy D Trump is gonna do in case of the new Putin´s aggression ?
"Putin has a choice: Does he repeat his 2014 maneuver — letting Lukashenko flee while gobbling up Belarus, risking a backlash from the West — or does he allow the situation to play out and modulate his interference? The fate of Belarus depends on what he decides.
Putin is in a strange spot, with protests on at least two sides: To the west, the people of Belarus — a former Soviet republic ...— have taken to the streets. The protests have spread, from the country’s intelligentsia to its miners, public transportation workers and even soldiers and police, who’ve begun balking at their role in keeping fellow Belarusians at bay. To the east, Khabarovsk — a major city near Russia’s Pacific coast and seven time zones from Moscow — has been in revolt for weeks after Putin removed a popularly elected governor and replaced him with a hand-selected loyalist.
If he hasn’t made it abundantly clear by now, Putin hates protests. Ever since he was a KGB officer based in Dresden, in East Germany, and watched as protests eroded the Soviet empire, he has viewed popular protests as harbingers of instability, violence and, worse, the collapse of the state. It was the reason that, in 2005, Putin called the collapse of the Soviet Union “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe.” Two years ago, he reprised the sentiment, saying he would undo the dismantling of the U.S.S.R. if he could."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/08/15/putin-lukashenko-belarus-russia/
This is my prediction, without deep knowledge of the belarus crisis or Putin's relationship with Lukashenko; but rather from years of watching the way Putin normally operates and indeed looking and broad history the way Russia has acted as regional power/empire over the centuries, regardless of its leadership:
Belarus is in trouble.
A scenario that seems likely to me, is Lukashenko is deposed in a popular revolution which either descends into fighting and chaos with the next military-backed strongman trying to step into Lukashenko's boots, or a popular democratic movement attempting to establish itself.
Either way, Russia sends its forces in to 'restore order' before things are decided. There's very little shooting and the country capitulates: Putin installs a slightly less brutal strongman who is a client of Russia (perhaps the aforementioned 'next guy') and gives Lukashenko a nice comfy dacha on the Black Sea instead.
Newspapers are shut down, activists arrested, opposition leaders leave and it's back to business as usual, not a democracy.
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