Apparently our warming oceans have failed to produce the proof of warming oceans--big old superstorms. The history channel already ran out of Hitler footage. Now they are going to run out of new doomsday footage too. Drats!
There is little question the Atlantic is warm this year. Apparently there is a wave of dry air coming through that tears up any storms that try to form. Or at least that's the explanation afforded by hindsight.
The season could still get revved up. There's a chance Gabrielle could come back from the dead, the system that spawned her is still out there. But it's remarkable that we are getting tropical weather like this considering the very confident sounding predictions we've been hearing.
Hurricanes are based on the El Nino cycle.
Seems I have heard the El Nino cycle is influenced by AGW and AGW was supposed to make El Nino stronger and happen more often. You guys just can't keep your story's straight.
The El Nino cycle is a major factor in hurricane development/frequency. That's not disputable.
What is disputable is the claim by warmers that EL Nino cycles are more frequent and El Nino itself is stronger due to AGW and that will lead to more and stronger hurricanes.That hypotheses just isn't working out
El Nino is a 7 year cycle produced by deep cold ocean currents. It is possibly becoming made more erratic, though not significantly so - yet. It impacts weather and seasons around the globe.
Do you understand why 'global warming' was changed to 'climate change'? It's because understanding the change is more about violent swings (and a fundamental shift) in cycles than an overall trend.
El Nino is a 7 year cycle produced by deep cold ocean currents. It is possibly becoming made more erratic, though not significantly so - yet. It impacts weather and seasons around the globe.
Do you understand why 'global warming' was changed to 'climate change'? It's because understanding the change is more about violent swings (and a fundamental shift) in cycles than an overall trend.
Really? Are you sure it is not about making excuses for massive computer model accuracy failure and much more akin to simply saying that "God works in mysterious ways"?
El Nio and La Nia Years and Intensities
El Nino - Previous El Nino events
El Niño - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
El Niño - Wikipedia, the free encyclopediaThe average period length is five years. When this warming occurs for only seven to nine months, it is classified as El Niño "conditions"; when it occurs for more than that period, it is classified as El Niño "episodes".[6] Similarly, La Niña conditions and episodes are defined for cooling.
The climate tomorrow will be hot with a 20% chance of storms. The weather will be the same as always, something it's too damn late to fix our damage to, if that's even true and it probably is, and if we even knew how to. Oops, my bad, reverse that.Weather is not climate.
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