- Joined
- Jul 20, 2005
- Messages
- 20,688
- Reaction score
- 7,320
- Location
- Washington, DC
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Liberal
Re: Hillary slipping? Even More!
NBC / Wall Street Journal has Hillary beating Rudy 47-41% (and 42-34-11% with Bloomberg).
Fox News has Hillary beating Rudy 46-41%.
...of course, none of these polls mean sh1t right now. Most voters aren't paying any attention at all to the election yet. The prediction markets are a much better indicator of the actual state of the election. InTrade gives Rudy a 59% chance of winning the general (if he wins the nomination), but gives Hillary a 65% chance of winning the general (if she wins the nomination).
Overall, the prediction markets show that there is a 56.6% chance that the next president is a Democrat, a 39.5% chance for a Republican, and a 4.3% chance for an independent (presumably Bloomberg).
Latest has Guiliani winning
Guiliani 46%
Clinton 45%
She overwhelmingly beats all her Democrat competition in the primary, but loses in the general.
NBC / Wall Street Journal has Hillary beating Rudy 47-41% (and 42-34-11% with Bloomberg).
Fox News has Hillary beating Rudy 46-41%.
...of course, none of these polls mean sh1t right now. Most voters aren't paying any attention at all to the election yet. The prediction markets are a much better indicator of the actual state of the election. InTrade gives Rudy a 59% chance of winning the general (if he wins the nomination), but gives Hillary a 65% chance of winning the general (if she wins the nomination).
Overall, the prediction markets show that there is a 56.6% chance that the next president is a Democrat, a 39.5% chance for a Republican, and a 4.3% chance for an independent (presumably Bloomberg).