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Predict how the Senate is going to end up. My prediction is 50-50. Here's what I believe will happen in the contested races:
Feingold defeats Johnson in Wisconsin. Seat flips Democratic.
Duckworth defeats Kirk in Illinois. Seat flips Democratic.
Hassan defeats Ayotte in New Hampshire. Seat flips Democratic.
Bayh defeats Young in Indiana. Seat flips Democratic.
McGinty defeats Toomey in Pennsylvania. Seat flips Democratic.
Heck defeats Masto in Nevada. Seat flips Republican.
Portman holds in Ohio. Seat stays Republican.
Rubio holds in Florida. Seat stays Republican.
Burr holds in North Carolina. Seat stays Republican.
McCain holds in Arizona. Seat stays Republican.
Blunt holds in Missouri. Seat stays Republican.
No other seat is contested. Incumbent easily holds his seat. My prediction is that the Democrats will flip 5 seats, Republicans will flip 1 seat, and Republicans will hold 5 seats in contested states. IMHO, this won't be the bloodbath for the Republican party that some are predicting. 2 other things here.
1) Not sure how this will play out for SCOTUS nominations. If it takes 51 votes, and not 50 and a tie breaker (Assuming the nuclear option), then SCOTUS will remain at 4-4. Republicans had to have figured this out when they decided to stonewall Obama on his nomination. If Ginsburg dies (She is 93 now), then Republicans will have a 4-3 lock on SCOTUS.
2) Democrats will barely hold the Senate, and it will be for 2 years. In 2018, Republicans take it back. I believe that they will have somewhere around 54 seats again, due to so many Democratic seats that will be up for grabs.
3) As for the House, it will stay Republican this year, and also in 2018.
What are YOUR predictions?
Feingold defeats Johnson in Wisconsin. Seat flips Democratic.
Duckworth defeats Kirk in Illinois. Seat flips Democratic.
Hassan defeats Ayotte in New Hampshire. Seat flips Democratic.
Bayh defeats Young in Indiana. Seat flips Democratic.
McGinty defeats Toomey in Pennsylvania. Seat flips Democratic.
Heck defeats Masto in Nevada. Seat flips Republican.
Portman holds in Ohio. Seat stays Republican.
Rubio holds in Florida. Seat stays Republican.
Burr holds in North Carolina. Seat stays Republican.
McCain holds in Arizona. Seat stays Republican.
Blunt holds in Missouri. Seat stays Republican.
No other seat is contested. Incumbent easily holds his seat. My prediction is that the Democrats will flip 5 seats, Republicans will flip 1 seat, and Republicans will hold 5 seats in contested states. IMHO, this won't be the bloodbath for the Republican party that some are predicting. 2 other things here.
1) Not sure how this will play out for SCOTUS nominations. If it takes 51 votes, and not 50 and a tie breaker (Assuming the nuclear option), then SCOTUS will remain at 4-4. Republicans had to have figured this out when they decided to stonewall Obama on his nomination. If Ginsburg dies (She is 93 now), then Republicans will have a 4-3 lock on SCOTUS.
2) Democrats will barely hold the Senate, and it will be for 2 years. In 2018, Republicans take it back. I believe that they will have somewhere around 54 seats again, due to so many Democratic seats that will be up for grabs.
3) As for the House, it will stay Republican this year, and also in 2018.
What are YOUR predictions?
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