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In several recent posts (e.g. this one) the NIST claim that "Global collapse was inevitable" was questioned. I commented in this post that NIST could well be correct but for the wrong reasons. However I recently had opportunity on another forum to start to explain why "global collapse was in fact inevitable". That explanation was in response to two specific questions from a member who is a recognised "trolling truther". Emphasis on "trolling" and the fact that he deigned to ask some reasonable questions was why I responded at some length. Those two questions were:
What sheared or caused the perpendicular steel columns to fail? AND
What would have caused the core column flooring systems to fail?
Those two issues are central to understanding why the "Global collapse was inevitable" so the following is my version of the first steps of a reasoned comprehensive explanation - edited to remove material which was specific to another forum.
The acronym "ROOSD" meaning "runaway open office space destruction" may be new to some members here. I didn't invent the acronym but I find to be convenient shorthand in what follows.
A Reasoned Explanation of Why Global Collapse of WTC1 & WTC2 Was Inevitable - Part 1
Rational Step #1 - Defining the Context - where are we at and what are we discussing.
The issues are all part of the explanation of the "Global Collapse" AKA "collapse progression" stage of the fall of both WTC1 and WTC2 - at this stage we don't need to separate the two. I will be explaining that stage of collapse as "Three Mechanisms in Parallel" with one of them identified by the convenient label of ROOSD. The other two don't have recognised labels.
For our purposes here there were two distinct stages of WTC1 & 2 collapse viz:
1) "Initiation" which strictly speaking started at the point of first damage from the aircraft impact and ended when the "Top Block" of the tower started to fall. (Sometimes called "release" meaning "all four corners falling". I use the simpler version "top block falling". There can be subtle differences between the two but they are of no concern to us here.)
2) "Progression" AKA "global collapse" that period of whatever seconds from "top block starts falling" to "collapse front reached bottom of fall". Again there are some bits of pedantry in that but it is good enough for what we need here. And a damn sight tighter than we usually see posted.
We are discussing "Progression" - what happened after "Top Block" started to fall. I am going to explain three mechanisms which made up that overall "progression". Those three mechanisms were separate processes but closely related in time and interdependent. ROOSD was the leading process, the other two resulted from and were dependent on ROOSD. The three mechanisms are:
1) Failure of the OOS floors by the process labelled "ROOSD" - the process where whatever fell down the "open office space" could and did shear off the floor joist connections to columns;
2) Failure of the perimeter wall of columns by a process of "Peel Off" and falling away; AND
3) Failure of the core where the most likely main component was "Beam Strip Down".
Those three mechanism combine to a sufficient explanation for the "collapse progression" stage which is the stage we are discussing. I will try to present every necessary step of logic and indicate the status of evidence without detailing the evidence at this stage.
Rational Step #2 -- "Progression" Starts
As the top block starts to fall it is still a structural integral entity. Somewhat tilted and with the base slightly displaced. Evidence for "starts to fall" and "somewhat tilted" is in readily available video records. Evidence for "base slightly displaced" is from video evidence plus simple reasoning.
At at that point of time AKA that stage of the collapse sequence all columns in the failure zone - the zone affected by impact and fire damage - all columns have failed. AND they are all already misaligned - top and bottom parts not lined up OR they are inescapably in the process of failing and becoming misaligned.
Now the truth of those three assertions is obvious to me, many other people also see it immediately but many don't and some deny it even after being provided with explanations. And those come from both sides of the truther - debunker great divide.
So if it is obvious to you, skip the next couple of paragraphs - down to "Shortcut>>>> ". If it is not obvious read on.
A) The "Top Block" is falling must mean that for whatever reason more than enough columns have failed to reduce the total supporting strength to below what is needed to hold up the top block. Not enough strength remaining to hold up top block means it is inevitable that the top block falls.
So some columns must have already failed because the top block is falling - what about the others? The others are not strong enough to hold up the top block and the top block is falling means that, whatever strength may remain in those columns they are already failing - they must be already bending or buckling or (whatever failure mode)...because the top block is falling -- the space those columns occupy is getting shorter -- they must already be buckling or bending.
So that should prove two of those assertions:
A1 Some columns already failed; AND
A2 the rest already failing and those ones cannot escape from failing.
