Re: Obama's job creation policies are working
The argument ended
here, If you want to carry it on there, let me know over there.
Actually... the argument ended before that... when I said I was done discussing such a pointless side topic that has nothing to do with the discussion... which is why there was no reply to your useless trolling... I already posted all the proof that was needed, and you proved that your tactics were in disingenuous by editing a quote of mine then falsely attributing it to me... (and when you say “over there”, it’s actually here in this same thread, just left several pages back for irrelevance)
Now, back to the relevant topic...
This called a correlation without causation: Obama enacted ARRA then participation lowered...but there is no there there. Your justification is that the levels of participation did not drop to the same levels under Bush in 01.But if you go back and look at your chart, we peaked in 99, Bush had nearly the same rate of decline as we are seeing in his first term. The decline started before the recession then as it did now. The signing of the ARRA did not change the level of participation 2000-05, I don't see how it caused the decline in 2008 since it was signed later.
This is called being a fool… I already addressed this topic when I pointed out the chart for the last 10 years… which shows a slight decline over the last few years of Bush’s term (with a slight drop from the recession in 2000-2001), then the recession in 2007-2009 having a slightly stronger dip to it… but then after the recession was declared over, and we were growing again, then Obama’s policies lead to a massive decline.
Again, back to the chart…
As you can see…
2002-2007, over Bush’s term, it went from 66.75% to 66%, a decline of 0.75% over 6yrs… 0.125%/yr
2007-2009, during the shared recession, it went from 66% to 65.6%, a decline of 0.4% over 3yrs… 0.133%/yr, of in terms of accuracy, 0.4% over 2.5 years… 0.16%/yr
2009-present, since the recession ended and Obama’s policies have taken effect, it went from 65.6% to 63.75%, a decline of 1.85% over 3 years… 0.616%/yr
Simplifying those results
Bush -0.125%/yr
Recession -0.16%/yr
Obama -0.616%/yr
That’s a significant RAPID decline that began when Obama’s policies took effect, at much more drastic pace than had occurred under Bush, or even during the recession… and it’s continued on steadily at that same pace since…
So, yes… no one said he was responsible for the slight drop in workforce participation that occurred after the 2000-2001 recession, no one said he was responsible for the slight drop in workforce participation during the recession… but clearly there’s a STRONG CORRELATION between the significant drop in the workforce participation rate and when Obama’s policies took effect, at a pace about
4 times as great as it was under Bush and during the recession…
Um, Carter had to deal with massive changes in oil prices, associated inflation...with price controls. We are in nearly an opposite condition, so how Obama has "taken a similar approach" is beyond me.
You seem to have skipped over the part where gasoline prices have doubled under Obama's presidency, or the price controls he insisted upon with the healthcare plan that the Supreme Court should likely overturn...
But, the approach I was speaking of was excessive regulation, and a government knows best approach to the free market... Carter talked down to the American people often, thinking he knew better than they, Obama uses the same approach, with his pointless metaphors... that and a soft world view towards dealing with foreign nations... both met stagnation for results to their economic policies...
Again, I'll refer yo back to your chart, the declines occurred 2000 through 05, and from 2008 onward. This recession is much worse than 2001.
Yes, it’s far more similar to the one under Carter… But clearly, you’re ignoring the fact that the recession ended in 2009… So when you say 2008 onward, it ignores the fact that during the recession the rate of decline was 0.16%/yr while since the recession ended, under Obama, while he’s celebrating job creation… a significantly larger percentage of the workforce has stopped participating, at a rate of decline of 0.616%/yr since the recession ended… Those are Obama’s supposed good times… where the GDP was growing, and jobs were being created, right? Only, they weren’t… or which is it?
....or the fact that nearly 4 are unemployed for every job opening...on average.
If that were the case… then the trend of unemployed per job opening would be increasing, right? But, that’s not the case…
https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&...Y7Kwx4&sig=AHIEtbQwzxgQVBq4_fP5CxAmVanAXcrFVg
Economy Track
So the ratio of unemployed to the number of openings is actually decreasing at the same time that the workforce participation rate is also decreasing… In fact, the same rate of decrease also begins right at about the same point, the end of the recession, and the beginning of Obama’s policies taking place…
So yes, there’ve been job openings at low end jobs, shovel ready projects, that people aren’t doing, because they get more money being on unemployment sitting around doing nothing, rather than working…
Are you still clinging to the "Obama's UI caused participation declines"....even though declines started long ago?
Graph of US Civilian Labor Participation Rate from 1948 to 2011 by gender. Men are represented in light blue, women in pink, and the total in black.
File:US Labor Participation Rate 1948-2011 by gender.svg - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Oh how I love the inclusion of this useless graphic, which separates these things by gender… ooo how fancy… yes, there’s a long term pattern of increasing percentages of females and minorities in the workplace (which naturally will bring the percentage of white males only down)… thanks for including that irrelevant fact to THIS DISCUSSION…
only…
IT STILL SHOWS A RAPID DECLINE ACROSS ALL GENDERS AFTER THE RECESSION IN 2010!!! And doesn’t include 2010-2012… so it’s fairly USELESS FOR DISCUSSING OBAMA’S TERM AS PRESIDENT!!!… There’s far more decline to be discussed there… and clearly you’d rather just keep attempting to distract the point, because it speaks to Obama’s failures in job creation…