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Hmm. What’s interesting about that is Trump was leading Biden 43-39 with 12% intending on voting third party in the multi-candidate polling on the day Biden withdrew.The big problem with Harris is that she comes across as scripted and robotic. The public tends to gravitate toward candidates that feel like real people and have the tendency to go off script. Before Harris did interviews, she was leading Trump in 4 of the 7 swing states. After she did interviews, she started to lose momentum.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/po...24/trump-vs-biden-vs-kennedy-vs-west-vs-stein
By 6 August Harris had erased Trump’s lead and taken a slight lead of her own, 47-46 with only 4% then intending on voting third party. Harris gained most of those intended third party voters over that 2-week span. The euphoria of having one of the two disliked and unwanted candidates withdraw. 26% of all Americans disliked and didn’t want neither Biden nor Trump as their next president. A lot of that 26% were intending on voting against both Biden and Trump as the 12% intended third party voters showed on 21 July sided with Harris originally.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/po...4/trump-vs-harris-vs-kennedy-vs-stein-vs-west
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-r...ve-unfavorable-views-of-both-biden-and-trump/
But that euphoria died out. Perhaps as the public began to know Harris better, they tended to sour on her. Yes, it could be as you stated, her scripted and robotic like performance. She wasn’t the statue Gore and Kerry were. But close. The third-party vote ended at 1.9% which was identical to the 2020 election. Harris did win the independents vote 49-46 over Trump, that was a far cry from Biden winning independents 53-41 over Trump. But the biggest difference was in Democratic voter turnout as I stated previously. Gore had the same problem as Harris in democrats turning out in 2000. The democrats had a 6-point advantage in party affiliation, but only a 3-point advantage in those who actually turned out to vote. Somehow it seems the republicans have always been able to get their base out, the democrats, not so much. 2000, 2016 and this year are election if the democrats got their base to turnout to match their party affiliation advantage, Gore, Clinton and Harris would have won.