Warning: Mayer uses the F-word in his commentary.
"It's amazing how an election loss, even as big as this one, still doesn't put a dent in the thinking that lost it."
Bill Mayer, with a very sarcastic tone and lots of hyperbole, nailed why the Democrats lost the election. If they don't change, they keep losing. Isn't this what some of us have been saying to those who continue to double down in the defense of their team? He does not defend Trump or his supporters, just to be clear. He's telling the Democrats to stop digging their holes and learn from their mistakes. The entire party has become nothing but a Portlandia sketch. Take one week to ask what you did wrong.
Was it a big loss? Depends on how one defines big. Losing the presidency is big, but in other terms this was one close election. Trump currently leads Harris by 1.8 points in the popular vote. Only 2 elections since 1900 has been closer, 1960 and 2000. Yes, the electoral college was a runaway. The house, the GOP entered this election with a 222-213 advantage. As of this AM, the republicans have a 218-211 lead. 218 gives the GOP control. There’re 6 seats to be determined. 3 held by democrats, 3 by republicans. Both parties flipped 7 seats. You can’t get any closer. The senate, yes, the republicans gained 3 seats. Those 3 seats are in deep red states which shouldn’t have been represented by a democrat to begin with. The republicans may have a 4th in Pennsylvania. It should be noted that in the 5 swing states that held both a presidential and senate race, Trump winning all 5 states, but 4 elected democratic senators, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Arizona. The 5th, Pennsylvania is going to a recount.
That takes care of Big. For me the number one and biggest reason the democrats lost, poor job performance by Biden and company. No sitting president with an overall job performance of below 50% has won reelection nor has his replacement won the next election. Biden had a 41% overall job approval, 56% disapproval with 63% of all Americans thinking Biden and his administration had this country headed in the wrong direction, off on the wrong track. With numbers like that, the republicans should have won in a landslide, bigger than big, but they didn’t. Since 1950 we’ve had 8 elections where the sitting president had an overall job approval of below 50%. 1952, Truman’s replacement Stevenson lost to Eisenhower, 1968, LBJ’s replacement Humphrey lost to Nixon. 1976 Ford lost reelection, 1980 Carter lost reelection, 1992 G.H.W. Bush lost reelection, 2008 G.W. Bush’s replacement McCain lost to Obama, 2020 Trump lost reelection, 2024 Biden’s replacement Harris lost to Trump. Everything else about this election will fall back under the poor job performance.
So then why not a bigger than big win for the republicans, a landslide? I say it’s because they went with Trump, a candidate that a majority of Americans dislike. That almost any other republican would have led the GOP to a landslide win considering the above numbers.