• This is a political forum that is non-biased/non-partisan and treats every person's position on topics equally. This debate forum is not aligned to any political party. In today's politics, many ideas are split between and even within all the political parties. Often we find ourselves agreeing on one platform but some topics break our mold. We are here to discuss them in a civil political debate. If this is your first visit to our political forums, be sure to check out the RULES. Registering for debate politics is necessary before posting. Register today to participate - it's free!
  • Welcome to our archives. No new posts are allowed here.

Trump Leads Biden By 1 Point In National Popular Vote: Most Accurate Pollster In 2016 Election

beerftw said:
No they were not, rasmeussen was literally the absolute closest on popular vote
Click to expand...

This isn't even true. Rasmussen was closest on the popular vote SPREAD, i.e. the DIFFERENCE in vote proportions between Trump and Clinton. What they WEREN'T the most accurate on was the ACTUAL VOTE PROPORTION. Which is what actually determines accuracy.

If the vote spread was 1.7, and Rasmussen said Trump would get 31.7% of the vote and Hillary would get 30% of the vote and the rest would go to third parties, that isn't accurate at all, even though they got the spread right. Looking at the spread is completely meaningless. What matters is the actual vote breakdown.
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom