CaughtInThe
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South Dakota, Minnesota, Nebraska
One would think it's in North Dakota too.
Coronavirus cases linked to Sturgis Motorcycle Rally now found in Minnesota, 2 other states
Not a surprise. Sad, but completely predictable and pathetically unnecessary.
This is so sad. It used to be days of titties and beer and now....
I've been monitoring the SD Dept. of Health for the last two weeks to see if any sort of breakout would occur there.
Here is the data I have so far. These numbers are the total numbers of coronavirus cases taken directly from the website above. The three counties are:
1. Meade County, where Sturgis is (Sturgis is way over on the western border of Meade Co.)
2. Lawrence Co., just west of Meade
3. Pennington Co., south of Meade and home to Rapid City and Mount Rushmore
CONFIRMED CASES County
Meade Lawrence Pennington
9-Aug 94 55 891
10-Aug 94 60 896
11-Aug 96 61 898
12-Aug 97 62 910
13-Aug 98 62 915
14-Aug 97 63 924
15-Aug 97 69 930
16-Aug 104 73 942
17-Aug 106 74 951
18-Aug 112 77 958
19-Aug 120 82 962
20-Aug 127 83 975
21-Aug 138 90 994
22-Aug 152 100 1028
Those are the total number of cases up through that date. The numbers you typically see on charts are new cases per day. To get that, we subtract each row from the prior row. Note that this means we lose one row.
New daily cases
Meade Lawrence Pennington
10-Aug 0 5 5
11-Aug 2 1 2
12-Aug 1 1 12
13-Aug 1 0 5
14-Aug -1 1 9
15-Aug 0 6 6
16-Aug 7 4 12
17-Aug 2 1 9
18-Aug 6 3 7
19-Aug 8 5 4
20-Aug 7 1 13
21-Aug 11 7 19
22-Aug 14 10 34
There's definitely been an uptick in Meade County since Aug. 16, but how much? Doesn't look like too much until you get today, right?
No. Those are total numbers. We need to look at the per-capita numbers there. Multiplying each county's new daily totals by 1 million and dividing by their respective populations gives us the same per-capita numbers that you see in places such as here. Those per capita numbers are:
New cases/million
Meade Lawrence Pennington
28,294 25,741 111,729 <- Populations
10-Aug 0.00 194.24 44.75
11-Aug 70.69 38.85 17.90
12-Aug 35.34 38.85 107.40
13-Aug 35.34 0.00 44.75
14-Aug -35.34 38.85 80.55
15-Aug 0.00 233.09 53.70
16-Aug 247.40 155.39 107.40
17-Aug 70.69 38.85 80.55
18-Aug 212.06 116.55 62.65
19-Aug 282.75 194.24 35.80
20-Aug 247.40 38.85 116.35
21-Aug 388.78 271.94 170.05
22-Aug 494.80 388.49 304.31
The decimals are annoying, so I'm just going to focus on the Meade County column, because that's where Sturgis is anyway.
Meade
28,294
10-Aug 0.00
11-Aug 70.69
12-Aug 35.34
13-Aug 35.34
14-Aug -35.34
15-Aug 0.00
16-Aug 247.40
17-Aug 70.69
18-Aug 212.06
19-Aug 282.75
20-Aug 247.40
21-Aug 388.78
22-Aug 494.80
For comparison, at its peak of the first wave, Florida was suffering over 500 new daily cases per million people. New York state briefly got up there, too.
But wait, it gets better. Meade County had an estimated 2018 population of 28,294, and Sturgis had an estimated 2019 population of 6,922. Giving Sturgis a head start of a year actually amplifies the point I am about to make: Sturgis has a little less than a fourth of Meade County's population. So if at least half of Meade's cases are occurring in Sturgis, which is a very conservative assumption, then as of today, nearly 1 in 1000 people in Sturgis are getting infected per day.
Congratulations, Sturgis. You've just become the latest hotspot. Exactly as the experts predicted, exactly as the deniers denied.
yeah, i'm not sure why anyone would think that all those people from all over the country (the deniers and the ones that won't social distance/wear masks/be safe) could go there, not get infected or infect and then not take it all over the US.
Not a surprise. Sad, but completely predictable and pathetically unnecessary.
that's like saying Norm volunteered to "work" at Cheers... and one was a volunteer who worked "in a temporary bar situation."
yeah, i'm not sure why anyone would think that all those people from all over the country (the deniers and the ones that won't social distance/wear masks/be safe) could go there, not get infected or infect and then not take it all over the US.
yeah, i'm not sure why anyone would think that all those people from all over the country (the deniers and the ones that won't social distance/wear masks/be safe) could go there, not get infected or infect and then not take it all over the US.
The worst part is that those numbers badly underestimate the total impact of the Sturgis Superspreader. Those are just confirmed cases right there in Meade County.
why do college kids going back to school think they are invulnerable and do not have to obey school rules?
Maybe the schools should have Biden talk to them. He wants to mandate masks in all schools.
Shirley, they'll listen to him because he is going to make it all better.
so what?
2020 gop ^
Brilliant response.
it's what the GOP/Trump/Rush/Sean/Fox have been preaching almost from the beginning.
Brilliant response.
What else is there to say to people like you? Hundreds of thousands of people dying does nothing to you. Ostracism needs to occur.
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