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Trump-Backed Candidate Wins Ohio Special Election

Hedgology

Hedgology

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LMAO, "Blue Wave...."

Troy Balderson leads by 0.9 percentage points, or 1,754 votes, over Danny O’Connor with 100 percent of precincts fully reporting.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...-ohio-special-house-election-district-12.html
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None of the networks want to declare a winner. They figured it was too close to call for anyone to embarrass themselves; however, the New York Times has 100% reporting in all the counties in district 12 (Franklin, Delaware, Licking, Richland, Muskingun, Morrow, and Marion).

Screen-Shot-2018-08-07-at-11.29.38-PM.png


More results are probably going to come in, but I'm calling the final results: Troy Balderson (R-OH) 101,574, Danny O'Connor (D-OH) 99,820, Joe Manchik (G-OH)

Screen-Shot-2018-08-07-at-11.32.15-PM.png
 
Um...didn't Trump win this district by double digits?
 
Hedgology said:
Recounts only occur if the margin differential is equal to or less than 0.5%. The margin differential is roughly 1%.
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There are quite a few (8,000?) votes yet to be counted...absentee, etc. They could easily cause a recount. It is too early to call. God knows why Trump would like to draw attention to the fact that "his" guy had such a sad performance?
 
Hedgology said:
I'm not sure what more you're looking for from a special election.
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This race was another data point in a clear trendline. So, really, there wasn't much more to look for in a special election.

Now, your commentary, on the other hand is lacking just about everything I would look for about a special election.

Sent from my LG-H910 using Tapatalk
 
Hedgology said:
LMAO, "Blue Wave...."



None of the networks want to declare a winner. They figured it was too close to call for anyone to embarrass themselves; however, the New York Times has 100% reporting in all the counties in district 12 (Franklin, Delaware, Licking, Richland, Muskingun, Morrow, and Marion).

Screen-Shot-2018-08-07-at-11.29.38-PM.png


More results are probably going to come in, but I'm calling the final results: Troy Balderson (R-OH) 101,574, Danny O'Connor (D-OH) 99,820, Joe Manchik (G-OH)

Screen-Shot-2018-08-07-at-11.32.15-PM.png
Click to expand...
Are you really that dense?

2016

(R)Pat Tiberi 66.5%
(D)Ed Albertson 29.8%

2018

(R)Troy Balderson 50.2%
(D)Danny O'Connor 49.3%

THAT'S where the blue wave came in - even if it fell just short.

And guess what? There are over sixty seats closer than this one come November.
 
Hedgology said:
LMAO, "Blue Wave...."



None of the networks want to declare a winner. They figured it was too close to call for anyone to embarrass themselves; however, the New York Times has 100% reporting in all the counties in district 12 (Franklin, Delaware, Licking, Richland, Muskingun, Morrow, and Marion).

Screen-Shot-2018-08-07-at-11.29.38-PM.png


More results are probably going to come in, but I'm calling the final results: Troy Balderson (R-OH) 101,574, Danny O'Connor (D-OH) 99,820, Joe Manchik (G-OH)

Screen-Shot-2018-08-07-at-11.32.15-PM.png
Click to expand...

With 3435 provisional ballots and 5048 absentee ballots not counted there is no way anyone can declare a victory until those 8.5k votes are counted. If a .9% gain drops below .5% there will be an automatic recount for sure. Noting that provisional and absentee ballots tend to favor Democrats historically. Even with all the district's 100% in this is why the Election Commission in Ohio is not calling it.

Also in less than 100 days these two will be running against each other again in theNovember election
 
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MovingPictures said:
Are you really that dense?

2016

(R)Pat Tiberi 66.5%
(D)Ed Albertson 29.8%

2018

(R)Troy Balderson 50.2%
(D)Danny O'Connor 49.3%

THAT'S where the blue wave came in - even if it fell just short.

And guess what? There are over sixty seats closer than this one come November.
Click to expand...

Yes but it's YUGE!. Just watch Agent Orange call this a landslide!
 
JMR said:
There are quite a few (8,000?) votes yet to be counted...absentee, etc. They could easily cause a recount.
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Less than 1% of people in the district has requested an provisional ballot. I'm not sure why you're making numbers up

It is too early to call. God knows why Trump would like to draw attention to the fact that "his" guy had such a sad performance?
Click to expand...

This is why you keep losing at the ballot box. You don't seem to understand the difference between winning and losing.
 
MovingPictures said:
Are you really that dense?

2016

(R)Pat Tiberi 66.5%
(D)Ed Albertson 29.8%

2018

(R)Troy Balderson 50.2%
(D)Danny O'Connor 49.3%

THAT'S where the blue wave came in - even if it fell just short.
Click to expand...

You don't win by falling short.

And guess what? There are over sixty seats closer than this one come November.
Click to expand...

Prehaps, but this election isn't much of an indicator of what is going to come in November. Unless you're talking about a lot of close losses.
 
OscarLevant said:
With 3435 provisional ballots and 5048 absentee ballots not counted there is no way anyone can declare a victory until those 8.5k votes are counted. If a .9% gain drops below .5% there will be an automatic recount for sure. Noting that provisional and absentee ballots tend to favor Democrats historically.
Click to expand...

I don't know where you are getting those numbers from, so for now I'm going to assume you made them up.
 
JMR said:
There are quite a few (8,000?) votes yet to be counted...absentee, etc. They could easily cause a recount. It is too early to call. God knows why Trump would like to draw attention to the fact that "his" guy had such a sad performance?
Click to expand...
It's "too early to call" because the sun hasn't risen near the studios in New York City.

It's over.

If a recount is triggered, it is statistically likely that the end result will merely improve the results for the existing victor. Not by much for Ohio Republicans, and certainly not for Republicans across the country.

Sent from my LG-H910 using Tapatalk
 
Fiddytree said:
This race was another data point in a clear trendline. So, really, there wasn't much more to look for in a special election.
Click to expand...

What clear trend would that be: Democrats losing at the ballot box?

Now, your commentary, on the other hand is lacking just about everything I would look for about a special election.

Sent from my LG-H910 using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

I only provided the results of the election; there was no commentary.
 
Hedgology said:
What clear trend would that be: Democrats losing at the ballot box?
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We'll see if there's actually a reverse of 2010 as it could very well be different, but this is definitely the exact attitude many Democrats had in the run up to the 2010 midterms after barely holding specials for the departure of John Murtha and Kirsten Gillabrand.
 
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