Then try synthesizing, reasoning, and thinking critically.
Here's your "critical thinking" Boo... At the beginning of 2001, most collectors, analysts and managers within the intelligence community believed that:
* The Iraqi government was determined to one day covertly reconstitute its nuclear weapons program.
* Iraq was capable of hiding a nuclear weapons program because they had done so before.
* They would invest a great deal of time and effort to conceal that program when they did reconstitute it.
* Because inspections ceased, they could rapidly accelerate their effort to produce nuclear weapons.
* Iraq might have already begun reconstitution since '98, even though they had no evidence to substantiate it.
Then starting in March of that year, the following bits on new intel comes in:
1. The dual use aluminium tubes Iraq had purchased in March of 2001.
2. The reports in 2001 of attempted procurement of magnets and balancing machines by Iraq between 1999 and 2001.
3. Reports of Iraqi efforts to obtain uranium from countries in Africa.
4. Reports of efforts to reconstitute their nuclear cadre (get their team of nuclear scientists together again)
5. Reports of activity at suspect sites.
Anyone with an ounce of common sense can easily deduce, those new reports made it quite easy for the IC to determine that Iraq had reconstituted their nuclear program, and that belief had nothoing to do with what the administration may or may not have believed, or wanted to do conserning Iraq.
That's a no-brainer Boo... Yet your politics just won't let you accept it.