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Naw, I think that was Biden shooting from the hip.I suspect that there was more to it than that. Biden's first offer to Zelensky was asylum so even this administration assumed that he'd fold.
Russia ****ed this up from the get-go. No infantry to screen the tanks, no integral fuel trucks for vehicles, an absolutely shit plan for food and medical supplies.
I think Putin just thought that the Ukraine would be easy.
Interestingly enough, his defense minister has been absent with "ill health" for the last few days.