B) What about "misalignment'? Much the same logic proves misalignment. The "Top Block" is falling must also mean that the top parts of already failed columns are not aligned with their bottom parts. "Bypassing" has been the word of choice on some forums. So the failed columns are either already bypassing OR are in a situation where bypassing is inevitably coming into effect. The first claim self evident. The second one logically follows from the preceding reasoning for failure. If there are columns still trying to resist but losing they are losing because there aren't enough of them. So any lone column trying to remain in line holding load will be overwhelmed and pushed out of line. The circular logic of that last "yes but" claim is inevitable - if the column is not pushed out of line it will be hit with such force that it is pushed out of line.
Shortcut>>>> Rejoin discussion here.
Status at this point: The top block is falling, all columns failed and all columns are misaligned. Those two "failed' and "misaligned" are critical to what follows. And they are the key to answering these two as first step: AND
One more big step and we can answer those two.
(additional point - and we have proved my earlier claim that 'Evidence for "base slightly displaced" is from video evidence plus simple reasoning'.)
Rational Step #3 -- "Progression" Continues
The critical issue we now face is "What hits what".
Since the lateral displacement of the Top Block is small it follows that:
A) What lands on the OOS areas of the lower tower will be mostly the OOS of the upper tower;
B) Similarly what lands on core will be mostly core; AND
C) The perimeter will tend to land on or near the perimeter.
The ROOSD process is self perpetuating once there is sufficient accumulated load of floor and other debris. The issue of how it gets started is more complex and I will leave it aside for now. I can explain if anyone needs the explanation and they have got past these preliminary but foundation matters.
So:
1) ROOSD is the key. Once sufficient mass is falling down the OOS "Outer Tube" the process is self sustaining.
So "Mechanism #1 - ROOSD" strips down the floors of the OOS.
2) ROOSD leaves the outer perimeter unbraced in the "radial" direction outwards from core. Those perimeters fall due to instability and probably some impact forces during the ROOSD collapse.
So "Mechanism #2 Perimeter Peel Off"
Neither of those should be contentious. The new territory is probably:
3) What happens with the core? Recall that we have shown that:
(i) the Top Block core is falling AND
(ii) All the columns are out of alignment.
So what hits what? It must be the horizontal beams. And those beams have strength appropriate to a "one floor" load. They are hit with their portion of the full weight of Top Block. Massive overload == beams shear off.
The situation is analogous to the OOS floor joists - overwhelming weight as a part of a multi-storey Top Block hits floor beams/joists designed for one floor plus a bit of safety. And it hits with dynamic impact. Forces 10-20 or more times the design load are available. Shearing is inevitable.
So "Mechanism #3 Core beams strip down"
Sure the difference with the core is that there will be a much more confused mess of bent or out of alignment columns plus assorted debris. Very confusing BUT it doesn't affect the underlying reality. Horizontal beam on horizontal beam is the dominant impact mode and the loads are overwhelming.
So those are the basic premises or foundations. Any claim has to rely on those factors. Any counter claim has to show those factors to be in error.
Rational Step #4 -- Preliminary Answers to those two original Questions and Concerns
The perimeter columns were left standing with bracing removed. They would fall over for one of several reasons -- impacts from the descending ROOSD process, instability or vibration following ROOSD descent OR simply Euler buckling due to unsupported column of hight/slenderness far in excess of critical length. The key causal issue is "Removal of Bracing" - the rest follows automatically.
The word "column" is confusing. The core beams failed because the core of the Top Block fell on the core of the lower block with the columns already out of alignment. So the beam on beam contact applied loads of multiple storeys to beam connections designed for one storey loads. The failure almost certainly shear at the beam columns connections.
We are merely starting to address this issue. Broadly stated the problem with discussion to date is that most comments and concerns expressed from the truth movement side are about specific issues. And those issues are not linked to either a legitimate context or any defined underlying foundations. Hence my effort to clarify the underlying realities. Once we get those basics clear THEN we are in a position to address members specific issues by reference to a known foundation and context.
What I have posted is the start - the bare minimum framework which any claim or concerns must comply with. (Provided I have it right.
)
Even at this starting level there is enough to show the weakness of some truther claims. AND the weakness of many debunker arguments. On these issues there ain't a lot of difference in the quality of the arguments. And both sides do a lot of "Authority Parroting" ( there I go - lèse-majesté again. Fortunately it is no longer a capital offence. I'm new to DebatePolitics so members may not yet realise that I hold no fear of Authorities such as NIST or Bazant on the things that they get wrong. :lol: )
Understanding these 9/11 challenges is complex. They will never be explained or agreement reached by two way "JAQing off" I enjoyed writing this post - In this case modifying it for DebatePolitics. Let's see if it helps anyone, maybe casts a new light for some others.
