- Joined
- Mar 30, 2021
- Messages
- 17,117
- Reaction score
- 22,964
- Location
- Alone in the Pale Moonlight
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Other
What are her chances of being confirmed a SCOTUS Justice? Why?
100%What are her chances of being confirmed a SCOTUS Justice?
Having just been voted onto the Court of Appeals last year by a vote of 53-47, it becomes virtually impossible for those who voted for her before to vote against her now. They would make themselves out to be idiots, suffer public embarrassment, and be asked by the press to explain why they voted her qualified a year ago, but not qualified now.Why?
That sounds perfectly logical. However, republicans don't seem too worried about public embarrassment or being seen as idiots.100%
Having just been voted onto the Court of Appeals last year by a vote of 53-47, it becomes virtually impossible for those who voted for her before to vote against her now. They would make themselves out to be idiots, suffer public embarrassment, and be asked by the press to explain why they voted her qualified a year ago, but not qualified now.
Anything discovered will be made up. They just went through this process last year. There won't be anything new. It should be very straight forward.90% because the left embraces identity politics so democrats will likely all vote yes for her no matter what is discovered during the confirmation hearing.
90% because the left embraces identity politics so democrats will likely all vote yes for her no matter what is discovered during the confirmation hearing.
Tru dat . . .That sounds perfectly logical. However, republicans don't seem too worried about public embarrassment or being seen as idiots.
Cruz and Cornyn (both on the Judiciary Committee) don't have to worry about making fools of themselves explaining their vote this time - because they voted against her last time. As for Greene, Boebert, et al, they are merely idiots that embarrass, if not themselves, the rest of their party.Consider Paul Gosar, Marjorie Three Names, or Lauren Brainless. I realize they are not senators, but we do have Ted Cruz, FGS. None are worried about looking like idiots.
The Garland nomination wasn't failed - it was still born. The coward Mitch McConnell refused to even let it go to the floor for an up or down vote.(And for those who've begun to hyperventilate, despite the failed Garland nomination,
That's only because the level of judicial competence between the two party's candidates isn't even close.look at the Senate vote totals by party for both types of nominees over the last 35 years. The level of party bias between the two isn't even close.
Anything discovered will be made up. They just went through this process last year. There won't be anything new. It should be very straight forward.
Not because of her qualifications. Because of the rushed process. They were confirming her before RGB was buried. It wasn't a good look for the republicans. You do realize that if everything had operated under some sort of normalcy, Obama would have had his pick and Biden would have replaced RGB, according to McConnel's own words.Using that “logic”, any (and every) federal judge previously approved by the Senate is qualified to be on SCOTUS. Amy Conan Barrett got 3 demorat Senate votes in 2017 (for the federal appeals court), yet got none in 2020 (for the SCOTUS).
Not because of her qualifications. Because of the rushed process. They were confirming her before RGB was buried. It wasn't a good look for the republicans. You do realize that if everything had operated under some sort of normalcy, Obama would have had his pick and Biden would have replaced RGB, according to McConnel's own words.
But, far be it for a republican to keep their word.
Republicans = Win at all costs, no matter how bad it looks.
For the GOP, it's all about obstructionism. The details don't matter. Anything to obstruct Biden, no matter what the issue.I see absolutely no reason why she wouldn’t be confirmed. It is replacing a liberal leaning Justice with a liberal leaning Justice under a Democratically controlled president and Senate.
It’s a zero sum game swap.
While I think 90% is the better answer (few things are 100%, and events can almost always intervene), what, exactly, led you to the belief that Republicans in the Senate would be unwilling or unable to "make themselves out to be idiots, suffer public embarrassment, and be asked by the press to explain why they voted her qualified a year ago, but not qualified now."?100%
Having just been voted onto the Court of Appeals last year by a vote of 53-47, it becomes virtually impossible for those who voted for her before to vote against her now. They would make themselves out to be idiots, suffer public embarrassment, and be asked by the press to explain why they voted her qualified a year ago, but not qualified now.
Should be 100% but Democrats can't agree on when to have dinner. Look out for Manchin and Sinema.