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6/16/19
WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign is cutting ties with some of its own pollsters after leaked internal polling showed the president trailing former Vice President Joe Biden in critical 2020 battleground states, according to a person close to the campaign. The move comes after NBC News obtained new details from a March internal poll that found Trump trailing Biden in 11 key states. Portions of the campaign’s expansive March polling trickled out in recent days in other news reports. But a person familiar with the inner workings of the Trump campaign shared more details of the data with NBC News, showing the president trailing across swing states seen as essential to his path to re-election and in Democratic-leaning states where Republicans have looked to gain traction. The polls also show Trump under-performing in reliably red states that haven’t been competitive for decades in presidential elections.
Trump campaign cutting ties with pollsters after internal numbers leaked
The Trump campaign has now done the only logical thing: it has fired that polling company.
The Liar-in-Chief.
They blame it on leaks. The truth, is that the Trump administration is anathema to honesty. Don't like the polling numbers? Fire the pollster. Keep firing pollsters until one smart cookie gives you the results you want to hear. It's the same modality with Trump aides. They have a streak of honesty left in them? Get rid of them. More loyal to America than to TheDon? Show them the door. This behavior is symptomatic of this criminal administration.
Related: That’s One Way to Deal with Bad Poll Numbers… Just fire the pollster.
:lamoFrom the story:
All news is completely false!!!
If you can read that and not think of this guy, you're a better person than I.
View attachment 67258242
:lamo
It's literally amazing!
Because they snuck-in getting an unlikely & improbable win, due to everything aligning perfectly, they believe they are destined to do it again! :doh
The night before the election, 538.com gave HRC a 71% chance of prevailing. That meant that Trump had somewhere between a 1-4 and 1-3 chance of pulling-off an upset. Those were fairly realistic odds, as 1 in 3 and 1 in 4 upsets occur often in life. In fact, they occur 1 out of 3 or 4 times! :2razz:It's like doing this the first time you play basketball...
...and just assume that's how it's always going to go.
The night before the election, 538.com gave HRC a 71% chance of prevailing. That meant that Trump had somewhere between a 1-4 and 1-3 chance of pulling-off an upset. Those were fairly realistic odds, as 1 in 3 and 1 in 4 upsets occur often in life. In fact, they occur 1 out of 3 or 4 times! :2razz:
But what I want to know is, now that Trump has completely enclosed himself in a bubble, surrounding himself with sycophants and propagandist media, does he have an accurate objective assessment of himself and the electorate around him?
At times he shows excellent public relations chops, and at others he comes-off as a buffoon. His taking the immigrant family's babies and shutting-down the government were two seriously grave misreadings of the body politic. So is he in-touch today? We don't know. His strength seems to be in floating ideas, reading the public reaction, then recanting and pulling back. But I'm not sure he's in-touch as far as the electorate outside of his base, and he may be liable to screw-up outside them enough to lose.
It's hard to say. It seems like he believes that all he needs is to repeat the formula: give the base their red meat and he'll surf to another victory. But the 2020 election will have a completely different dynamic than in 2016, and his solid 44.5% almost certainly won't be enough.
That's why a war is so essential.
He does seem to want one, doesn't he? I wonder if he realizes that his buddy, Putin, commands a nation that is an ally to Iran? Someone should tell him.
His base numbers from 2016 will absolutely not do it!It's hard to say. It seems like he believes that all he needs is to repeat the formula: give the base their red meat and he'll surf to another victory. But the 2020 election will have a completely different dynamic than in 2016, and his solid 44.5% almost certainly won't be enough.
Ironically, as bad as Trump needs a war, his subservience to Putin may preclude one. This may be an example of Putin's influence over him being a good thing.He does seem to want one, doesn't he? I wonder if he realizes that his buddy, Putin, commands a nation that is an ally to Iran? Someone should tell him.
I have no faith in polls, not even "aggregates." :shrug:
Again, I took statistics and the main thing I learned was that polls can be manipulated in any number of ways. This includes, but is not limited to; how participant's are selected, the locales they are selected from, the numbers of "different representative groups" being questioned, and the form in which each question is framed. Then, how applicable are the polling numbers to the issue(s) the numbers are being used to "reflect" on.
I choose to maintain my own views and opinions on candidates and vote my own mind. I am not swayed by anyone else's "numbers." I could be the ONLY person who voted the way I did and would be content.
So whatever Trump does in this arena, makes no difference to me. Come 2020 it will all depend on if he does or does not still have my support. :coffeepap:
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