PS Remember - it is only "Step One" AND Zero apology for the length of this post. If we really want to understand WTC collapse we need to get serious. And serious explanations will take a few (??) words.
What sheared or caused the perpendicular steel columns to fail? AND
What would have caused the core column flooring systems to fail?
Those two issues are central to understanding why the "Global collapse was inevitable" so the following is my version of the first steps of a reasoned comprehensive explanation - edited to remove material which was specific to another forum.
The acronym "ROOSD" meaning "runaway open office space destruction" may be new to some members here. I didn't invent the acronym but I find to be convenient shorthand in what follows.
A Reasoned Explanation of Why Global Collapse of WTC1 & WTC2 Was Inevitable - Part 1
Rational Step #1 - Defining the Context - where are we at and what are we discussing.
The issues are all part of the explanation of the "Global Collapse" AKA "collapse progression" stage of the fall of both WTC1 and WTC2 - at this stage we don't need to separate the two. I will be explaining that stage of collapse as "Three Mechanisms in Parallel" with one of them identified by the convenient label of ROOSD. The other two don't have recognised labels.
For our purposes here there were two distinct stages of WTC1 & 2 collapse viz:
1) "Initiation" which strictly speaking started at the point of first damage from the aircraft impact and ended when the "Top Block" of the tower started to fall. (Sometimes called "release" meaning "all four corners falling". I use the simpler version "top block falling". There can be subtle differences between the two but they are of no concern to us here.)
2) "Progression" AKA "global collapse" that period of whatever seconds from "top block starts falling" to "collapse front reached bottom of fall". Again there are some bits of pedantry in that but it is good enough for what we need here. And a damn sight tighter than we usually see posted.
We are discussing "Progression" - what happened after "Top Block" started to fall. I am going to explain three mechanisms which made up that overall "progression". Those three mechanisms were separate processes but closely related in time and interdependent. ROOSD was the leading process, the other two resulted from and were dependent on ROOSD. The three mechanisms are:
1) Failure of the OOS floors by the process labelled "ROOSD" - the process where whatever fell down the "open office space" could and did shear off the floor joist connections to columns;
2) Failure of the perimeter wall of columns by a process of "Peel Off" and falling away; AND
3) Failure of the core where the most likely main component was "Beam Strip Down".
Those three mechanism combine to a sufficient explanation for the "collapse progression" stage which is the stage we are discussing. I will try to present every necessary step of logic and indicate the status of evidence without detailing the evidence at this stage.
Rational Step #2 -- "Progression" Starts
As the top block starts to fall it is still a structural integral entity. Somewhat tilted and with the base slightly displaced. Evidence for "starts to fall" and "somewhat tilted" is in readily available video records. Evidence for "base slightly displaced" is from video evidence plus simple reasoning.
At at that point of time AKA that stage of the collapse sequence all columns in the failure zone - the zone affected by impact and fire damage - all columns have failed. AND they are all already misaligned - top and bottom parts not lined up OR they are inescapably in the process of failing and becoming misaligned.
Now the truth of those three assertions is obvious to me, many other people also see it immediately but many don't and some deny it even after being provided with explanations. And those come from both sides of the truther - debunker great divide.
So if it is obvious to you, skip the next couple of paragraphs - down to "Shortcut>>>> ". If it is not obvious read on.
A) The "Top Block" is falling must mean that for whatever reason more than enough columns have failed to reduce the total supporting strength to below what is needed to hold up the top block. Not enough strength remaining to hold up top block means it is inevitable that the top block falls.
So some columns must have already failed because the top block is falling - what about the others? The others are not strong enough to hold up the top block and the top block is falling means that, whatever strength may remain in those columns they are already failing - they must be already bending or buckling or (whatever failure mode)...because the top block is falling -- the space those columns occupy is getting shorter -- they must already be buckling or bending.
So that should prove two of those assertions:
A1 Some columns already failed; AND
A2 the rest already failing and those ones cannot escape from failing.
B) What about "misalignment'? Much the same logic proves misalignment. The "Top Block" is falling must also mean that the top parts of already failed columns are not aligned with their bottom parts. "Bypassing" has been the word of choice on some forums. So the failed columns are either already bypassing OR are in a situation where bypassing is inevitably coming into effect. The first claim self evident. The second one logically follows from the preceding reasoning for failure. If there are columns still trying to resist but losing they are losing because there aren't enough of them. So any lone column trying to remain in line holding load will be overwhelmed and pushed out of line. The circular logic of that last "yes but" claim is inevitable - if the column is not pushed out of line it will be hit with such force that it is pushed out of line.
Shortcut>>>> Rejoin discussion here.
Status at this point: The top block is falling, all columns failed and all columns are misaligned. Those two "failed' and "misaligned" are critical to what follows. And they are the key to answering these two as first step: AND
One more big step and we can answer those two.
(additional point - and we have proved my earlier claim that 'Evidence for "base slightly displaced" is from video evidence plus simple reasoning'.)
Rational Step #3 -- "Progression" Continues
The critical issue we now face is "What hits what".
Since the lateral displacement of the Top Block is small it follows that:
A) What lands on the OOS areas of the lower tower will be mostly the OOS of the upper tower;
B) Similarly what lands on core will be mostly core; AND
C) The perimeter will tend to land on or near the perimeter.
The ROOSD process is self perpetuating once there is sufficient accumulated load of floor and other debris. The issue of how it gets started is more complex and I will leave it aside for now. I can explain if anyone needs the explanation and they have got past these preliminary but foundation matters.
So:
1) ROOSD is the key. Once sufficient mass is falling down the OOS "Outer Tube" the process is self sustaining.
So "Mechanism #1 - ROOSD" strips down the floors of the OOS.
2) ROOSD leaves the outer perimeter unbraced in the "radial" direction outwards from core. Those perimeters fall due to instability and probably some impact forces during the ROOSD collapse.
So "Mechanism #2 Perimeter Peel Off"
Neither of those should be contentious. The new territory is probably:
3) What happens with the core? Recall that we have shown that:
(i) the Top Block core is falling AND
(ii) All the columns are out of alignment.
So what hits what? It must be the horizontal beams. And those beams have strength appropriate to a "one floor" load. They are hit with their portion of the full weight of Top Block. Massive overload == beams shear off.
The situation is analogous to the OOS floor joists - overwhelming weight as a part of a multi-storey Top Block hits floor beams/joists designed for one floor plus a bit of safety. And it hits with dynamic impact. Forces 10-20 or more times the design load are available. Shearing is inevitable.
So "Mechanism #3 Core beams strip down"
Sure the difference with the core is that there will be a much more confused mess of bent or out of alignment columns plus assorted debris. Very confusing BUT it doesn't affect the underlying reality. Horizontal beam on horizontal beam is the dominant impact mode and the loads are overwhelming.
So those are the basic premises or foundations. Any claim has to rely on those factors. Any counter claim has to show those factors to be in error.
Rational Step #4 -- Preliminary Answers to those two original Questions and Concerns
The perimeter columns were left standing with bracing removed. They would fall over for one of several reasons -- impacts from the descending ROOSD process, instability or vibration following ROOSD descent OR simply Euler buckling due to unsupported column of hight/slenderness far in excess of critical length. The key causal issue is "Removal of Bracing" - the rest follows automatically.
The word "column" is confusing. The core beams failed because the core of the Top Block fell on the core of the lower block with the columns already out of alignment. So the beam on beam contact applied loads of multiple storeys to beam connections designed for one storey loads. The failure almost certainly shear at the beam columns connections.
We are merely starting to address this issue. Broadly stated the problem with discussion to date is that most comments and concerns expressed from the truth movement side are about specific issues. And those issues are not linked to either a legitimate context or any defined underlying foundations. Hence my effort to clarify the underlying realities. Once we get those basics clear THEN we are in a position to address members specific issues by reference to a known foundation and context.
What I have posted is the start - the bare minimum framework which any claim or concerns must comply with. (Provided I have it right.
Even at this starting level there is enough to show the weakness of some truther claims. AND the weakness of many debunker arguments. On these issues there ain't a lot of difference in the quality of the arguments. And both sides do a lot of "Authority Parroting" ( there I go - lèse-majesté again. Fortunately it is no longer a capital offence. I'm new to DebatePolitics so members may not yet realise that I hold no fear of Authorities such as NIST or Bazant on the things that they get wrong. :lol: )
Understanding these 9/11 challenges is complex. They will never be explained or agreement reached by two way "JAQing off" I enjoyed writing this post - In this case modifying it for DebatePolitics. Let's see if it helps anyone, maybe casts a new light for some others.
PS Remember - it is only "Step One" AND Zero apology for the length of this post. If we really want to understand WTC collapse we need to get serious. And serious explanations will take a few (??) words.