First they
ignore you, then they
ridicule you, then they
fight you, then you win.
oh my gosh? the republican elite aren't in charge of their own party any more? democrat elites are facing electoral loss to relative political newcomers? gosh, i guess that means we will be bereft of their awesome leadership that we've been enjoying for the last few years?
Don't make the mistake of thinking current changes in the political climate are permanent, both the Dems and Reps have seen good and bad times but they are still kicking. And the Tea Party isn't the first time a national political movement has stirred up the normal 2 party politics, Ross Perot in 1992 and less in 1994 had a pretty big thing going for a while, and his platform was very similar to the current Tea Party platform. And before that the big upsetter was George Wallace in 1968.
Of course the Perot and Wallace movements are very different in many important areas from the Tea Party, in fact I think the Tea Party position may be stronger than those movements in some way. The TP has a broader more diverse base than Wallace but a similar one to Perot, but unlike Perot it has the advantage of being associated with a movement. Perot voters in 1992 didn't identify with each other the way TPers do now, and there was no attempt by Perot's movement to fight for local and smaller elections, he just went straight for the Presidency. He never attempted to really group his supporters into a real political movement.
However this raises an interesting question for TPers and their leadership, if you can call them that, lets just say influential people. Does the TP attempt to become its own party, and separate itself from the Republican Party that is its natural base? Or does it become part of the Republican Party and work within that structure, while still maintaining its passionate recruiting. There's advantages and disadvantages to both, the best one with staying with the Republicans is money. The Reps have money and can attract contributions on a scale no Tea Party can, of course if they are being funded by the Reps they will expected to be team players for the Republican Party, some TPers in my opinion are unwilling to do that. Just look at the Castle/O'Donnell race, many TPs don't even consider the two to be on the same time, regardless of Castle's decision not to support O'Donnell. I think its a fair assessment to say that even if Castle had supported O'Donnell, he's not going to become any more popular with TPers. However staying with the Republicans has its risks, they can be marginalized within the Republican Party and many TPers will not accept that decision.
If they decided to make their own political party they lose their link to a huge money pot but they also can make their image much more public. The risk of being marginalized within a larger structure is eliminated, of course they can still be marginalized in national politics anyway if their message falters but thats a risk whether they stay or go, so its not really a consideration in choosing because its inevitable. And they don't have to worry about compromising themselves too much to lose that image because they are separate. Many 3rd party or new political movements are popular for a few elections, or maybe even only one, and then they fade away again. The TP will certainly be around for more than one election, but if they will be around for the next 10 is more uncertain. I think thats one of the reasons their leaders, influential people, are so loud, vocal, and constantly give the TP their highest amount of energy, they have to keep this thing rolling. TPs are an impatient bunch in my opinion, they want change and damn if they dont want it yesterday, if a feeling that they aren't accomplishing anything grows the TP will fall apart, of course right now every TPer thinks they are moving forward and accomplishing things, just look at this site.
So in my opinion if I were a TPer I wouldn't leave the Republican Party outright, but that would be my eventual goal, I think the Rep Party leadership is too well entrenched to be overtaken by the Tea Party and lets be honest their narrower view and strong dislike of compromise doesn't make them very attractive for many Republicans at this time. By staying with the party they can use the Rep money banks to fund their candidates, assuming they will support them, which is a whole other challenge but I think its possible. The Reps I believe will like to see an (R) over a (D) even if they are Tea Party, O'Donnel is an exception because of the near impossible task of winning Delaware, so her rejection is more about overall strategy rather than her ideology. TP candidates in Alaska and New York are receiving Republican Party support. And that would be the flaw, if they believe its own, I'll say characteristic in the Republican Party I'd exploit. The Republican Party, while still right wing, supports a range of right wing candidates, it by design has a much wider scope than the TP because of its desire to win elections. Thats why Castle, an R from Delaware, is not like an R from Alaska or Wyoming. So like a guerrilla fighter in the jungle, the TP should sap off the Republican Party as long as it can like a parasite until its forcibly removed or just takes over the organism. (I don't mean parasite negatively i just think its a good metaphor for the way they should grab money)
So now that I've rambled on, let me say on last thing. Thats what I would do if I was designing a strategy to make the TP in a true national movement the size of the current Rep or Dem parties, however I dont think its possible without expanding their scope but if they insisted on not, I'd go with these approaches. HOWEVER, I don't believe the major players with the TP movement, like Palin or Beck, are really interested in anything other than fame and money. I believe they are using this movement mostly as a way to sell books, speaking arrangements, or get ratings for a TV show, plus they get the personal satisfaction and ego stroking that any person would of having millions of followers. If that is the case, and again thats just my opinion, they wouldnt be following these strategies because they would have different goals. If my goal was what I think their goals are, I'd get the TP right where it is right now, small but eager, keep people thinking they are doing something and that their goal is right around the corner, and ride that horse till it drops. Moving in the way my strategies play out involves risk, risk that could mean the end of the TP if they go wrong, which is something I don't think they are willing to risk. Don't kill the goose that lays the Golden eggs so to speak. So while they could make even more money and be even bigger stars if those risks went well, I dont think its something a reasonable strategist would go all for nothing on, especially when they have so much to lose.
And thats my opinion.
Edit: Good God I didn't realize I wrote so much, sorry strategizing is something I love doing, I can get carried away.