- Joined
- Aug 26, 2007
- Messages
- 50,241
- Reaction score
- 19,243
- Location
- San Antonio Texas
- Gender
- Female
- Political Leaning
- Conservative
Republicans Jump Out To Historic Lead In Gallup GenericGallup's generic polling shows the number of voters saying that they would vote for Republicans rising three points from last week, while the number saying they will vote for Democrats dropped four points. The 49%-43% lead for the Republicans is the largest that the pollster has ever recorded for the party. Moreover, Democratic enthusiasm for voting this fall fell a point, while enthusiasm among Republicans stayed about fifteen points higher. This indicates an even wider lead for Republicans once Gallup imposes a likely voter screen this fall.
There's any number of reasons for this: the public's perception of Obama's response to the oil spill, the shaky stock market performance last week, continued concern about the economy and spending. The bottom line is that, despite what is perceived as an underperformance for the Republicans in PA-12 a couple of weeks ago, there are still plenty of Democrats in trouble for this November.
Precisely why do you think so? It isn't much of a logical leap to say that after reading the OP when you haven't provided any evidence to back up your position. :roll:And what will your excuse be when these big gains that you are expecting fail to materialize in November?......
Republicans Jump Out To Historic Lead In Gallup Generic
Damn son, Gallup even shows the GOP marching towards a giant rebuke of all things Obama. This is good news indeed for America.
I hope they don't relax yet, it's not won until the seats are filled....
Excerpted from “Anti-Democratic Party or Anti-Incumbent?” Posted by Jeff Jones, Gallup Editor, 2010 CENTRAL BY FRANK NEWPORT, JEFF JONES, AND LYDIA SAAD, at 1:40 PM
[SIZE="+2"]O[/SIZE]ur current generic ballot numbers and other indicators suggest that 2010 could be a rough year for the Democrats. But I’m not sure what we are seeing is as much anti-Democratic Party as it is anti-incumbent. From our data, we know that favorable ratings of the Democratic Party, approval ratings of the Democratic Party in Congress, and identification with the Democratic Party are all down from recent times, but they are also no worse than what we are presently finding for the Republican Party.
Seems like the political well has been poisoned for all the parties.
Seems like the political well has been poisoned for all the parties.
TERM LIMITS should be brought in for every office requiring an election.
How accurate are generics, historically, for predicting this sort of thing? A president is one thing, but we're talking about individual races. They all come down to the candidates. The GOP has a lot of ground to gain if they are to have a decent chance of regaining a majority in the Senate. (and a supermajority is impossible) I'm not as familiar with the House situation, there's just too damned many to track.
Here's a pretty cool tool. It doesn't use historical data from generic ballot v. actual result, but takes the 2008 vote differential and lets you plug in generic ballot numbers.
House of Representatives Swingometer - UnlikelyVoter.com
Gallup has some historical data:
Generic Ballot Provides Clues for 2010 Vote
The 49%-43% number isn't a two-party figure, but we can do some rough estimates from that.
2008 was a 55-45 two party split, so if we ended up with a 47-53 split this year, according to the swingometer that would translate into a 45 seat Republican gain, giving them control of the house 223-212. According to Gallup, that would translate into 227-208 control for the Reps.
I'd be very surprised if it actually ends up like that.
Were you around in 1994?
The press just about had a collective heart attack then. R's didn't lose a Governorship, or seat in Congress.
HillaryCare was the bitter pill... and it spawned the era of bitterness.
After 40-years of almost absolute control of Congress, Dems were no used to losing power.
Now we have ObamaCare... and incompetence we haven't witnessed since Carter.
We have had terror attacks, and enemies ramping up.
We have a WH occupant that shoots the race card first, not knowing the facts, and has to wipe egg from his face.
We have a guy that can read a teleprompteur, but in a presidential presser sucked so bad even Libs commented on his lousy performance.
We have a guy who treats our enemies as friends and friends as enemies.
His idea of presidential gifts to our biggest ally is a set of DVD's.
His AG calls us cowards.
He targets private individuals.... AIG... and they lived in fear for their safety.
He says America shows arrogance... but he didn't have the class to honor our warriors at Arlington?
He's spent like a drunken Marxist.
GM.
Unemployment is 10%.
He said he would be transparent, but we have Sestak lingering for months.
Gulf of Mexico... or golf in Mexico? Where is his leadership?
Illegal aliens... he sides with Mehiko... calling the AZ law misguided.
That's a short list of his accomplishments.
He is incompetent and Americans have come to realize it.
.
And yet the GOP cannot give us an alternative who would do any better.
And yet the GOP cannot give us an alternative who would do any better.
For Presidential politics we need to restrict voting for our candidates to registered Republicans only in the primaries..
McCain (RINO) won, by his own admission the night he captured the R nomination, with the help of independents and Libs.
Just think, we're only 18-months from the first primaries.
.
So you think that by restricting the primary to only Republicans, you'll win over independents and liberals in the general Presidential election?
Here is a list of all open Republican Party primaries/caucuses: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Massachusetts (semi-open), Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire (semi-open), New Jersey (semi-open), North Carolina (semi-open), North Dakota, Ohio, Rhode Island (semi-open), South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, and finally Wisconsin.For Presidential politics we need to restrict voting for our candidates to registered Republicans only in the primaries..
McCain (RINO) won, by his own admission the night he captured the R nomination, with the help of independents and Libs.
Just think, we're only 18-months from the first primaries.
.
And another McCain would help us?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?